harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Neither the Red Sox nor the Yankees have played a particularly difficult schedule to date this season: http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/rpi/_/sort/sos
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Travis Shaw had seasons of 3.9 and 4.1 bWAR (and 3.5 and 3.6 fWAR) in Milwaukee. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/shawtr01.shtml https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=11982&position=3B
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The Red Sox, who stranded six runners, were 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position. The Astros, who stranded eight runners, were 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position. MLB Gameday: Red Sox 3, Astros 4 Final Score (05/24/2019) | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM Follow MLB results with FREE box scores, pitch-by-pitch strikezone info, and Statcast data for Red Sox vs. Astros at Minute Maid Park
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Kansas City lefthander Danny Duffy is signed through 2021 with about $41 million left on his contract: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/duffyda01.shtml#all_br-salaries
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I suspect games against the Astros and Yankees matter the most.
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Through first 26 MLB games: WM 106 PA, .314/.340/.559/.898. 14 R, 6 HR, 22 RBI MC 113 PA, .296/.389/.592/.981, 17 R, 9 HR, 24 RBI Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear. Because specific team needs, my fantasy team does not have role for Michael Chavis but I can't find a taker in a trade despite intense marketing.
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The New Yorker article was referenced in the book I recommended: The Only Rule Is It Has to Work, by Ben Lindbergh and Ben Miller.
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The Red Sox may well contend again but the Sox have played only 14 of 47 games against teams that qualified for the 2018 postseason (and half of those 14 games have come against an Oakland club that had stumbled out of the gate this year). The Red Sox are a difficult team to forecast.
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On April 17 Kimmi asked that I come back in a month when I posted the postseason odds for the Red Sox. I can't seem to track down those posts, but ... The Red Sox postseason chances have gone from 50.7 percent on April 17 to 76.7 percent today at FanGraphs and from 50 percent on April 15 to 65 percent today at FiveThirtyEight: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2019-05-20&dateDelta= https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ The preseason Red Sox numbers were 90.3 percent at FanGraphs and 76 percent at FiveThirtyEight.
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Kimmi, in the discussion of old school versus analytics, I highly recommend The Only Rule Is It Has To Work: Our Wild Experiment Building a New Kind of Baseball Team by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller, the former editor in chief and current editor in chief at Baseball Prospectus. The stat geeks were given nearly full rein to make personnel and strategy decisions for the Sonoma team one year in an independent California league. The read is quite entertaining on top of being informative.
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I may complete the NCAA trifecta as my daughter’s university hosts a D2 Regional this weekend. Today I’m not sure I can make it from a 3:30 pm college game to the 7 pm Padre game.
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Some do both. This year I've been to two NCAA Division III games, one NCAA Division I game and three MLB games (a fourth coming up tomorrow night in San Diego). I confess I don't wander down the street to take in the noisy commotion surrounding the Little League and high school softball games at the park. I still spend too much time in front of a computer.
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Blake Swihart with an inside-the-park home run: MLB Gameday: Pirates 1, D-backs 11 Final Score (05/15/2019) | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM Follow MLB results with FREE box scores, pitch-by-pitch strikezone info, and Statcast data for Pirates vs. D-backs at Chase Field
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Rod Carew hit second in roughly half of his MLB games: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=carewro01&year=Career&t=b Ozzie Smith hit second in more than half of his MLB games: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=smithoz01&year=Career&t=b Robin Yount hit second more often than any other slot in the batting order: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=yountro01&year=Career&t=b
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Good to see the gap has narrowed since the start of the season when the Red Sox were at 90.3 percent the and Mariners at 2.3 percent. https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds?date=2019-03-19&dateDelta=
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Awkward point to change the subject. With a beef-up farm system and key players under years of team control, the Seattle Mariners today have a brighter future than the M's did a year ago. Despite "stepping back" this year with little anticipation of contending, the Mariners have exceeed expectations amid a stiff schedule that so far has included 25 of 45 games on the road and 26 games against 2018 postseason qualifiers*. Even so the Mariners have won as many games as the Red Sox, although the teams are headed in different directions this year. Let's enjoy this season. * as a point of reference, the Red Sox have played only 10 of 42 games against 2018 postseason qualifiers.
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Deja vu: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1217263-mlb-trade-rumors-would-the-red-sox-deal-will-middlebrooks-for-cole-hamels
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Deja vu. A Red Sox sweep was predicted on this forum when I disclosed that I would attend Game 4 of their season-opening series in Seattle.
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Perhaps, although even with Kevin Durant healthy the teams split their four regular-season games, including the Blazers' 129-107 thrashing of the Warriors in their final meeting. https://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201902130POR.html
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I share Portland Trail Blazer season tickets with four others, including a close friend whose son covers the Golden State Warriors as a San Francisco Chronicle sportswriter. It should be a fun series ... I'm hoping to go to Game 4 next Monday.
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Trail Blazers about to play! At least it hasn't been a yearlong postseason drought in the Pacific Northwest.
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The sad truth.
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Michael Chavis and Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first 18 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 76 PA, .270/.395/.587/.982, 21 K, 12 BB, 13 R, 6 HR, 14 RBI WM 77 PA, .297/.325/.581/.906, 24 K, 3 BB, 12 R, 5 HR, 16 RBI
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All of a sudden the Seattle Mariners have a negative 1 run differential on the season (and have been outscored 37-34 en route to a 2-6 record through eight games of the 10-game road trip against three 2018 postseason qualifiers. Get 'em on Saturday.
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The Red Sox and the Mariners enter this weekend's three-game series tied in the Wild Card race while the Sox can capture the season series with a sweep.