Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

notin

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    52,198

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    45

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    That is an absolute flaw with fWAR. It tends to favor high K pitchers...
  2. notin
    It really doesn't matter what you think. When the Sox brought in Epstein and Bill James back in 2003, the team took an extremely radical turn success-wise and went from 0 titles in 86 years to a team that has won 4 titles in the last 18. They were very public about using metrics other teams were not using. They were even occasionally called "Moneyball, but with money". Maybe you buy into the reason they went so long without any titles was because of one pitcher in 1967, but results speak for themselves. Just because you don't like metrics doesn't mean they don't work. And do you have any equally whacky theories for why they didn't win the other 85 years? And really? Buckner? The game was already tied. Well, I suppose when you live in denial, why bother with facts anyway, right? But all that matters are results. Unless you don't like how those results came about...
  3. notin
    Yes, because FIP is based on a pitcher' accomplishments. His K's, his BB's and his HR's allowed. And it gives him no credit for batted balls that may or may not be cause by players of varying defensive skills...
  4. notin
    Unless those results are that the data driven pencil-necked geeks in the Sox front office have gotten 4 World Series rings. And then it’s all about the straws like Bob Gibson and Buckner’s ground out…
  5. notin
    That people overvalue seeing what they want to see, usually…
  6. notin
    Well do you want WINS above replacement or POTENTIAL WINS above replacement? Bear in mind WAR is a measurement of accomplishment, not ability…
  7. notin
    No. fWAR doesn’t take BABIP vs xBABIP into account. The offense is based on RC, which is a function of H, BB and TB…
  8. notin
    So you prefer Julio Lugo over Dustin Pedroia in 2007? Luck is nice, but I think most teams prefer ability over luck. Luck has a tendency to even out. And really, we are dealing with players with 60-80 ABs. It’s too early to label anyone a bust. Especially a notoriously streaky hitter like Bradley…
  9. notin
    Actually, Bradley’s ridiculously low BABIP along with career LD/GB/FB splits indicate he has been a bit unlucky. And the shift isn’t helping. But his K% is way down and his soft hit % has been an insanely low 4.3%. He’s hitting the ball. Let good things come…
  10. notin
    As big as what the Sox are getting from Verdugo, Vazquez, Dalbec and Story? And even Devers? On the list of Sox offensive issues, JBJ ranks pretty low…
  11. notin
    A lot of that depends on Story. Maybe he doesn’t like bouncing around like, say, Kike appears to…
  12. notin
    There were reason to suspect JBJ would bounce back (high LD% vs very low BABIP). That doesn’t mean it happens immediately if it does. But we all know he was brought back to catch balls in the outfield…
  13. notin
    It seems to be about keeping Story at 2b for now. He did say earlier Story would not be a backup SS unless it was for a prolonged period…
  14. notin
    It's nice that I don't always have to be here to get my viewpoint across...
  15. notin
    Apparently we lack quality blackmail info. Makes you wonder what exactly we pay scouts for;)
  16. notin
    Fitzy has 24 K’s in 67 ABs. Perhaps that’s why Cordero was chosen over him…
  17. notin
    Franchy - .913 OPS Casas - .792 OPS
  18. notin
    I propose Maxbialystock start a game thread with the incorrect date in it…
  19. notin
    That’s why he probably won’t be a traditional one inning closer. I still think they want him around 100 IP (or more?) so he can work his way to a rotation spot in 2023. It does help that the Sox have potentially 2 rotation spots opening up after this year (with potential departures in Eovaldi, Hill and Wacha but Paxton taking one back)…
  20. notin
    Not sure but his two starts totaled 7 IP. He’s on a limit. Hopefully a limit that gets him around 100 IP…
  21. notin
    David Justice
  22. notin
    I think it’s obvious (to me) he’s staying in the bullpen. His last two starts weren’t auditions; he was filling in…
  23. notin
    Some pitchers are absolutely vocal about knowing their role and even wanting an established routine. But I doubt they all do. I remember guys like Kent Tekulve and Mike Marshall who just wanted to be out there as often as possible regardless of the situation. But there are absolutely pitchers like Clayton Kershaw who thrive on the routine and knowing his place. No idea where Whitlock is. But I do get the idea of keeping his IP down around 100. He’s only had one season where he threw more, and that was back in A ball before TJ…
  24. notin
    I have no idea what their plan is, but if I’m right, he’d pitch a lot more IP than a normal closer…
  25. notin
    And that might be the plan. Houck can play again, so he'll probably bump Whitlock from the rotation...
×
×
  • Create New...