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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Compare the numbers over the past three years for Gary Sanchez in his age 25, 26 and 27 seasons (2018-20) and the numbers for catcher Mike Zunino in his age 25, 26 and 27 seasons (2016-18): GS 244 G, 998 PA, 132 R, 62 HR, 154 RBI, .200/.296/.453/.748, OPS+ 99, 3.7 bWAR, 4.0 fWAR MZ 292 G, 1032 PA, 105 R, 57 HR, 139 RBI, .223/.300/.462/.763, OPS+ 107, 7.0 bWAR, 8.3 fWAR Following the 2018 season Seattle traded Zunino, Michael Plassmeyer and Guillermo Heredia to Tampa Bay for Mallex Smith and Jake Fraley. Sanchez likely has far less trade value because of his defensive deficiencies. Or not.
  2. harmony
    As a non-tendered free agent last offseason Taijuan Walker signed with a Seattle club that was not expected to contend in 2020. From Walker's Twitter account: https://twitter.com/tai_walker/status/1299376282262745088/photo/1 https://twitter.com/MLBNetworkRadio/status/1298812489912717313/photo/1 His other tweets suggest an affinity for Seattle. Walker's wife is from Seattle (as is the wife of Walker's buddy, lefty Marco Gonzales, who had an offseason home in Seattle before his trade to the Mariners). The Mariners probably have less than a 50 percent chance of signing Walker but because of the team culture their chances may be as good as any team's. Or not.
  3. harmony
    A CBS Sports columnist predicts the Red Sox will sign righthander Taijuan Walker: https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/matching-one-mlb-free-agent-with-every-team-dj-lemahieu-returns-to-yankees-trevor-bauer-heads-west-and-more/ Boston is an unlikely destination.
  4. harmony
    Tanner Houck's two weeks at the MLB level fell far short of the 172 days needed for a full year of MLB service. Under the special rules for the shortened 2020 season, Houck was credited with 36 days of MLB service: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/houckta01.shtml Don't be surprised if Houck opens the 2021 season with at least 40 days in the minors to extend team control through 2026.
  5. harmony
    https://nesn.com/2020/11/this-mlb-free-agent-pitcher-would-love-to-play-for-red-sox-next-season/ Keone Kela should just return to his Seattle roots. Or not.
  6. harmony
    That elusive match explains why so few trades happen.
  7. harmony
    Perhaps the team that got the lesser return?
  8. harmony
    In the past decade trades have presented the most efficient means of adding talent because the free agent market was getting increasingly expensive. With the rumored crash of the free agent market, trades may become less appealing because trade assets have salaries largely set before the crash of the market. If in fact free agent bargains can be found this offseason, those underpriced assets can become valuable in the future trade market if the free agent market recovers. Or not.
  9. harmony
    As an aside, in 2016 I saw righthander Corbin Burnes pitch for Saint Mary's College of California: https://portlandpilots.com/sports/baseball/stats/2016/saint-marys-game-1-/boxscore/8024 The right fielder for the Gaels was Anthony Gonsolin, who went 3-for-4 with a home run and three RBI. Tony Gonsolin was the starting pitcher in the deciding Game 6 of this year's World Series.
  10. harmony
    Good ideas but Lorenzo Cain has been with the Milwaukee Brewers since January 26, 2018.
