Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

harmony

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,313

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    To be precise, that's not a fact, it's an opinion ... an opinion not supported by the numbers. Another approach would be to add up the current numerical Team Ratings at FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ The American League East adds up to 7527 and the American League West 7561. I entered this discussion only to offer that the fine teams in the American League East can pad their win totals playing in the same division as the Orioles and Blue Jays. That is well established by the numbers. If the last-place Mariners and last-place Orioles swapped divisions this year, I suspect the top AL East teams would win fewer games and the top AL West teams would win more games. A swap of the fourth-place Blue Jays and the fourth-place Angels would likely move the needle in the same direction.
  2. harmony
    To trade places with the New York Yankees, yes. Last season the AL East posted cumulative record of 418-392 (.516) while the AL West posted a cumulative record of 436-374 (.538). The AL East, however, held its own in head-to-head competition against the AL West with an 83-82 record (but has fallen to 43-50 so far this year). BTW, I don't joke around with guns.
  3. harmony
    :) All five teams have won an American League East title this decade, so ...
  4. harmony
    At the trade deadline three years ago the Los Angeles Dodgers acquired reliever Josh Fields from the Houston Astros for 19-year-old Yordan Alvarez, who was about six months younger than Triston Casas' current age. https://therunnersports.com/yordan-alvarez-for-josh-fields-trade-threatens-to-top-astros-jeff-bagwell-steal-of-1990/ It's always a gamble.
  5. harmony
    Nathan Eovaldi has a career ERA+ of 95 and had posted an ERA+ of 99 in 10 starts with the Tampa Bay Rays last year before his outlier overperformance with the Red Sox. Well-wishes to Eovaldi but his $68 million contract is among the riskier around.
  6. harmony
    That's a different question. Last year the third-place Seattle Mariners were 19-15 (.559) against the AL East and 41-35 (.539) against the AL West. In the last nine World Series, the American League has been represented by the AL Central four times, the AL West three times and the AL East twice. The myth persists.
  7. harmony
    There is awful and then there are the Orioles. FiveThirtyEight assigns a numerial Team Rating to each club. Currently the decidedly last-place Mariners (1474) are closer to the Red Sox (1552) than they are to the Orioles (1395): https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  8. harmony
    The myth persists. The AL East is a cumulative 15 games below .500 and the AL West is a cumulative .500 games above .500. The AL East is 43-50 (.462) in head-to-head competiton against the AL West. Numbers don't lie. The fine teams at the top of the AL East are not enough to compensate for the woeful teams at the bottom.
  9. harmony
    It's a crap shoot. The Red Sox hit the jackpot last year with the midseason acquisitions of Steve Pearce and Nathan Eovaldi, who overperformed for the Sox in 2018 before plummeting back to Earth this season.
  10. harmony
    My mistake in missing Oakland's 0-6 record against Toronto. Thank you for the correction. So the 18-11 (.621) record of the Rangers, Athletics and Angels against the Orioles and Blue Jays compares with the 12-7 (.632) record of the Red Sox against those clubs. And the decidedly last-place Mariners are 3-1 (.750) against the Orioles and Blue Jays.
  11. harmony
    The Mariners opened the season 13-2, fell into a 12-37 slide, but have rebounded with a 10-8 record since. FiveThirtyEight assigns a numerial Team Rating to each club. Currently the decidedly last-place Mariners (1474) are closer to the Red Sox (1552) than they are to the Orioles (1395): https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  12. harmony
    So far this year the Rangers, Athletics and Angels are 14-5 against the Orioles and Blue Jays. That'll boost the win total.
  13. harmony
    The issue is whether the AL East would have three teams with at least 90 wins playing in a division that has the Mariners and Angels/Rangers/Athletics as the two worst teams (instead of the Orioles and Blue Jays). That's how the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox can inflate their win totals ... and the "mediocre" Angels, Rangers and Athletics could boost their win totals playing in the same division as the Orioles and Blue Jays.
  14. harmony
