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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    Agree, at a later date of course just like you. Maybe Wilson gets DFAd at some point but until then he should be ahead of Duran. If he hits at the MLB level his value shoots up too.
  2. Hugh2
    Both Cordero and Wilson are on the 40 man while Duran is not.
  3. Hugh2
    So with all that said, why wouldn’t Wilson get the call before Duran? By every account he should.
  4. Hugh2
    I don’t think his value (stardom) ever went down. It’s probably as high as it’s ever been.
  5. Hugh2
    Wilson’s OPS since entering the Sox system 2019: Salem 1.016 2019: AA .749 2021: WOO. .956 Duran minors ops vs Wilson .834 vs .763 Wilson has been just as good recently (maybe a tick better) at the hugest level before the majors. Here’s some more food for thought, Durans defense is pretty bad while Wilson is a plus defender.
  6. Hugh2
    I’m not contending Wilson has more value than Duran, I just found it interesting. But to your point, to be fair, Duran has never hit like this before either. Power is completely new to his game, and some of that may just be Worcester.
  7. Hugh2
    Here’s an interesting fact. Wilson is just one month older than Duran and playing at the same level. Wilson is sporting a .956 OPS vs Durans .929 And yet Duran finds himself in the conversation of being rushed to the majors before he may be ready, and Wilson finds himself in the conversation for being DFAd.
  8. Hugh2
    I think Bloom gets hung up on for that offer.
  9. Hugh2
    A good formula for determining when a guy is MLB ready is to take the date fans start insisting they belong in the majors and add one year to that date.
  10. Hugh2
    It’s definitely a small sample size, but it falls in love with the reports that Worcesters Stadium pads stats. It’s a hitters heaven. Just one of many reasons to not scout the box score.
  11. Hugh2
    Worcester kind of reminds me how scouts used to talk about the PCL years ago. You have to take the numbers with a grain of salt. The stadium was constructed for balls flying out of there.
  12. Hugh2
    And the more I think about it the more I like Davis.
  13. Hugh2
    This is obviously conjecture but I’m thoroughly convinced the Sox top 4 is some combination of Davis/Leiter/Mayer/Lawlar. I think the pick is someone from that list.
  14. Hugh2
    I’d like to address 3-4, but a quick point about point #1. Think of the back end. Think about the value of having an extra year of control when it comes to players who came up in our system such as Bogaerts, Betts, Devers, Lester, really anyone. In the long run I believe you extract more value, and it makes it easier to team build when you know you’re maximizing a players value when he’s playing for you in his prime.
  15. Hugh2
    Honestly, I’d be with any of the Lawlar, Mayer, House, Davis, Rocker, Leiter pool. I think I’m starting to like Jobe a lot too. Higher risk as a high school arm, but he could end up better than Leiter/Rocker.
  16. Hugh2
    Sometimes is better to get the accord for for years than just to be able to drive the Porsche for a week.
  17. Hugh2
    It’s been long thought that Downs moves to 2B. He’s not blocked, if he can hit he will do well. Good defense, runs the bases well too. I can’t fully explain why they wait to move guys, but it’s not abnormal for them to be keeping him at SS. They probably think he can easily make the transition to 2nd easily so why decrease his value? I actually agree he could be traded, but I don’t necessarily think he’s blocked.
  18. Hugh2
    If you notice it’s 26 guys plus Barnes/Acquisition/Chavis. They will make some moves and someone will be optioned, released, or traded.
  19. Hugh2
    You’re going to lose guys on that maybe list, I have to look at this more later, I want to look into who has to be added to the 40 man next year. There’s more than what you listed but most of them are inconsequential. There’s not going to be a roster crunch because they’re going to end up trading some of those guys. But until that happens you’re looking at one. I’m sure it will work itself out, but next year will be interesting 2 years out of Covid. Might be more Garret Whitlocks out there. Not sure what we do with Ward now. He’s likely out until late 2022/2023
  20. Hugh2
    I think we see Casas sometime between June 1st-September 1st of 2022. Very good chance it’s on the early side of that range. And that’s a fast track to the majors.
  21. Hugh2
    Yes he would, and that’s not his fault, but he still lacks those abs. That’s real game experience vs pitchers. Just because every other minor leaguer didn’t get to play last year doesn’t mean he’s any closer to the majors. He’s close, but I just don’t see this year as realistic.
  22. Hugh2
    Another example is Bogaerts, who had over 1600 plate appearances in the minors.
  23. Hugh2
    Could a should a would a. You could say the same thing about guys like Mookie Betts and Xander Boagerts and they never would have got 1/2 the vale those guys added in the majors. That’s the thing about prospects. You never really know when you’re selling high, you could actually be selling low.
  24. Hugh2
    There’s already a roster crunch coming on the 40 man. They’re not adding Casas if they don’t have too. I think they will go out and get a stop gap 1b for 2022 with the hopes that Casas might push his way up and take the job mid 2022. He’s young, think of it this way. Mookie Betts, who is the epitome of someone rushing through the minors had over 1300 plate appearances before he was promoted, Casas has 584 right now. Betts had 679 PA’s above low A when he was called up Casas is at 79. Casas is not an option just because the box score looks good. They’re still developing him. And while he appears to be on the fast track, 2021 is just way to soon. They’re not going to waste a year of control and have to boot someone off the 40 man for him.....YET.
  25. Hugh2
    No way they bring Casa up. He has a month in AA after skipping high A. If he went to college he’d be in this years draft.
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