  11. harmony
    Yankee fans can be as petty as ... well, fans of other teams: https://yanksgoyard.com/2020/11/06/red-sox-alex-cora-hire/
  12. harmony
    MLB Trade Rumors predicts that free agent Jackie Bradley Jr. will land with the Houston Astros: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2020/11/mlb-free-agent-predictions-2021.html
  13. harmony
    I thought of Ben Gamel independently before finding this March 2020 scouting blurb at FanGraphs: "Fraley is officially in tweenersville. He plays a fine center field but he’s not such a black hole that it makes up for his lack of power on offense and enables him to profile. Perhaps plus corner defense with a slightly better hit tool than I’ve projected means Fraley can be a platoon 45 FV, but I think enough puzzle pieces with power are floating around that he ends up a Ben Gamel style, luxury bench outfielder." https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-38-prospects-seattle-mariners/
  14. harmony
    That same year Jake Fraley posted his best numbers (OPS .925) at the Double A Texas League in 259 plate appearances with the Arkansas Travelers, who play in the pitcher-friendly Dickey-Stephens Park: https://www.milb.com/news/gcs-66868822
  15. harmony
    And Jarren Duran and Jake Fraley are/were both graded an overall future value of 40: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/sa3006786/stats?position=OF https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jake-fraley/19260/stats?position=OF
  16. harmony
    Jarren Duran's ceiling might be Jake Fraley, who in his age 24 season made 10 starts, including nine in center field, for a 94-loss Seattle club in 2019. Or not. Compare their minor league stats: JD DOB 9-5-96, B:L, T:R, 199 G, .322/.376/.446/.823, 70 SB, 23 CS JF DOB 5-25-95, B:L, T:L, 250 G, .286/.362/.480/.842, 70 SB, 28 CS https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=duran-000jar https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=fraley000jak
  17. harmony
    Cheaters should be held accountable. Alex Cora was held accountable. Welcome back.
  18. harmony
    Earlier this year FanGraphs failed to rank Deivy Grullon among the Top 39 prospects in a weak Philadelphia farm system: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-39-prospects-philadelphia-phillies/ Grullon and Seattle's Luis Torrens were among potential backup catchers dealt at this year's trade deadline. Here is one comp with ZiPS projections: DG DOB 2-27-96, 6-1, 180, B:R, T:R, international free agent signed on July 2, 2012, ZiPS 2021 0.3 WAR, 2022 0.6 WAR LT DOB 5-2-96, 6-0, 175, B:R, T:R, international free agent signed on July 2, 2012, ZiPS 2021 0.8 WAR, 2022 0.7 WAR Grullon made one start after the trade while Torrens made 16 starts for Seattle. Offseason moves could change depth charts but at this point Torrens would back up Tom Murphy, Seattle's expected starting catcher. Grullon has six years of team control while Torrens has five years of team control.
  19. harmony
    Jonathan Schoop and Kolten Wong may shun the Red Sox. Or not.
  20. harmony
    One of those prospects, righthander Andrew Moore, was actually a post-prospect who had hurled five quality starts the previous season. Indeed Moore did not play in 2020.
  21. harmony
    Trivia: When Jarren Duran was playing for Cypress (CA) High School, down the street Dylan Moore was playing for Cypress College. This year Moore posted 1.7 bWAR and 1.4 fWAR in only 38 games playing seven positions with the Seattle Mariners.
  22. harmony
    The Mets have signed Mallex Smith (and Jose Peraza and Arodys Vizcaino) to minor league contracts: The Red Sox might not want to rely on Jarren Duran, a 24-year-old who has played only 82 games above High A, posting a .250/.309/.325/.634 line with a wRC+ of only 87 at Double A: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/sa3006786/stats?position=OF FanGraphs gives Duran a modest future value of 40 on an 80-point scale. SoxProspects questions Duran's defense: https://soxprospects.com/players/duran-jarren.htm On the other hand, a non-contending team might have little to lose by giving Duran a shot in centerfield.
  23. harmony
    According to the early ESPN power rankings for 2021, that could be the Red Sox: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/30151839/mlb-power-rankings-way-too-early-edition-how-dodgers-rays-all-30-teams-stack-2021 Or not.
  24. harmony
    Have you taken Python or a similar coding class? My younger daughter, who like you is a college senior, took a Python course as a prerequisite for the required data class in her social science major. Analytics have taken over the world. Former FanGraphs managing editor Dave Cameron, who works now for the San Diego Padres, wrote that anyone who wants to enter baseball operations should take a coding class.
  25. harmony
    A few million voters in Tuesday's election were born after the Seattle Mariners last appeared in the postseason. Enjoy.
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