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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    It makes me think I'm about to say six words I never thought I'd say. "The Sox need Brock Holt back."
  2. notin
    LOL I assumed it was. OK, BABIP isn't flawed. But when a player only has 21 hits and 11 of them are home runs, simply put he is going to have a low BABIP based on the fewer hits. To me, the only real problem with BABIP is it needs some sort of context to it. Normally, people like to compare it to a league average value, which is usually around .300. But not all hitters are equal, and not all will get a .300 BABIP with normal luck distribution. It really needs to be compared to an xBABIP calculation that facotrs in line drive rate, groundball rate and flyball rate. The way Betts is swinging, he is generating a lot of flyballs, so he should have a low BABIP, since fewer flyballs that stay in the park land for hits than any other type of contact (except infield flies, which xBABIP calculations can consider to be automatic outs)...
  3. notin
    They shouldn't be popular where it's sunny. But they are certainly more popular than frequent rainouts...
  4. notin
    Since opening day for Kelly 14IP .128 BAA .312 OPSA 0.00 ERA 0.50 WHIP 14.0 K/BB in 14.2 IP this season, Kimbrel has .143 BAA .493 OPSA 1.23 ERA 0.75 WHIP 5.25 K/BB There is no reason to mess with Kelly...
  5. notin
    And in his last 16 games, Eduardo Nunez has a .468 OPS with 1 HR and 3 RBI. Is Hanley really the foremost guy the Sox need to be benching?
  6. notin
    Does the weather really matter? They could really build a domed stadium. ...
  7. notin
    What prospects do the Sox have now that they can dump for established players? Sure we can probably get another Addison Reed, which might be enough. But if we need another really big name starter (which we don't), the Sox don't have the prospects to get one. ...
  8. notin
    Bronson Arroyo, Rich Hill
  9. notin
    So the Sox need another starter because one of their starters has been average??
  10. notin
    Yes. That was clearly what I was saying.
  11. notin
    Exactly.
  12. notin
    Moreland is the hot bat, but one bad week from Hanley shouldn't remove him from the picture altogether. And certainly shouldn't open the door for Swihart to become the fallback option. There is also the option to bench Bradley and move Martinez to left field every now and then....
  13. notin
    All of the "tanking" talk this past off-season was thrown around by agents and the Player's Association because the free agent salaries weren't what they were expecting. But teams have gone through rebuilding programs every off-season without this much attention drawn to it. Salaries were lower because teams starting wising up to the poor business decisions in giving 30+ year old player six and seven year deals at outlandish money. The taking talk was nothing but a lot of noise and negative PR directed at the owners and their sudden and unexpected fiscal responsibility. ...
  14. notin
    The BABIP is lower because home runs are not part of BABIP. If even half his home runs only hit the top of the wall and stayed in play, his BABIP would look more like what you would expect. ..
  15. notin
    So the Sox should play inferior players and prioritize economics over winning?
  16. notin
    Building a winner is tough and expensive. Tearing a team down is cheap and it takes long enough to disprove the "building a future winner" mantra that many fans buy into it. Tanking rarely works from a winning perspective, and usually depends on two factors, only one of which the team can control. Timing of a tear down to coincide with getting worthwhile players is tough to control. The other factor is, to make this strategy work, you have to have an NBA team. Unless the goal all along was to go cheap. Then it always works...
  17. notin
    Shows where Hanley stands among Sox fans. His first baf week and already it's time to bring in Swihart? Not even Moreland, mind you. It might be getting close to admitting there is a strong possibility Swihart isn't very good either. Certainly there is no reason to have more faith in him than Hanley. People need to stop thinking the sox need to base their season around his option. Thr guy rarely plays the field and stays healthy. Likely he either gets hurt or plays well enough to EARN the option, which is a good thing. Also this scenario above has no second baseman
  18. notin
    Remember after opening day when everyone wanted him gone?
  19. notin
    The Sox need to identify some underrated pitching talent. While likely unaffordable anyway, they did miss out on Miles Mikolas this off-season. Mikolas was an underrated guy I was writing about back on BDC in my occasional "Hidden Gem" posts. (I'm not calling myself a scout here. "Hidden Gems" had more misses than hits, and calling Mikolas a hit is probably premature right now. But there are guys like him out there.)
  20. notin
    Agreed. The Sox aren't moving Devers off third, errors or not. Where would Machado fit on? At this point, I'll take one and a half seasons of Bogaerts over a half season of Machado. ..
  21. notin
    That be a bit lofty to put Betts in the same argument as Foxx and Williams, let alone Devers. Williams is considered one of the greatest pure hitters of all time, if not the best. Foxx might be the most underrated slugger in MLB history. We're talking about the greatest hitters in history. Is Betts really in that argument yet?
  22. notin
    Dimaggio
  23. notin
    I'm sure Baltimore would love to cash in on Machado this summer. But they will have an exorbitant asking price. Likely a difficult one for the Sox to afford. ..
  24. notin
    Right now, less ball Bradley means more Moreland. And right now, that is the right way to go. ...
  25. notin
    Not if the Sox pay too many other players too much money. They have a big budget, but not an unlimited budget...
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