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harmony

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  1. Brad Hand has a career ERA+ of 102, including 161 in 205.2 innings over the past three seasons. Hand has a career fWAR of 3.4, including 3.6 (4.6 bWAR) over the past three seasons. Blake Treinen has a career ERA+ of 139, including 155 in 177.2 innings over the past three seasons. Treinen has a career fWAR of 4.3, including 3.3 (4.7 bWAR) over the past three seasons. General managers know that. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/handbr01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/treinbl01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/handbr01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/treinbl01.shtml
  2. On what do you base that conclusion? https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/athletics/making-case-blake-treinen-baseballs-most-valuable-closer Blake Treinen, Brad Hand top relievers for May WWW.MLB.COM Oakland's Blake Treinen and San Diego's Brad Hand were honored for their May performances as The Hartford American League and National League Relievers of the Month on Saturday.Since arriving in Oakland in a trade with the Nationals last July, Treinen has excelled pitching out of the A's bullpen. This season,
  3. As included in the provided links, Blake Treinen has posted 4.3 fWAR (5.9 bWAR) in 296 career innings while Brad Hand has posted 3.4 fWAR (4.9 bWAR) in 494.1 career innings. https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=12572&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=9111&position=P https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/t/treinbl01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/handbr01.shtml
  4. I immediately provided the projections that are based on the large sample of career numbers.
  5. Because the San Diego Padres reportedly are seeking a Rafael Devers-level player for closer Brad Hand*, let's compare Hand and Blake Treinen. Treinen, who turns 30 years old later this month, remains under team control through 2020 working off a 2018 salary of $2.15 million. Brad Hand, 28, is owed about $16.5 million through 2020 with a $10 million team option, or $1 million buyout, for 2021. Treinen has posted 1.5 fWAR in 28 appearances this season while Hand has posted 0.4 fWAR in 34 appearances this year. ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project rest-of-season WAR of 0.6, 0.5 and 0.8 for Trienen and 0.6, 0.6 and 0.9 for Hand. https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=12572&position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=9111&position=P One could argue that Treinen has more trade value than Hand. I doubt the uninspiring package of Jalen Beeks, Michael Chavis, Travis Lakins and Heath Hembree (who will be arbitration eligible next offseason) would be enough to land Treinen alone, much less the closer and Jed Lowrie. *
  6. Jed Lowrie has posted 5.8 fWAR, valued at $46.4 million, over the last nine months of baseball, playing in 225 of Oakland's 236 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4418&position=2B/SS#value MLB Prospect Watch ranks 24-year-old Jalen Beeks 15th, 25-year-old Ty Buttery 27th and 24-year-old Tzu-Wei Lin unranked in a lightly regarded Red Sox farm system: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2018?list=bos
  7. We're in rare agreement.
  8. That Gold Glover, Byron Buxton, has an OPS+ of 7 this year to go with his career OPS+ of 80 while Jackie Bradley has an OPS+ of 56 this year to go with his career OPS+ of 89. The Minnesota Twins, however, would have defensively elite outfielders who bat from opposites sides of the plate.
  9. On another thread a poster suggested a trade of two-plus increasingly expensive years of Jackie Bradley for the expiring contract of Minnesota second baseman Brian Dozier.
  10. That might work if the Twins are not scared off by Jackie Bradley’s escalating salaries in his final two years of arbitration.
  11. Rafael Devers has posted 0.8 fWAR in 71 games while Pablo Sandoval has posted 0.6 fWAR in 59 games. Baseball Reference must be a day behind by listing Devers with 0.1 bWAR in 70 games and Sandoval with 0.7 bWAR in 58 games. Each collects a paycheck from the Red Sox.
  12. FanGraphs currently gives the Twins a 6.8 percent chance of qualifying for the postseason: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds If that number does not increase significantly as the trade deadline approaches, Brian Dozier could be available. However, I question.whether the Red Sox have the pieces needed for even a two-month rental.
  13. Minnesota second baseman Brian Dozier is a power-hitting right handed bat who at the trade deadline will have about $3 million left on his expiring contract. Dozier is off to a slow start this year after posting 6.2 and 5.0 fWAR the last two seasons. Batting lead off, Dozier posted triple-digit runs and double-digit steals in each of the last four seasons with a combined 127 home runs.
  14. The FanGraphs projections have the Seattle Mariners falling just short of .500 the rest of the season: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  15. The AL East has represented the American League in the World Series once in the past eight seasons.
  16. The Red Sox and Yankees have the advantage of playing in a division with three losing teams that are a combined 41 games below .500. The AL East is a cumulative 9 games above .500 while the AL West, with four teams at .500 or above, is a cumulative 33 games above .500. The AL East is 46-55 in head-to-head competition against the AL West this season. Headed by the defending World Series champion and presumptive 2018 favorite Houston Astros, the AL West may set the pace this season.
  17. All I recall is a refuted report that Seattle turned down a Ben Cherington offer of Jackie Bradley for Charlie Furbush: https://www.overthemonster.com/2015/5/15/8611723/mariners-rejected-red-sox-trade-offer-of-jackie-bradley-jr-for
  18. When did Dave Dombrowski almost trade Jackie Bradley to Seattle?
  19. J.D. Martinez was traded to a contender last year on July 19.
  20. The 2013 World Series champions were the last Red Sox team to win a series in Seattle.
  21. I would drive up from Portland for a game but I’m in California for my daughter’s college graduation this weekend. Certainly a series of interest but should not define the season for either team.
  22. I feel the same way about the Seattle Mariners, who this week opened a stretch of 13 games against the Angels (3), Red Sox (7) and Yankees (3) before the M's close out a 10-game East Coast road trip with four games in Baltimore. The Mariners could have lost all 17 games to drop to .500 but instead have beaten the Angels twice this week to move a half game up on the Astros and 6.5 games up on the Halos. The M's remain 2.5 games behind the Red Sox, whom they would meet in the Wild Card game if the season ended at this point (and if the Yankees took the AL East title by percentage points). FanGraphs currently gives the Mariners a 67 percent chance of advancing to the postseason for the first time since 2001 (despite a projected sub-.500 record the remainder of the season): https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds We should have a better idea of where the Mariners stand at the end of the month. BTW, I wish I could see the Red Sox play in Seattle this weekend but I'll be attending a family reunion in conjunction with my daughter's college graduation in California. I had hoped to see the Athletics host the Astros tomorrow afternoon but instead will attend yet another graduation celebration for my daughter. I still have hopes of seeing the Giants host the Marlins next Tuesday evening.
  23. That's not a bad comp. Eric Filia's upside might be Daniel Nava.
  24. Lefthander Roenis Elias, who has surrendered one run in six innings with the Mariners on four hits with four strikeouts and one walk, may replace Felix Hernandez in the Seattle rotation for the Red Sox series. The Red Sox are a modest 8-7 against lefthanded starters (and 38-15 against righties). More on Eric Filia: https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2018/6/12/17456274/a-shimmy-for-a-curve-mariners-send-eric-filia-to-boston-to-complete-the-roenis-elias-trade
  25. The Red Sox acquired outfielder Eric Filia to complete the Roenis Elias trade: The nearly 26-year-old Filia, perhaps my favorite Seattle prospect, led UCLA to the NCAA title as a sophomore before a suspension for plagiarizing a philosophy paper. Filia, who was the 2017 Arizona Fall League batting champ, recently completed a 50-game suspension for testing positive a second time for a drug of abuse. The guy can flat out hit. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=filia-000eri&utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-
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