harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Can the Red Sox find a trade partner that assigns a similar value to Bobby Dalbec (and his projected 36 percent strikeout rate)? The Red Sox may well pursue Atlanta centerfielder Ender Inciarte, whom ZiPS projects with a 2021 WAR of 1.7, which in 2019 was valued at about $13 million. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ender-inciarte/4922/stats?position=OF#zips-3-year-projections The Braves may balk at that exchange. Or not.
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FWIW the Red Sox were 18-42 (.300) over the final 60 games of the 2012 season: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BOS/2012-schedule-scores.shtml ... and won the World Series the following year.
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What are the chances the Red Sox were among the teams to attend a recent workout by righthander Aaron Sanchez? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2020/10/aaron-sanchez-works-out-for-teams.html
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In the last three drafts the Seattle Mariners took college pitchers in the first round with the No 14, No. 20 and No. 6 picks. Righthanders Emerson Hancock, Logan Gilbert and George Kirby are now ranked No. 30, No. 35 and No. 95 among all prospects at MLB Pipeline: Top 100 Baseball Prospects | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM The Official Site of Major League Baseball That's one approach that could be undermined by prospect attrition. The Mariners once had pitching prospects Taijuan Walker, Danny Hultzen and James Paxton ranked higher.
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The Red Sox will have the No. 4 pick in next year's draft: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2020/10/__trashed-21.html
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Thank you for the clarification.
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What are the chances C.J. Chatham is claimed in the Rule 5 draft if left unprotected the month he turns 26 years old?
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My apologies as well. You remain a respected poster.
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Baseball Trade Values lists the median trade value of 1,210 contracts of what the site considers MLB players. BTV lists 122 players with negative median trade values. Nathan Eovaldi ranks 49th on the list of most negative median trade values: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/
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Perhaps the pessimistic ZiPS projections for Nathan Eovaldi need to be updated: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathan-eovaldi/9132/stats?position=P#zips-3-year-projections Or not.
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“That’s actually a pretty dumb statement” in response to “The Eovaldi contract is under water.” A contract is under water if more is owed than the asset’s worth.
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No team would take the entire Eovaldi contract because the contract is under water despite the righthander’s 2020 performance.
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No team is likely to take on the entire Nathan Eovaldi contract. The pitching-thin Red Sox should probably keep Eovaldi and pray the injury-prone righthander sustains the success of the 2020 small sample.
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l The salary relief is $34 million. Good move (that is unlikely to happen).
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Nathan Eovaldi is owed $34 million over two years with an Adjusted Field Value of $22.4 million, leaving a deficit of $11.6 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/8096/ The Eovaldi contract is under water. The Red Sox will likely keep Eovaldi and hope the righthander makes 25 starts with an ERA+ between his Boston mark of 103 and his career mark of 96: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/e/eovalna01.shtml
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Righhander Kevin Gausman made 31 starts in 2018, 31 appearances (including 17 starts) in 2019 and 12 appearances (including 10 starts) in 2020: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gausmke01.shtml Gausman, who turns 30 in January, made 150 appearances (including 127 starts) in six seasons with the Baltimore Orioles of the AL East, posting an ERA of 4.22 and an ERA+ of 100. Gausman and the Giants reportedly have mutual interest in Gausman's return to San Francisco. After a solid if shortened 2020 season, Gausman is a candidate to receive a qualifying offer (as is Mets righthander Marcus Stroman).
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Back in short-season Class A nine years ago Rougned Odor started a brawl but missed on some right hooks: I saw Odor play a few weeks later in Eugene, Oregon.
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In making assessments, Baseball Trade Values considers the appropriate objective factors (that many fans overlook) but apparently ignores subjective factors. One can always argue with the value the website assigns to each appropriate objective factor.
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Baseball Trade Values approves a trade of Nathan Eovaldi and Andrew Benintendi to the Rangers for Lance Lynn and Rouged Odor: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-28067/ Is that what you had in mind?
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Why would a trade partner do that? Few teams are thinner in the starting rotation than the Red Sox.
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What is a better measure of trade value? Perhaps no one is qualified to discuss roster moves.
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According to Baseball Trade Values, Andrew Benintendi and Nathan Eovaldi have a combined trade value of a negative $4.9 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/604/ Benintendi and Eovaldi are owed a combined $23.6 million in 2021 (and Eovaldi another $17 million in 2022). How much cash would the Red Sox need to send to get a nominal return? Benintendi and Eovaldi are likely to return to the 2021 Red Sox.
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A trade of Andrew Benintendi and/or Nathan Eovaldi would require replacements at thin positions. That's the problem. The question of Eovaldi's dependability limits his trade value. Benintendi and Eovaldi are likely to return to the 2021 Red Sox.
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FWIW I concur.
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Will the Red Sox be competitive in 2021, the final year of team control over Eduardo Rodriguez? If the Red Sox tender Rodriguez a 2021 contract, in the arbitration process they'll be working off the lefthander's 2020 salary of $8.3 million. Much may depend on the medical updates over the next eight weeks.