harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Reports were that the trade of two months of Kendall Graveman resulted in an immediate intense negative reaction in the Seattle clubhouse. Those emotions reportedly calmed down two days later when the Mariners acquired three years and two months of a more established reliever in 27-year-old Diego Castillo. Small-sample reliever ERA has its limitations, but post-trades Graveman had a higher ERA than Castillo and Joe Smith.
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Indeed, a larger sample of 61 games as opposed to the cited 13 games. The 2021 Seattle Mariners' 19-15 record againt AL East teams included a 6-1 record against the 100-win division champion Tampa Bay Rays but a losing record (13-14) against other AL East clubs.
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Indeed ... to cherry-pick a small sample to fit a particular narrative.
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After the trade of Kendall Graveman and Rafael Montero for Abraham Toro and Joe Smith, Graveman posted an ERA of 3.13 in 23 appearances with the Astros while Smith posted an ERA of 2.00 in 23 appearances with the Mariners. Diego Castillo posted an ERA of 2.86 in 24 appearances with Seattle while JT Chargois, who went to Tampa Bay in the Castillo trade, posted an ERA of 1.90 in 25 appearances with the Rays. The Mariners were 55-46 (.545) before the Graveman trade and 35-26 (.574) after the trade.
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From the Seattle Mariner PR department: https://marinersblog.mlblogs.com/9-reasons-scott-servais-is-2021-al-manager-of-the-year-1c2c4ea473d1
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A FanGraphs columnist projects Eduardo Rodriguez with a four-year, $80 million contract: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-top-50-free-agents/ Scroll down.
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Either number makes the point. That's the point. Any poster who cherry picks should expect to be called out.
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According to Steamer's 2022 fWAR projections, Ty France would again rank fourth among Red Sox hitters: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=3&lg=all&players=0 https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ty-france/17982/stats?position=1B
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Below each player's ceiling but above each player's floor.
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Steamer projects 2022 fWAR of 3.9 for Luis Castillo, 3.1 for Sean Manaea, 3.1 for Frankie Montas and 2.8 for Chris Bassitt.
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FWIW this year 27-year-old Ty France would have placed fourth among Red Sox hitters in fWAR (ahead of J.D. Martinez, Alex Verdugo and a full season of Kyle Schwarber). France remains prearbitration next year.
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The Jarren Duran projections are in line with the "conservative" 2022 projections for speedy lefthand-hitting Seattle outfielder Jake Fraley, a plausible comp who is 16 months older than Duran. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jake-fraley/19260/stats?position=OF https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/fraleja01.shtml
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FWIW the 2022 Steamer and Marcel projections for Jarren Duran: Steamer 372 PA, .252/.306/.412/.718, 0.7 fWAR Marcel 256 PA, .236/.294/.386/.680 How much weight would a trade partner give the humble projections for Duran, who turns 26 years old near the end of that season? https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/24617/stats?position=OF https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/duranja01.shtml
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Baseball Trade Values may deem a proposed trade a fair deal but that does not mean the package is the best the Cincinnati Reds would receive for two years of a reasonably priced top-tier starter in Luis Castillo. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2021&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate= A team will likely need to overpay in a trade for the nearly 29-year-old righthander.
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Alex Cora is not among the three finalists for American League Manager of Year: BBWAA Awards finalists 2021 WWW.MLB.COM The finalists for MLB's four major end-of-season awards -- Rookie of the Year, Manager of the Year, Cy Young Award and Most Valuable Player -- were revealed on Monday. The 2021 award winners for each league will be announced next week, starting at 6 p.m. ET each day: • Monday,
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But Wade Miley (and Jonathan Aro) netted the Red Sox Carson Smith (and Roenis Elias).
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Anthony DeSclafani? https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/desclan01.shtml
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Is that a death wish?
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For 20 years the Seattle Mariners have been unable to bunch together enough wins in a single season to advance to the postseason. Over that 20-year span Seattle has a better cumulative regular-season record than nine MLB teams (all of whom have bunched together enough wins in one season to make a postseason appearance). FWIW over the past two seasons the Mariners have a better cumulative regular-season record than the Red Sox. Nevertheless the Red Sox advanced to AL Championship Series this year while the Mariners were left again on the October sidelines. The tough-luck* Mariners have become more and more endearing. If Seattle can bunch together wins in one season, the M's may make another postseason appearance during this poster's lifetime. Or not. BTW the Red Sox should be commended for a fine season. * although Pythagorean suggests the Mariners were lucky in 89- and 90-win seasons in 2018 and 2021
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^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
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https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/10/15/matt-barnes-left-off-red-sox-alcs-roster-but-cbo-chaim-bloom-remains-confident-in-all-stars-future/ https://www.nbcsports.com/boston/red-sox/red-sox-matt-barnes-suffered-bizarre-thumb-injury-late-season
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Any evidence of cheating should be forwarded to the commissioner's office.
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Seattle GM Jerry Dipoto likely shopped Kendall Graveman to many teams and took the best offer in the end. The Red Sox may have been in the mix but could not match other offers. Or not. After the trade Kendall Graveman posted 0.3 fWAR in 23 appearances while fellow short-timer Joe Smith, the veteran reliever who went from Houston to Seattle, posted 0.5 fWAR in 23 appearances. The key for the Mariners was four-plus years of 24-year-old infielder Abraham Toro, who posted 0.8 fWAR in 60 games with the M's. The same week Seattle acquired three-plus years of part-time Tampa Bay closer Diego Castillo, whom the Rays were unlikely the trade to a division rival.
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Which team likely cheated?
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Baseball Trade Values is likely to downgrade Jarred Duran after the now 25-year-old posted a negative 0.5 fWAR in only 33 games. The ZiPS three-year projections have Duran at 0.4, 0.6 and 0.5 fWAR in 540+ plate appearances in each of the next three seasons. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/24617/stats?position=OF#zips-3-year-projections Duran is unlikely to land Frankie Montas or Sean Manaea.