harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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6/08 Rays @ Sox
harmony replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
https://tht.fangraphs.com/tht-live/40th-anniversary-the-day-wilbur-wood-became-a-legend/ On September 26, 1908, Chicago Cubs righthander Ed Reulbach pitched two complete-game shutouts in a doubleheader against the Brooklyn Dodgers: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=reulbed01&t=p&year=1908 -
The Red Sox having losing records against the Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees and Houston Astros (a combined 6-11 [.353], 3-9 since a sweep of the Rays) and have yet to play a Minnesota club that shares the league's best record. Challenges await.
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The annual Jackie Bradley Jr thread (2019 Edition)
harmony replied to Station 13's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
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The Rays keep running into outs.
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As noted Friday, no more Chavis/Middlebrooks comps will be offered absent a specific request.
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The comparison was too obvious for the media to ignore: https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-red-sox/2019/05/02/will-middlebrooks-michael-chavis-red-sox-rookie https://weei.radio.com/blogs/rob-bradford/former-red-sox-infielder-will-middlebrooks-lived-life-michael-chavis-experiencing https://nesn.com/2019/05/ex-red-sox-will-middlebrooks-shares-biggest-advice-for-michael-chavis/
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Or ... not bringing up the irrelevant failed Seattle prospects.
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Their ages would not have been mentioned if the ages were not relevant. To omit the ages might demonstrate a lack of objectivity. A lack of objectivity could be shown by asking to compare one player's MLB debut with a player who has not played at the MLB level.
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Comparisons have not been limited to those that cast Michael Chavis in a negative light. On May 21: https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/19013-A-Realistic-View-at-2019-Part-I?p=1242670#post1242670 Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.
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When it comes to busts, it's hard to top Jesus Montero (who has my sympathies nonetheless).
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The requests keep rolling in: MC 41G, 178 PA, .248/.337/.465/.802, 57 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 41G, 156 PA, .326/.365/.583/.949, 37 K, 8 BB, 23 R, 9 HR, 34 RBI RD 41G, 168 PA, .299/.357/.506/.864, 40 K, 14 BB, 26 R, 8 HR, 18 RBI KS 41G, 154 PA, .264/.314/.371/.685, 32 K, 9 BB, 15 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI Like 20-year-old Red Sox pitching prospect Jay Groome, 27-year-old D.J. Peterson was a No. 12 overall pick who has yet to play an MLB game.
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In the minors Michael Chavis played 250 games at third base, 15 at shortstop, 13 at first base and zero at second base: https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=chavis000mic The Red Sox moved Chavis to second base to address a specific need. Michael Chavis, Will Middlebrooks and Rafael Devers in a comparison of the first 41 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 178 PA, .248/.337/.465/.802, 57 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 156 PA, .326/.365/.583/.949, 37 K, 8 BB, 23 R, 9 HR, 34 RBI RD 168 PA, .299/.357/.506/.864, 40 K, 14 BB, 26 R, 8 HR, 18 RBI The comparisons will no longer be offered absent a clear request.
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Michael Chavis and Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first 41 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 178 PA, .248/.337/.465/.802, 57 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 156 PA, .326/.365/.583/.949, 37 K, 8 BB, 23 R, 9 HR, 34 RBI
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Or subtract 1 fWAR for playing in a hitter's ballpark in a hitter-friendly division. And add appropriate fWAR for playing in a pitcher's ballpark in a pitcher-friendly division.
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Seattle rookie Daniel Vogelbach has nearly doubled the fWAR of Michael Chavis (in 56 games to Chavis' 40 games): https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=2&team=0&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate= It's hard to ignore Vogelbach's wRC+ of 149.
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The Red Sox schedule only gets harder. http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/rpi/_/sort/sos
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WAR has many of the same small-sample limitations that other reliever stats have.
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Not related, but Edgar Martinez had 23 plate appearances against fellow Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera with this line: .579/.652/1.053/1.705. Martinez did not fare so well in 33 plate appearances against Hall of Famer Pedro Martinez: .120/.333/.120/.453.
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Through Michael Chavis' first 38 games the Red Sox are 30-29 on the season. Through Will Middlebrooks' first 38 games the Red Sox were 36-33 on the season en route to a 69-93 finish. History is unlikely to repeat. Nevertheless the parallels remain interesting: Michael Chavis was 23 years, 252 days old, when he made his MLB debut in Game 21 of the 2019 season nearly five years after being drafted out of high school as a righthanded power-hitting infielder. Will Middlebrooks was 23 years, 236 days old when he made his MLB debut in Game 24 of the 2012 season nearly five years after being drafted out of high school as a righthanded power-hitting infielder.
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Ages at MLB debuts: Michael Chavis: 23 years, 252 days Will Middlebrooks: 23 years, 236 days Ken Griffey Jr.: 19 years, 133 days
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It's true that Will Middlebrooks had a BABIP of .380 through 38 games while Michael Chavis has a BABIP of .329 through 38 games. Middlebrooks had struck out in 25.5 percent of his plate appearances while Chavis has struck out in 29.7 percent of his plate appearances. Then again, the game has changed in seven short years with the spike in strikeouts. The biggest contrast is in walks with Middlebrooks walking in only 4.8 percent of his plate appearances and Chavis walking in 10.9 percent of plate appearances.
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Michael Chavis and Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first 38 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 165 PA, .264/.358/.500/.858, 49 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 145 PA, .316/.352/.551/.903, 37 K, 7 BB, 20 R, 8 HR, 31 RBI
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Not necessarily: https://www.npr.org/2018/08/03/635373608/fight-against-low-low-pay-in-minor-league-baseball-continues-despite-new-obstacl
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Can/Should the Red Sox Blow Up the Roster?
harmony replied to StephenCurry30's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The Red Sox likely are preparing on a continuum of contingencies. The Sox need ongoing revisions to a plan to contend while also working on an alternative plan to sell. The Sox probably remain in a contend mode today but may soon face the tough decision to stay in the game or fold. -
Could be worse: the Kansas City Royals have six saves and and nine blown saves. The 31-24 Chicago Cubs and the 29-28 Oakland Athletics each have 11 saves and 11 blown saves. http://proxy.espn.com/mlb/stats/team?stat=pitching&sort=blownSaves&type=expanded&order=true