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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Not as long as my team has a comfortable lead behind the (mostly) fast starts of Cody Bellinger, Pete Alonso, Edwin Encarnacion, Daniel Vogelbach and Joey Gallo, who are all eligible at first base.
  2. I have not given up on Chris Sale. Today in my fantasy league, I offered the retainable $4 contract of Pete Alonso and the retainable $1 contract of Brandon Woodruff for the expiring $47 contract of Chris Sale and the retainable $2 contract of Rafael Devers. My offer was promptly rejected.
  3. Of the 117 innings the Red Sox have played this year only 12 ended with the Sox in the lead. The Red Sox are fortunate that four of those inning-ending leads came in the ninth inning of games. In three of the four wins the Sox came back from deficits of five, three and five runs. The Red Sox are 3-0 in starts by righthander Nathan Eovaldi, who has an ERA of 8.40 in 15 innings. The Sox could gain ground this weekend against the one American League team with a worse run differential.
  4. With Thursday evening's win, the Red Sox playoff chances are back up to 50 percent at FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ ... and 68.1 percent at FanGraphs Playoff Odds: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  5. As of late Thursday evening (early Friday morning EDT), 538 gave the Red Sox a 48 percent chance of advancing to the 2019 postseason: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  6. Of the 108 innings the Red Sox have played this year, only 11 have ended with the Sox in the lead. Of course on the road the Red Sox had a few more leads mid-inning but were unable to protect the lead in the bottom of the inning.
  7. I still give great weight to the projections even though one team entered today's games with MLB's best run differential and the other team with the worst run differential.
  8. I don't bet but it's safe to say the Red Sox will win more games this season than any single pitcher. And for what it's worth, FanGraphs Playoff Odds still project the Seattle Mariners to finish fourth in the American League West: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  9. Today's meaningless stat: Seattle lefthander Marco Gonzales has more wins than the Red Sox this season.
  10. Even the 10-2 Seattle Mariners could not sweep the 3-7 Chicago White Sox (or the 3-9 Red Sox, for that matter).
  11. The ESPN Power Rankings have the Rays No. 5, the Yankees No. 6 and the Red Sox No. 11: http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/page/powerrankings040819/power-rankings-made-best-worst-first-impressions
  12. The 1998 New York Yankees, who won 114 games, started the season 1-4 before reeling off an eight-game winning streak as part of winning 22 of their next 24 games.
  13. But misspelled chagrin.😊
  14. True enough With 79 games remaining at Fenway Park, the Red Sox trail only the Chicago Cubs for the most remaining games in their home ballpark.
  15. The Red Sox have the most remaining home games (81) of any team.
  16. The Red Sox have the fewest remaining road games (71) of any team.
  17. I agree. I regret making my earlier post.
  18. In recent years home openers in inclimate regions have been scheduled with the following day off to accommodate a rescheduled game postponed by weather. Several teams are off this Friday for that reason. The White Sox home opener, rained out on Thursday, was played Friday.
  19. After suggesting that the Mariners would be happy with a 1-3 record against the Red Sox. I suggested that the Mariners would happy with a 3–1 record but in retrospect the 3-1 record was bittersweet because the M’s blew a 6-1 lead in their only loss.
  20. Mitch Moreland’s three-run homer inflicted the only loss in Seattle’s first eight games (including two games against these Athletics).
  21. Against decent teams on the road.
  22. And I left Stephen Piscotty on my fantasy team’s bench.😐
  23. Chris Sale provides sufficient grounds for optimism.
  24. What was Drew Pomeranz's 2018 WAR projection after the lefthander had posted 3.0 and 2.9 fWAR the two previous seasons?
  25. If Nathan Eovaldi and Steve Pearce overperformed with the Red Sox for two months last year (three months for Pearce), this year's performances could be downgrades. Or not. Eovaldi, with a career ERA+ of 95, posted an ERA+ of 132 in 12 appearances with the Red Sox last year. Pearce, with a career OPS+ of 111, posted an OPS+ of 141 in 50 games with the Red Sox last year. Stellar World Series performances may have skewed their value in the public eye. Some Red Sox fans, intoxicated with a World Series title, have made preseason judgments that reflect the intoxication.
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