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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    The Red Sox may look more closely at stepping back if the Sox do worse than a split in the upcoming four-game series against the Texas Rangers.
  2. harmony
    The 2019 Seattle Mariners have weak pitching (especially from the bullpen) and historically bad defense ... the defense can be downright comical: The Mariners will likely continue to trade surplus hitters who have contributed to a team OPS+ of 110 (as points of reference, the Yankees have a team OPS+ of 106 and the Red Sox 102). Seattle leads the majors in home runs and the next to be traded may be AL home run leader Edwin Encarnacion, who on Sunday reached the 400-homer plateau for his career. Seattle fans experienced the transient joy of the unanticipated 13-2 start but the overall 28-41 record is in line with the preseason expectations of this "stepped-back" year. The Mariners are neither as good as their 13-2 start nor as bad as the 12-37 swoon that followed.
  3. harmony
    For what it's worth, FanGraphs projects the Blue Jays and Orioles to finish a combined 80 games below .500 while projecting the Rangers, Angels and Mariners to finish a combined 27 games below .500: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds FiveThirtyEight projects the Blue Jays and Orioles to finish a combined 84 games below .500 while projecting the Rangers, Angels and Mariners a combined 34 games below .500: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ The top AL East teams will be padding their win totals.
  4. harmony
  5. harmony
    How important is the upcoming four-game series against the Texas Rangers?
  6. harmony
    https://tht.fangraphs.com/tht-live/40th-anniversary-the-day-wilbur-wood-became-a-legend/ On September 26, 1908, Chicago Cubs righthander Ed Reulbach pitched two complete-game shutouts in a doubleheader against the Brooklyn Dodgers: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=reulbed01&t=p&year=1908
  7. harmony
    The Red Sox having losing records against the Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees and Houston Astros (a combined 6-11 [.353], 3-9 since a sweep of the Rays) and have yet to play a Minnesota club that shares the league's best record. Challenges await.
  8. harmony
    !!!
  9. harmony
    The Rays keep running into outs.
  10. harmony
    As noted Friday, no more Chavis/Middlebrooks comps will be offered absent a specific request.
  11. harmony
    The comparison was too obvious for the media to ignore: https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-red-sox/2019/05/02/will-middlebrooks-michael-chavis-red-sox-rookie https://weei.radio.com/blogs/rob-bradford/former-red-sox-infielder-will-middlebrooks-lived-life-michael-chavis-experiencing https://nesn.com/2019/05/ex-red-sox-will-middlebrooks-shares-biggest-advice-for-michael-chavis/
  12. harmony
    Or ... not bringing up the irrelevant failed Seattle prospects.
  13. harmony
    Their ages would not have been mentioned if the ages were not relevant. To omit the ages might demonstrate a lack of objectivity. A lack of objectivity could be shown by asking to compare one player's MLB debut with a player who has not played at the MLB level.
  14. harmony
    Comparisons have not been limited to those that cast Michael Chavis in a negative light. On May 21: https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/19013-A-Realistic-View-at-2019-Part-I?p=1242670#post1242670 Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.
  15. harmony
    When it comes to busts, it's hard to top Jesus Montero (who has my sympathies nonetheless).
  16. harmony
    The requests keep rolling in: MC 41G, 178 PA, .248/.337/.465/.802, 57 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 41G, 156 PA, .326/.365/.583/.949, 37 K, 8 BB, 23 R, 9 HR, 34 RBI RD 41G, 168 PA, .299/.357/.506/.864, 40 K, 14 BB, 26 R, 8 HR, 18 RBI KS 41G, 154 PA, .264/.314/.371/.685, 32 K, 9 BB, 15 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI Like 20-year-old Red Sox pitching prospect Jay Groome, 27-year-old D.J. Peterson was a No. 12 overall pick who has yet to play an MLB game.
  17. harmony
    In the minors Michael Chavis played 250 games at third base, 15 at shortstop, 13 at first base and zero at second base: https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=chavis000mic The Red Sox moved Chavis to second base to address a specific need. Michael Chavis, Will Middlebrooks and Rafael Devers in a comparison of the first 41 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 178 PA, .248/.337/.465/.802, 57 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 156 PA, .326/.365/.583/.949, 37 K, 8 BB, 23 R, 9 HR, 34 RBI RD 168 PA, .299/.357/.506/.864, 40 K, 14 BB, 26 R, 8 HR, 18 RBI The comparisons will no longer be offered absent a clear request.
  18. harmony
    Michael Chavis and Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first 41 games of their respective MLB careers: MC 178 PA, .248/.337/.465/.802, 57 K, 18 BB, 22 R, 10 HR, 28 RBI WM 156 PA, .326/.365/.583/.949, 37 K, 8 BB, 23 R, 9 HR, 34 RBI
  19. harmony
    Or subtract 1 fWAR for playing in a hitter's ballpark in a hitter-friendly division. And add appropriate fWAR for playing in a pitcher's ballpark in a pitcher-friendly division.
  20. harmony
    Seattle rookie Daniel Vogelbach has nearly doubled the fWAR of Michael Chavis (in 56 games to Chavis' 40 games): https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=y&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=2&team=0&rost=&age=&filter=&players=&startdate=&enddate= It's hard to ignore Vogelbach's wRC+ of 149.
  21. harmony
    The Red Sox schedule only gets harder. http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/rpi/_/sort/sos
  22. harmony
    WAR has many of the same small-sample limitations that other reliever stats have.
  23. harmony
    Not related, but Edgar Martinez had 23 plate appearances against fellow Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera with this line: .579/.652/1.053/1.705. Martinez did not fare so well in 33 plate appearances against Hall of Famer Pedro Martinez: .120/.333/.120/.453.
  24. harmony
    Through Michael Chavis' first 38 games the Red Sox are 30-29 on the season. Through Will Middlebrooks' first 38 games the Red Sox were 36-33 on the season en route to a 69-93 finish. History is unlikely to repeat. Nevertheless the parallels remain interesting: Michael Chavis was 23 years, 252 days old, when he made his MLB debut in Game 21 of the 2019 season nearly five years after being drafted out of high school as a righthanded power-hitting infielder. Will Middlebrooks was 23 years, 236 days old when he made his MLB debut in Game 24 of the 2012 season nearly five years after being drafted out of high school as a righthanded power-hitting infielder.
  25. harmony
    Ages at MLB debuts: Michael Chavis: 23 years, 252 days Will Middlebrooks: 23 years, 236 days Ken Griffey Jr.: 19 years, 133 days
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