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Everything posted by notin
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Two thoughts: 1. Splurging on free agent starting pitching has rarely worked out in the past. Not just for Boston, either. 2. Not going all in on Monthomery and/or Snell might mean as little as the Sox are not huge fans Montgomery and/or Snell.
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And on days of split squad games, I’m not so sure they have too many other options…
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We think the Sox are being cheap. But I don’t think that “reputation” hurts them in negotiating. It’s not like if they had made the same offer to Yamamoto that the Dodgers had, the pitcher and his agent would have been thinking “wait. They’re being cheap! That’s what they do.” The issue is they don’t make the offers. At least that’s what it looks like to me…
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I honestly have no idea what you’re talking about. What is their reputation? They likely have not made competitive offers. They’ve probably overcommitted to the wrong players. But I don’tj get what you mean…
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What is the perception in the industry? Not being in it myself, I don’t know. But as moon pointed out, they extended Devers, signed Story, and Yoshida. Not to mention lots of small term deals to players like Giolito, Jansen, Martin, Duvall, Kluber, etc. The Sox are still 11th in payroll per sportrac. That same source has the Dodgers 8th in payroll. Granted they could and maybe should be higher. But there is certainly some spending. And there are still options left for this season waiting for deals…
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But Bauer does provide an example of the Price of pitching going down; he has said he will play for one year for his the league minimum.
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I think Giolito-Bello-Pivetta-Crawford is a better front for than many want to accept. Granted, always room for improvement, especially since the only names being bandied about for the #5 spot are names much better at anchoring the bullpen. And to double down on that misstep, no names are mentioned to backfill the bullpen. That (lack of a) plan failed last year and in 2022. “Meet the new boss. Same as the old boss…”
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His point is the fan perception isn’t always reality. All though 2021 we kept hearing how cheap the Sox were despite them having a top 5 payroll. Even now we all talk about how cheap they are, but there is truth that they have spent $500mill on 4 plsyers in the last 24 months, and that plenty of teams have not done as much. So now what are you coming with? That they didn’t spend it on the players you wanted? That’s not the same as not spending…
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Apparently six more times. Lofty expectations from one pitcher in 4 series. Shows what a pathetic manager Boone is.
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And the Sox gave Giolito an $18mill AAV contract when, according to Lucas, no one else was even close…
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Not really fair. Ohtani is one of the best all-around players on the planet. Yamamoto is an unknown by MLB standards. But Bellinger just isn’t very good…
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Yes, he has to have a good year. His age works for him, until you remember he didn’t reach free agency the first time through normal channels; he was NON-TENDERED by the Dodgers, and for good reason. And if he has another year of sub-.700 OPS, that will make it three times in a 4 year stretch. At that point, 2023 looks like an outlier. In that case, he doesn’t opt out. Especially when you notice his good season in 2023 was built on being bottom 25% in exit velocity and barrel percentage, and bottom 10% in hard hit percentage. Bellinger was behind Connor Wong in all these categories. He’s far from mashing, and most seasons it does cost him. 2023 was the one season it didn’t. There is a reason he’s not even coming close to getting what he wants and settled for another pillow contract…
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Exactly. And right now the answer to that question is far from a definitive “yes”…
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But they do mean that the qualifier “if he has a good year next year” is far from a certainty. Especially since several metrics indicate he might have been a little lucky this year…
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Clevinger has multiple incidents, too. His girlfriend/mother of his children has accused him of not only throwing a cup of tobacco spit on his baby, but also of attempting yo strangle her and throwing an iPad at her when she was pregnant. Bauer so far might only be guilty of being a victim in a blackmail plot and of being an immature ******* (which he has the right as an American to be)…
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Depends how much there is to the story. Right now, it’s a lot of “he said, she said.” Of course there is some irony. Clevinger’s alleged use actions in his scandals are actually worse than Bauer’s appear to be in his. Yet which player is likely to garner more negative press if signed?
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Free agency is more about PR than it is about baseball. The only thing in Clevinger’s favor from a PR standpoint is that his scandal wasn’t as widely publicized as a few others…
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I’m starting to get into the camp that Clevinger might be the smarter pickup regardless. Of course, talent levels between the two can be debated. But durability between the two is a lot more clear cut…
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Given his hard hit rate, barrel rate and exit velocity last year, along with his recent history at the plate, and I’d say there is a definitely a very good chance this is a 3 year deal…
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I still don’t think she will really be a factor, but she will be in town…
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I doubt he takes less money for Boston. Why would he take less money over, say, seven years if her residency is much shorter? (I have no idea how long it is.)
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Probably the 9 years is, too…
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Prior to 2023, Bellinger had a .648 OPS (76 OPS+) over the previous three seasons. I wouldn’t guarantee his opting out just yet…
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Also, you’re using OPS instead of OPS+/-. If there is a ballpark that helps lefties hit right-handed hitters against southpaws, it’s Fenway…
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From what I recall, that’s what Dombrowski was trying to do. Betts just wasn’t so amenable to his offers…
