I tend to agree with you ... it doesn't pass the smell test.
I wonder whether the Red Sox contract with Hanley Ramirez specifically addressed that contingency and whether changes in the MLB Collective Bargaining would produce a result different from that suffered by Dennis Lamp in 1986.
Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston offers his analysis of the issue:
https://www.nbcsports.com/boston/red-sox/drellich-dombrowski-didnt-need-cora-buffer-avoid-hanley-grievance
In 1986 Howard Cosell addressed the issue of Dennis Lamp's option:
http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/1986-09-17/sports/8602250111_1_dennis-lamp-collusion-blue-jays-management
Hanley Ramirez, through his agent, negotiated the vesting option, which is of value to the player. I question whether the vesting option can simply disappear any more than the 2018 salary of $22 million can disappear if Ramirez signs with another club upon release.
Other clubs would be unlikely to sign Ramirez if the vesting option transfers over to the new club (at least until July or August when the ultimate vesting becomes unlikely). Would Ramirez have a grievance if the designation-for-assignment effectively prevented the option from vesting when he was on pace for the option to vest?
I hope the Red Sox contract with Ramirez addresses that specific contingency.
So far this year? Seattle's Edwin Diaz (and others)
https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
Small samples.
Hanley Ramirez is on pace to meet the conditions. If he signs with another team in a week he could still meet the conditions.
In November 2014 Ramirez agreed to play four seasons for the Red Sox (or their assignee). The designation for assignment may or may not prevent Ramirez from meeting that condition. Still, the Red Sox are on the hook for the balance of his 2019 salary of $22 million (less the prorated league minimum if he signs elsewhere). That Red Sox obligation did not disappear.
My point is that Ramirez should be entitled to the bargained-for benefit of the vesting option if he reaches 1,050 plate appearances in 2017-18 and passes a physical. My question is what team should be responsible for the vested option.
If, as Evan Drellich reports, the "Union steadfastly protects value of contracts," how can the vesting option, a negotiated benefit of value, simply disappear?
I suspect we haven't heard the last of this issue.
Not necessarily if no team will sign Hanley Ramirez to the league minimum this year because of fears the 2019 option will vest.
In November 2014 Ramirez signed a contract that reportedly said a 2019 option for $22 million would vest with 1,050 plate appearances in 2017-18 (and a passed physical after the 2018 season).
I doubt the vesting option simply disappears, especially when Ramirez was on pace to vest the option.
Again, I don't know the terms of the Red Sox contract, which I hope addressed this contingency.
Except the Red Sox are still on the hook for the balance of this year's $22 million salary (less the prorated league minimum) even though Hanley Ramirez would be playing for another team under a new contract.
I don't know the specifics of the Hanley Ramirez contract but I suspect Ramirez may have a grievance if the vesting option is voided.
Ramirez was playing well enough to be on pace to vest the $22 million option for 2019. As the Alex Speier article mentions, it would have been awkward for the Red Sox to keep Ramirez but cut back his plate appearances to avoid the vesting option. However, any grievance Ramirez may have had with that strategy pales in comparison to a grievance that the DFA voids the option altogether if no team claims him.
Again I don't know the specifics of the contract but I doubt Ramirez can lose the benefits of the vesting option that easily.
In the likely event Hanley Ramirez is not claimed, a team would need to decide whether Ramirez is worth the league minimum this year and $22 million next year to play for roughly one and two-thirds seasons (assuming the team plans to play Ramirez enough to reach the vesting option). That prorates to an annual salary of about $13.5 million.
Ramirez may be stuck in purgatory ... at least until later in the season when a team can sign Ramirez for the league minimum and not worry about the vesting option.
And flush $30 million down the drain?
Hanley Ramirez -- prorated 2018 salary of $22 million
Jackie Bradley -- prorated 2018 salary of $6.1 million
Sandy Leon -- prorated 2018 salary of $1.95 million
Christian Vazquez --prorated 2018 salary of $1.425 million plus $13.55 million through 2021
Drew Pomeranz -- prorated 2018 salary of $8.5 million
I suspect the Red Sox will designate Blake Swihart for assignment and then within seven days trade the switch-hitting catcher to the highest bidder for a player or players who won't require spots on the 40-man roster or who at least have options left.
We'll leave that to you.
The provided link explains the calculation that goes into the projection (which is a probability, not a prediction):
https://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/wrc/
An aggregate projection (ZiPS, Steamer, Depth Charts combined) tends to be more accurate than an individual projection.
With the 80-day suspension of White Sox catcher Welington Castillo, the Red Sox could offer the out-of-options Blake Swihart and Brian Johnson for two veteran relievers: righty Joakim Soria and lefty Luis Avilan.
Soria earns $9 million* with a $1 million buyout of a $10 million team option for 2019. Avilan earns $2.45 million this year and remains under team control through next season.
https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=4&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
* the Kansas City sent $1 million to the White Sox in the trade of Soria in January
I stayed at a Fairfield Inn by Marriott in Dedham about a five-minute walk from the Franklin Line South Station.
https://www.marriott.com/hotels/travel/bosdh-fairfield-inn-boston-dedham/
The MBTA trip to Fenway Park requires a transfer at the Back Bay Station.
ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project Blake Swihart with rest-of-season wRC+ of 58, 69 and 64:
https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C
https://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/wrc/