Nick
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Everything posted by Nick
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Yep, that's what I'm hoping for.
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You make too much sense. I keep thinking about the Sox offense in 2017 and how pitiful it was with no power bat. My guess is most Sox fans think along your thought.
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Thanks for the vidual aid. It helps. In terms of priority, we need both Betts and JD. We suspected Betts would have a bounce back year but having JD anchor middle of the lineup solidified this team. We need him. Throw in team controlled kids in Beni and Devers. I would keep JBJ around too. What to do with Xander. We are making a terrible mistake if we give him $20M and up. It's NOT that he's not deserving but spending too much money on a shortstop will necessarily force someone else not being signed. We can't have it all, you have to make choices. Same goes with not signing Kimbrel and looking for a cheaper alternative. Same goes with not signing Porcello when his gig is up. We have to give up something. I rather bet on Betts and JD to continue with our success. We will need to up the ante for JD after 2019 season. I see him as more of priority than Xander. You can always find a good defensive shortstop. Not many JD in this league.
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I agree with you. Pitchers are so fragile these days. Pitching must be an unnatural motion. Maybe it'll be more durable Porcello we end up signing. This may sound stupid but someone should open up a Knuckleball Academy. Teach younger players to throw a knuckleball. No base running though.
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JBJ is a four year arb guy. He become FA with Betts. You are right about others. Porcello, Price, Xander, and JD will have option to opt out twice, either after 2019 or 2020. This is why I'd like to see the Sox sign Eovaldi. We can let Porcello go and try to sign Sale and Xander. With Pablo's $18M, Moreland's $6.5M and Porcello's $20M, we'll have $43M to sign Sale, JD and Xander. Remember, we're talking 'delta'. These three guys are already making decent money.
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I'm trying to tamper my expectations going forward but this has been a great run. Deep down, my hope is Henry decides to 'go for it' again and again. I realize we can't sign everyone but if the core group can be kept for few more years, I'll learn to do back flips at age 60. It's all good. I also enjoy being nice to Yankees fans (our high school baseball coach is one) when we're on top. I work the scoreboard at our high school baseball games and we play "Sweet Caroline" after top of the fifth inning. A little dig at our baseball coach but the fans love it here in Indiana.
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We can build from within.........Kimmi approves.
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There's a possiblity of Sox completely starting from scratch for 2020 under following scenario. Pedey retires at the end of 2019 due to another injury. JD Martinez opts out after 2019. (He can do this both 2019 and 2020). At that point, there's only two contracts on the books. Price 3 more years at $31M. Vazquez 2 more years at $4.517M. Trade away every arbitration eligible players for surplus of young, cost controlled talent. If we win again in 2019, I don't think I'd be too upset. What can we get for Betts, JBJ, Beni, Devers, E Rod?
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Look, I love baseball but I have no idea about pitcher's ability to go from starting to closing and vice versa. Let's say you want to 're-set' Sale's arm fatigue coming from pitching 200+ innings while striking out 300+. And let's say we extend his contract in April of 2019, 6 years, $180M. (we did this with Porcello when we announced his new four year deal). And let's say we sign Eovaldi and everyone is healthy including Wright, Johnson and Hector. Is it possible to use Sale as a closer for one year? Will that 'save' his arm or does closing games for entire year take same toll as starting 32 times? Any former pitcher or pitching coach out there? Sale will be making $15M for 2019. Not unreasonable cost for a closer. (Or can you rotate say, Eovaldi, Price and Sale for two months apiece?)
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Another thing to keep in mind as move forward is that there will be a new Collective Bargaining Agreement for 2022, CB Payroll limit will be $206M, $208M, and $210M over the next three years. I see that going up to around $220M for 2023. Henry may 'go for it' to build additional value for the Sox. At some point he will sell. Three consecutive titles would do it for him.
