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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Dodger blogger Matthew Moreno appears to be speculating: https://dodgerblue.com/mookie-betts-trade-rumors-dodgers-may-be-favorite-over-padres/2020/02/03/
  2. Kevin Plawecki remains under team control for three arbitration seasons.
  3. Even a prudent fan of Anthony Rendon would be unlikely to give Rendon that contract.
  4. Put more simply: What are the risks and what are the rewards of the Mookie Betts decision?
  5. The Red Sox advanced to the postseason four times over the past decade*, capturing two World Series titles, and winning a combined one game in the other two postseason trips. How many trips to the postseason can the Red Sox expect in the upcoming decade? Should that influence the pending decision on Mookie Betts? * over those 10 seasons the Red Sox ranked 2, 2, 3, 3, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 and 1 in Opening Day payroll
  6. https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer600 https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0 But discarding "salary, years and taxes" lands us in fantasy land. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/516/
  7. Imagine what the Red Sox could have received in a trade of Mookie Betts a year ago if the Sox knew that they would finish 12 games behind the second Wild Card slot in 2019. His current trade value is limited by the single year of team control and the 2020 salary of $27 million salary (supported largely by his 2019 salary of $20 million coming off his 10+ WAR season in 2018).
  8. If that's the case Red Sox fans can enjoy Mookie Betts for one final season as the club tries for return to the postseason for the fifth time in 11 years.
  9. Baseball Trade Values approves a trade of Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts for Alex Verdugo, Corey Seager, Julio Urias and Austin Barnes (giving a slight edge to the Red Sox). The Red Sox aren't going there.
  10. According to one source, Dustin May, Corey Seager and Alex Verdugo have surplus values of $55.4 million, $52.1 million and $50.1 million, respectively: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/516/ ... for a combined value of $157.6 million. Mookie Betts has a surplus value of $50.7 million and David Price a negative value of $55.3 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/teams/604/ ... for a combined negative value of $4.6 million. Do the math.
  11. The update from Boston Globe columnist Alex Speier: https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2020/01/30/the-mookie-betts-watch-and-here-where-things-stand/RuLbZ0D1eUorOhd76MUwlM/story.html?event=event25
  12. What if Chaim Bloom loses Mookie Betts to free agency after another postseason-less year? Would that define his career?
  13. If A.J. Preller gets Mookie Betts and experiences another losing season (after losing 92 games last year), then loses Betts to free agency, he's probably gone. Mookie Betts might not be the solution to the Padres' woes.
  14. Has anyone from the Dodgers stated a desperation to "finally get that ring"?
  15. Or how desperate the Red Sox are to get under the luxury tax threshold.
  16. According to the trade simulator, that would be an overpay for the Los Angeles Dodgers but that's what it might take. Or not.
  17. The Red Sox would save less than $6 million for luxury tax purposes with Corey Seager's 2020 salary of $7.6 million and A.J. Pollock's AAV of $13.75 million. The Sox can do better.
  18. I'll roll my eyes for you.
  19. Red Sox sign Mitch Moreland:
  20. Given luxury tax implications, aren't the Red Sox even more motivated to get out from under the contracts of David Price, Nathan Eovaldi and Jackie Bradley Jr.? Or even Mookie Betts? Potential trade partners will use those factors to their advantage in negotiations.
  21. Maybe you're right (or not) but I'll leave it up to investigators who have more information than we have.
  22. As are the executives for potential trade partners. What team is under the most pressure?
  23. Wil Myers is two years younger than Mike Lowell was when the Red Sox acquired Lowell and Josh Beckett in a November 2005 trade of Hanley Ramirez and Anibal Sanchez. Compare the 2019 stats of Myers with the 2005 stats of Lowell: WM 490 PA, .239/.321/.418/.739, OPS+ 95, bWAR -0.3, fWAR 0.5 ML 559 PA, .236/.298/.360/.658, OPS+ 77, bWAR -0.9, fWAR 0.1 Their career stats today and in November 2005: WM 3145 PA, .251/.327/.436/.763, OPS+ 107, 8.6 bWAR, 9.5 fWAR ML 4020 PA, .272/.339/.461/.800, OPS+ 109, 14.3 bWAR, 17.4 fWAR Lowell may be the better righthand-hitting corner infielder, but Myers is not without value. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/myerswi01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/lowelmi01.shtml
  24. Lefthander Joey Lucchesi, who posted a win against the Red Sox last August, has a surplus value of $38.3 million, according to Baseball Trade Values: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/players/8747/ https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN201908250.shtml Trivia: Lucchesi started half of the MLB games I attended last year (winning neither): https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/WAS/WAS201904280.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN201905170.shtml
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