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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    Minnesota could surprise this year ... as could the Red Sox in a different direction.
  2. harmony
    Jackie Bradley Jr. might be at least a poor man’s Paul Blair. Blair, the two-time All Star and eight-time Gold Glover as the Baltimore center fielder, posted 37.8 bWAR in 1,947 career games. Bradley has posted 12.1 bWAR in 691 games. Bradley has value.
  3. harmony
    Bellhorn and I don’t agree on a lot of things but he’s 100 percent correct here.😊
  4. harmony
    In my keeper fantasy league's final weekly draft late last September I exercised a speculative pick on Ryan Brasier, who has kept my team out of cellar in saves this year.
  5. harmony
    Do other teams value Rafael Devers any higher?
  6. harmony
    On that note, a bizarre small-sample stat: Despite a lineup that typically includes Dee Gordon and Mallex Smith, so far this season the Seattle Mariners have eight hitters who each have more home runs than J.D. Martinez (whose four homers match his total through 21 Red Sox games last year when he finished with 43 home runs). https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=11&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=4,d The Mariners have played three more games than the Red Sox.
  7. harmony
    FiveThirtyEight gives the Red Sox a 5 percent chance of winning the World Series: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ ... while FanGraphs gives the Sox a 5.1 percent chance of winning the World Series: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  8. harmony
    To be precise, the Red Sox save $360,000 if they replace Blake Swihart's 2019 salary of $910,000 with another player's league-minimum salary of $550,000.
  9. harmony
    That is one of several reasonable interpretations. Last year at High A, Marcus Wilson struck out in 28.1 percent of his 502 plate appearances en route to a wRC+ of 84: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=sa828703&position=OF
  10. harmony
    For what it's worth, I am not a Red Sox fan. Since the start of the 2015 season, Jackie Bradley Jr. has ranked 20th among all outfielders in fWAR: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=of&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0 Those are not the numbers of a fourth outfielder.
  11. harmony
    Keep. Jackie Bradley Jr. remains among the most valuable Red Sox players.
  12. harmony
    Nathan Eovaldi after four starts this year and Drew Pomeranz after four starts last year: NE 21.0 IP, 6.00 ERA, 16 K, 11 BB, .266 BAA DP 20.2 IP, 5.23 ERA, 20 K, 8 BB, .288 BAA Pomeranz made eight starts in 2018 before landing on the disabled list with a 6.81 ERA.
  13. harmony
    FiveThirtyEight offered an analysis today: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/um-the-red-sox-may-actually-be-in-trouble/ And from today's column by Boston Globe columnist Alex Speier: https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2019/04/18/what-red-sox-don-turn-around/nuA94FwrdflazY2KJ6OvZL/story.html Sports Illustrated offers its take: https://www.si.com/mlb/2019/04/18/red-sox-yankees-al-east-standings
  14. harmony
    The unexpected is what makes baseball seasons interesting.
  15. harmony
    Despite Wednesday's disappointing loss, FanGraphs and FiveThirtyEight give the Red Sox 50.9 percent and 37 percent chances, respectively, of advancing to the postseason: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  16. harmony
    Blake Swihart, the No. 26 pick in the 2011 draft, has advanced further than most No. 26 picks over the past two decades: https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?overall_pick=26&draft_type=junreg&query_type=overall_pick&from_type_jc=0&from_type_hs=0&from_type_4y=0&from_type_unk=0 The fruitful years for No. 26 picks were 1976 and 1977.
  17. harmony
    In the nearly eight years since he was drafted as a catcher, Blake Swihart has played 477 professional games, including 432 starts, at catcher. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=swihar000bla
  18. harmony
    In June 2011 the Red Sox drafted Blake Swihart as a catcher: http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/events/draft/y2011/drafttracker.jsp ... after Swihart started catching during his junior year in high school: http://www.espn.com/blog/boston/red-sox/post/_/id/34578/prospect-swihart-catching-on-quickly Don't blame Swihart for being overhyped.
  19. harmony
    I wish Blake Swihart the best but I'm with moonslav59 on this assessment.
  20. harmony
    I have it tickled on my calendar.
  21. harmony
    As of the moment I write this, FanGraphs and FiveThirtyEight each give the Red Sox a 40 percent chance of advancing to the postseason: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  22. harmony
    What are the odds that Blake Swihart will go unclaimed and then optioned to Pawtucket?
  23. harmony
    It's all good.
  24. harmony
    It's way too early to make any predictions. But my team currently has a 6.5-point lead in a 10-team, 10-category mixed roto league with a $305 budget and 27 roster slots (plus five injured slots). After deducting $40 in keeper salaries, I spent $260 of the $265 available at the auction. Of the $260 spent at the auction, $115 now resides on the injured list, including a combined $95 for Trea Turner, Gary Sanchez and Justin Upton. However, the ultimate winner in this league, in its 29th season, is rarely the first-place team on April 16. Today my team lost Blake Snell to the injured list.
  25. harmony
    My post was evidence of how highly I and another fantasy owner value Chris Sale (and Rafael Devers). Is that trolling?
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