Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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And then they traded him for Joe Kelly, who was lights out in the 2018 world series. lol
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Lackey was worth every penny for that 2013 season and that game 6 performance.
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IDK, but I'm sure you can figure out, Just take League WAR and League PAs.
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Arroyo has .7 even if his playing time double and you assumed the same level of production that puts him on a path to finish the season around 2 WAR, maybe a little under. 2 WAR is an average to a better player. Not all-star, but not bad. Definitely a step above role player.
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If 2 WAR is just a role player what does that Make Arroyo and Whitlock????
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If there are 5 starters per team (for argumentative purproses, injuries happen and all that) for 30 teams, then ideally out of 150 guys the top 30 are your #1's your 31-60 are your #2's and 61-90 are your #3's so on and so forth. This might be a semantics battle, but I say an ACE is your top pitcher, so hypothetically your top 30 pitchers in baseball are an ACE. Now, maybe there's a difference between the top 5 and top 25-30 that's fine. But I believe that's a fair argument because what's average is completely reliant upon what everyone else is doing. If runs per game go up and the average ERA is 6.00 then all of a sudden a guy with a 4.00 ERA is an ACE. It's all relative to what everyone else is doing. Of course, AS fangraphs has said, league ERA changes from year to year, and I'm just looking at ERA leaders from this year. Maybe next year there are 30 guys in that group. IDK.
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Also, how does one establish what a #1 starting pitcher is? To me, I'd say you'd have to be a top 30 pitcher in baseball. one for each team (I know it doesn't work out that way) but by the metric of an ERA below 3.00 that means there are only 15 #1 pitchers in baseball.
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Without looking it up, how much does that change? maybe that makes an awful season a bad season, or a bad season borderline average to below average. Porcello had two seasons were he was servicable and I wouldn't call bad but I wouldn't call great either, and one as an ACE. In the end he won a cy young here and helped the Sox win a world series in 2018, not going to complain about him but I think I remember expecting more out of him. He was pegged as a guy to buy low on who might develop into an ACE, and then he did....for one season.
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From the beginning of the season that's the jump. Wong jumped 3, Lugo 2 spots, and Perales 4 from the last update. So those guys are still moving up. The biggest droppers were Connor Seabold down 12 spots and Gilberto Jiminez down 13
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I'm man enough to admit when I'm wrong. I withdraw my argument and formally apologize to iortiz.
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I guess ERA varys wildly from year to year by about a whole RUN when you look at it year to year. 4.50 could be above average one year, and below average the next year.
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don't bother, found it. Porcello sucks.
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Can you post a link to that please, I'll concede if wrong.
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Porcello had one great season, two seasons that were borderline good, and two bad seasons. It's what it's.
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Soxprospects Rankings have been updated Mayer Casas Bello Yorke Bleis Rafaella Mata Walter Romero Paulino Anthony Murphy Wong Valdez Gonzelez Jordan Ward Lugo Perales Hickey That's the top 20, the only real change in the top ten was Rafaella jumping over Mata and Walter
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So the average ERA is 4.5 and to you that's a #5 starter. That's just not a realistic position.
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If you know how to use it? how many different way can you use it if you're ONLY using just that. And as I clearly stated even by that metric you're off. In a season where he had an above-average ERA you called him bad. Please explain to me how you can have an above average ERA and be bad. Cocky or not, doesn't change the fact that that's senseless.
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Jumping from AA to the majors in one season isn’t rare, but I wouldn’t say it’s common either. If Bello looks like garbage at the end of next year I’ll start to be concerned. Start. I think we get spoiled with the likes of Devers and Betts and we forget that most guys don’t bust into the bigs as phenoms at 21, Bello isn’t going to be that level of good. But I think he has a very good chance of being a #3 Take a guy like Lester, he busted into the bigs at 22, but he didn’t become a staple above average pitcher in the rotation until his 3rd season at 24. Bellow should be fine. Time will tell
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Well it’s Boston, if you’re not a CY young, or hitting 30 HRs you’re garbage here.
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An ERA lower than the league average by definition is good. If something is better than average then by definition it can't be bad. 2019 was a pretty good season too.
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Let me correct myself, he's pitched at three levels this year. He started the season in Portland.
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ERA for a starting pitcher alone is a horrible gauge. Also the average ERA is about 4.50 so calling a 4.65 "horrible" is a pretty big stretch. Even his 2016 season isn't that bad. 2020/2021 was pretty bad.
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That's actually a great comparison, Story hasn't been bad when healthy, just a little subpar from his career norms. I can see him having a phenomenal next 2-3 seasons here.
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I think you need to know who your closer and set up man is out of the bullpen, and you hope Barnes regains his old self and then you can throw him in the mix with those two guys to not burn them out.
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23 is still pretty young, he will also be 23 to start next season. Bello advanced at least a level each season he's been in the system, actually two levels his first year, two his 3rd year, and 3 this year. He signed at 18, two years older than the typical IFA prospect and missed an entire year due to covid. All things considered, he's flown through the system. He also struggled, not a lot but a little at Portland when he first arrived in 2021 then he adjusted quickly and became dominant. His stuff has ticked up and improved every year he's been in the system. Given a clean bill of health, he could be a regular in the rotation at some point next season.