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Big thing for Sox this year is everyone remaining relatively healthy, especially the starting four of Sale, Price, Porcello and E Rod. I would love to see E Rod take it up another notch. He needs more swings and misses to keep his pitch count low. No matter how he starts off a batter, inevitably he goes to 2-2, 3-2 counts.
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2018 World Series Champions Boston Red Sox
Nick replied to Station 13's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I believe I read somewhere Houston Astros passed out each player share of $387K to 76 or so individuals. That's pretty good pay day for guys like Brasier. I'm happy for them. Merry Christmas. -
Great synopsis. My thought was when DD was hired, we finally had an adult running the show. Sox fans forget that we finished dead last three out of four years around the world championship year. We have two more years of Betts/JBJ along with Beni/Devers. We have the starting rotation coming back for 2019 (except for Pom). Our pen needs work. Xander, Nunez, JD (opt year coming up for 2020) and Moreland are back for one more year. I'd say we're in pretty good shape for at least two more years on the heels of three straight division championships. In today's era, five good years is pretty much what you can hope.
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I know it won't happen but my dream scenario is for Pedey to retire, move Betts to 2B, JD to OF and sign a power bat (Betre) to DH for 1 yr 10M deal. I just want to see it for 1 yr.
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I'd almost rather see Pedey go ahead and retire. I think too many of us are thinking he's coming back to be the player once he was and will be very disappointed. We won and became the greatest Red Sox team WITHOUT him. Maybe that's what he meant when he uttered those famous words, "it wasn't me, it's them".
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Moon, the tax threshhold is $206M for 2019.
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I have no basis for this but Wright to me has a physique of what you think of a knuckleballer. Meaning he's out of shape. He'll always struggle physically, especially when trying to come back from a serious injury.
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Being patient played well for DD last off season. He correctly read the market for JD. He did not panic. Also having the resources in July to go get what the team needs is critical for playoff run (money and young players). As I mentioned before, DD is a straight shooter. He identifies team needs and address them. We need a closer, platoon partner for Moreland and another starter, Go get them DD.
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2018 World Series Champions Boston Red Sox
Nick replied to Station 13's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think Moon has a book/spreadsheet that he simply updates. It's not like he's starting from scratch. He dreams Red Sox going to bed. I see him all dressed up Sox pj. -
Yep.... not sure why posters insist on not believing words coming out of player's mouth. Price has four more years left on his contract. He's not going to get more money. No one is going to give him additional years. And finally, why would Price want to pitch longer than four more years? He'll have all the money he needs. Elite players eventually want to win. He got his world series ring. He can get another one pitching for the Sox.
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It sure makes 2019 discussion easy knowing you have the world championship in back pocket. At worst Sale, Price, Porcello, E Rod, Wright, Johnson and Hector as starters. Barnes, Brasier, Workman, Hembree, Thornburg, Smith, Maddox, Poyner in the pen. Vazquez, Moreland, Holt, Xander, Devers, JD, Beni, JBJ and Betts in the field. That's probably good enough for wildcard spot. Sign Eovaldi to a 4 year deal. Sign Kelly and trade for a cost controlled closer. Sign Pearce to a two year, $15M deal.
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Has any manager used starters as often out of the pen as Cora did in 2019 playoff run?
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MOON, It's time for A Realistic view at 2019: Part I 4 Titles in 15 years, Giants with 3, Cardinals with 2, Yankees and others at 1.
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Henry/DD will only "keep it going" (ie spend money) with one though in mind. Win back to back World Series. 1 Sign Eovaldi. This is a hedge against losing both Sale and Porcello after 2019. It's a smart move. Goal is to win the world series, not jut to sign a fifth starter. Assuming E Rod continues to improve, our starting pitching will be loaded and gives us more options for 2019 playoff run. 2 Wait and see at 2B. We have enough hitting elsewhere. If Pedey has to 'retire', then trade for 2B in July. 3. I'd look for cost controlled closer in a trade. We may have to give up some young talent again but the goal is to win it all.
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10/27 World Series Game 4
Nick replied to Jasonbay44's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
I'm going to hold you to that.
