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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I don't think scouts are looking at those stats as much nowadays, it's all about the underlying metrics, exit velo, swing and miss% spin rate etc etc. His high whip is more of a function of walks, not giving up hard hits. Perales is closer, but these guys are ranked #7 #9 in the Sox system, a system where 6 of those top 9 are on someones prospect list. Wilkeman may not be that far away, saying a guy is top 100 or close to top 100 are two different things. Perales likely gets there first, and has more of a chance of doing that. But aside from walks, GOnzalez has been great. A young arm struggling with control isn't exactly the most uncommon thing either. Perales I think has a chance to break onto some lists this offseason if he finishes the year on trajectory, Wilkeman may need to continue this into next year and maybe get on some mid seasons. It could go the other way too, they could fall off a cliff.
  2. Hugh2
    I would say it's less than 1% either signs. Reimer likely takes up the rest of the bonus pool.
  3. Hugh2
    I’m not sure those guys have high ceilings but that’s ok. Less talented players can still reach their ceiling or close to it and be serviceable major leaguers, and sometimes even carve out a spot trusted in the bullpen. We have a few of those on the big club this year. ERC is still very young so, perhaps he has some upside as well
  4. Hugh2
    Trading away prospects that hit can derail the team for years too. You gotta spend the money somewhere and if you have a juggernaut of position players in the minors can sign a pitcher to a long term deal. More than one way to skin a cat; I prefer the Fa route. Get a proven ace who can help mentor the youth and serve as a 1-2 punch out with Bello
  5. Hugh2
    I don’t think you count on alll those guys coming back to fill two holes, I think you count on 1 and go get a starter. If everyone gets healthy, just push someone to the pen
  6. Hugh2
    Ok but the price will be steeper, I’m fine with a rental, and then going out to buy in what will be a very robust starters market in 2024
  7. Hugh2
    It’s frustrating but not all to uncommon for a young pitcher. He’s an exciting guy
  8. Hugh2
    Why? What’s wrong with a rental?
  9. Hugh2
    Sox have two young pitchers flying up their rankings. This is pure conjecture, but the way both Wilkeman Gonzalez and Luis Perales are throwing they might start squeezing into peoples top 100 lists. Wilkeman went 6 innings today striking out 10 and giving up 0 hits. Recently promoted to Portland Gonzalez is sporting a 4.44 era on the year but with 124 is in only 75 innings. Could Bello just be the beginning of an improved Sox system of developing pitchers? We shall see.
  10. Hugh2
    Sox have a top 10 farm.
  11. Hugh2
    I’m all for keeping the band together and going for it. But if you’re even thinking of selling you have to listen to offers on Paxton. He’s your best trade chip, realistically speaking. He’s already pitched more Innings this year than the last few years combined so how much more can he give this season. It could be the ultimate sell high. Or not, which is why he will command a good return. Teams overpay handsomely at the deadline for quality pitching.
  12. Hugh2
    The only way Anthony sniffs Portland this year is if he’s still raking and Portland has better playoff opportunities. In which case it’s still September baseball. I don’t think it happens, the Sox brass have criteria they like to see at every level and it’s not all about stats, at all. Anthony has some holes in his swing, and very bad splits right now. The Sox aren’t going to push him to Portland right after pushing him to Greenville.
  13. Hugh2
    “Only being a rental” lowers the return. If you want to keep the farm strong by not depleting it and you still want to strengthen the big league club for a possible playoff run…a rental is what you should be looking at.
  14. Hugh2
    False equivalency, Baltimore doesn’t spend. LA is a better model, they focus big on drafting well, scouting and building up their farm. Then they spend big, and the results have been pretty darn good in LA.
  15. Hugh2
    I feel like they sign one of them. Someone gets less than thought somewhere and one of those guys takes less than thought. Maybe Schlaegel on 250K or something like that. This is pure speculation.
  16. Hugh2
    That's my boy. I hope he continues to impress, would be really nice to have two stud catchers in the system.
  17. Hugh2
    If you look at Tampas drafting they've missed on a LOT of guys, but they hit here and there too. It's easier for them to do that with the number of draft picks they get. Sox don't have that luxury.
  18. Hugh2
    Two different issues. You will have to ask the Red Sox the answer to that question.
  19. Hugh2
    And two world series wins. How many teams have 1, let alone 2 in that time frame. By that time frame, one can't argue against the merits paid off by the "strategy" whatever it may be.
  20. Hugh2
    Unless the Sox fail to sign Anderson/Zantella (unlikley) they don't sign him. If one of those guys does not sign you have potentially 1 million + to play with to throw at him. unlikely to happen.
  21. Hugh2
    So then it's even more likely that Call is not signing.
  22. Hugh2
    That's a spot-on description. young pitchers go bust at the top of the draft more than anyone else. You can always trade for pitching, or play the numbers game at the IFA level where you don't have to wait your turn like a draft.
  23. Hugh2
    Fair, but he was far from a blue chipper too. He was 19th overall. That's highly regarded but certainly not like having a top 5 pick. Guys like that aren't top 100 prospects until they earn it. It would have been equivalent to the Sox trading Mickey Romero, who could turn out to be Dustin Pedroia OR Deven Marrero. It's not like getting someone that is currently a legit top 100 prospect caliber. They got a guy, and they hit.
  24. Hugh2
    We should have an idea soon enough, Anderson and Zanetello reportedly are both going above slot. Those top 3 picks probably take up around 8 million. Leaving 1.5 million for Duffy and Reimer, if those guys sign at slot that gives you enough to throw 600K at Call. Is that enough? doesn't sound like it but it could be because we don't know his asking price. If someone comes in lower, or on of their 2/3rd picks don't sign they can jus throw 1.5 2 million at him, or if both Zanetello and Anderson get over 2 million there just won't be any money left over for him.
  25. Hugh2
    yes. I went from no way they sign Call to maybe they sign Call back to I don't think they sign Call. Call was for insurance if they couldn't sign Zanetello or Anderson, that's what I believed the day of the draft. Perhaps someone signs for way less than expected.
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