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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Come Sunday at Fenway Park, barring rainouts, the Red Sox and the Mariners will each have played 18 home games (with Seattle at 25 road games). Despite outscoring their opponents 32-20, the Mariners are 2-4 six games into the current 10-game road trip against 2018 postseason qualifiers. Seattle's run differential so far has nearly flipped from last year's 77-85 Pythag record.
  2. harmony
    Michael Chavis and Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first 15 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 63 PA, .333/.460/.725/1.186, 13 R, 6 HR, 13 RBI WM 64 PA, .262/.297/.541/.838. 9 R, 4 HR, 14 RBI
  3. harmony
    After picking up Michael Chavis in my fantasy league a week ago, I am now actively trying to trade the red-hot slugger while his value is high. My team needs pitching numbers more than Chavis' hitting numbers.
  4. harmony
    On August 2, 1995, the Seattle Mariners were 13 games out of first place but came back to win the AL West title and beat the Yankees in the AL Divisional Series before falling in the AL Championship Series: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SEA/1995-schedule-scores.shtml
  5. harmony
    FanGraphs currently gives the Red Sox a 57 percent chance of advancing to the postseason while FiveThirtyEight lists their chances at 47 percent: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ FanGraphs gives the Red Sox a 16.1 percent chance of winning the division while FiveThirtyEight lists their chances at 15 percent.
  6. harmony
    In the past decade the Red Sox record after 33 games and at the end of the regular season: 2019: 15-18, xx-xx 2018: 24-9, 108-54 * 2017: 17-16, 93-69 * 2016: 20-13, 93-69 * 2015: 15-18, 78-84 2014: 16-17, 71-91 2013: 21-12, 97-65 * 2012: 14-19, 69-93 2011: 15-18, 90-72 2010: 17-16, 89-73 * advanced to postseason
  7. harmony
    Michael Chavis and Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first 12 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 47 PA, .289/.426/.553/.978 WM 53 PA, .300/.340/.640/.980
  8. harmony
    Wrong night to have Ryan Brasier in my fantasy lineup.
  9. harmony
    With due respect, Hall of Famer Bobby Doerr was a nine-time All Star who struck out in only 7.6 percent of his plate appearances, walking more times than he struck out. https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1003355&position=2B Michael Chavis (and Will Middlebrooks) offer quite a contrast.
  10. harmony
    A closer parallel to Michael Chavis might be the spring call-up of third baseman Will Middlebrooks on a 2012 Red Sox club that won 69 games. Or not.
  11. harmony
    The Red Sox won 89 games in 2010 when I witnessed Ryan Kalish's first MLB home run: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYA/NYA201008060.shtml
  12. harmony
    One poster suggested a trade of Jackie Bradley Jr. for slumping Seattle center fielder Mallex Smith but with the years of team control the Mariners would be unlikely to do that trade.
  13. harmony
    I might agree if Will Middlebrooks had outperformed Michael Chavis through nine games. But I noted quite the opposite. Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.😃
  14. harmony
    Michael Chavis has the edge over Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first nine games of their respective MLB careers: MC 35 PA, 28 AB, 5 R, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 6 BB, 8 K, .286/.429/.643/1.071 WM 41 PA, 39 AB, 5 R, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 2 BB, 10 K, .282/.317/.641/.958
  15. harmony
    A wide range of outcomes is possible for Michael Chavis. Chavis made his MLB debut when he was 16 days older than Will Middlebrooks was when the latter made his debut. The Red Sox had drafted each out of high school five years earlier as a righthand-hitting infielder with power. Their pre-callup minor league numbers were similar, including their concerning K/BB ratios. Nevertheless I am on board with Chavis.
  16. harmony
    Would anyone trade nearly two years of Jackie Bradley Jr. for nearly four years of Seattle center fielder Mallex Smith? Bradley currently has an OPS+ of 14 and a bWAR of a negative 0.5 while Smith has an OPS+ of 40 and a bWAR of a negative 0.8. I doubt the Mariners, with their extended window, would do that trade.
  17. harmony
    I chose harmony because I want diverse opinions to co-exist in harmony. In other words, I'm not here to pick a fight. But the name of my fantasy team is a tribute to Harmon Killebrew because the moniker combines our last names. In my first MLB games -- a doubleheader at old Comiskey Park in Chicago -- Killebrew homered in each game but the White Sox swept the Twins in 15 and 11 innings: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CHA/CHA196608281.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CHA/CHA196608282.shtml Midway through the second game my father wanted to leave to catch the Greyhound bus back to my small hometown. I told him he was free to leave but that I would find my 10-year-old self back to Iowa on my own. We stayed and caught a later bus, arriving home about an hour before he reported to work the following morning. Neither he nor my mother complained that we spent their 17th wedding anniversary at a ballgame.
  18. harmony
    I was there in person ... not for the splits by childhood hero Harmon Killiebrew in the 1968 All Star game (which I remember well) but for the splits by Fernando Tatis Jr. in Sunday's game at Nationals Park in Washington DC.
  19. harmony
    FanGraphs gives the Red Sox a 53 percent chance of advancing to the postseason even though the site gives five other American League teams a higher percentage: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds FiveThirtyEight gives the Red Sox a 40 percent chance, again trailing five AL teams: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  20. harmony
    The 11-16 Red Sox are a respectable 5-4 in one-run games (and 1-5 in blowout games of 5+ run margins).
  21. harmony
    A wide range of outcomes is possible for Michael Chavis. Chavis made his MLB debut when he was 16 days older than Will Middlebrooks was when the latter made his debut. The Red Sox had drafted each out of high school five years earlier as a righthand-hitting infielder with power. Their pre-callup minor league numbers were similar, including their concerning K/BB ratios. Nevertheless I am on board with Chavis.
  22. harmony
    In my keeper roto league last September I took a flier on Ryan Brasier in the final weekly draft. I’m not a huge Michael Chavis fan but he’ll be my pick in this week’s draft.
  23. harmony
    I was thrilled to see Mays and Aaron play and did not recall the two went hitless until I reviewed the box score today.
  24. harmony
    FWIW I saw Hank Aaron and Willie Mays go hitless in the same game in 1973: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYN/NYN197307060.shtml
  25. harmony
    Whit Merrifield has a four-year, $16.35 million contract that runs through 2022 and with a team option for 2023 Merrifield remains under team control for the same duration as Devers. Devers may never reach the level that has resulted in Merrifield’s 10 bWAR in just over two years since the start of the 2017 season.
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