    Likewise the Rangers, Athletics and Angels -- on top of facing the Astros -- deflate their totals by beating up on each other while the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox feast on the Orioles and Blue Jays. The bottom line is that the AL East is 15 games below .500 while the AL West is 15 games above .500 (and 50-43 in head-to-head competition against the AL East).
  15. harmony
    With Kelvin Herrera's blown saves tonight, the Red Sox opponents have 13 blown saves on the season to the 15 blown saves by the Sox.
  16. harmony
    With Kelvin Herrera's blown saves tonight, the Red Sox opponents have 13 blown saves on the season to the 15 blown saves by the Sox.
  17. harmony
    Even the mighty Yankees, Rays and Red Sox are not good enough to lift the AL East to a winning cumulative record (or a winning record in head-to-head competition against the AL West). The Yankees, Rays and Red Sox may be among the league's best teams but the three teams get to inflate their win totals at the expense of the Orioles and Blue Jays, two of the worst teams in the league.
  18. harmony
    FanGraphs offered pre-draft farm system rankings on May 30: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/pre-draft-farm-system-rankings/ A less-recognized source offered rankings after the draft: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2839611-ranking-all-30-mlb-farm-systems-post-2019-mlb-draft#slide0
  19. harmony
    That could solidify the Red Sox ranking among farm systems.
  20. harmony
    The Yankees, Rays and Red Sox can inflate their win totals playing in the same division as the Blue Jays and Orioles. The AL East is a cumulative 16 games below .500. Red Sox competition for a Wild Card slot comes from, among others, the Rangers, Athletics and Angels, who play in the more balanced AL West, which is a cumulative 15 games above .500. So far this season the AL East has posted a 43-50 record in head-to-head competition with the AL West. The Yankees, Rays and Red Sox have the advantange of playing in the weaker division.
  21. harmony
    The Red Sox still have the advantage of playing in the same division as the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays, who should help inflate the Sox win total. Based on the FanGraphs strength-of-schedule projections, the Cleveland Guardians may have an even easier path to the postseason: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds The three Wild Card contenders from the more balanced American League West have the tougher remaining schedules. 2024 MLB Standings and Records: Wild Card | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM The official standings for Major League Baseball including division and league standings for regular season, wild card, and playoffs.
  22. harmony
    The 2012 Red Sox were 60-66 on August 25 when the Sox traded Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett and Carl Crawford to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Sox were 9-27 the remainder of 2012, rivaling the 12-37 slide of this year's Seattle Mariners April 12 through June 4. Seattle's 13-2 start this season was unexpected, as was the 12-37 slide that followed, but the M's 9-8 record since the slide falls within expectations.
  23. harmony
    The defending World Series champion Red Sox have matched the record after 79 games* of the 2012 Red Sox, who finished the season in last place at 69-93. The Red Sox are two games better than the Chicago Cubs were after 79 games** in 2017 when the defending World Series champions finished 92-70, winning the NL Central and advancing to the National League Championship Series. This year's fortunes should fall somewhere in between. * the 2012 Sox achieved the 42-37 record in Seattle by topping the Mariners in a 10-inning Sunday afternoon game. ** The 2017 Cubs lost six of their next nine games to fall to 43-45 before mounting a comeback.
  24. harmony
    The defending World Series champion Red Sox have matched the record after 79 games* of the 2012 Red Sox, who finished the season in last place at 69-93. The Red Sox are two games better than the Chicago Cubs were after 79 games** in 2017 when the defending World Series champions finished 92-70, winning the NL Central and advancing to the National League Championship Series. This year's fortunes should fall somewhere in between. * the 2012 Sox achieved the 42-37 record in Seattle by topping the Mariners in a 10-inning Sunday afternoon game. ** The 2017 Cubs lost six of their next nine games to fall to 43-45 before mounting a comeback.
  25. harmony
    And I'm just giving you a hard time ... I always welcome your contributions (and criticisms).
×
×
  • Create New...