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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. I'm confused. Aren't these low IQ fungible types the ones you deferred to for your opinion on the subject of clutch?
  2. The Sox won 149 games in 2014 and 2015. While finishing in last both seasons, that was more a product of the division the team played in. The 2015 team won 78 games, most by a last place team since 2006, when both Seattle and Colorado won 78 games coming in last. (And occasionally good enough for a third place finish.) The 149 wins in two consecutive last place seasons might be an MLB record. While these teams were not good, they weren't as bad as people like to state. To say a fourth place finish would have saved his job when the team was easily as good as any fourth place team those years is probably an oversimplification...
  3. I think the differences in Cherington and Dombrowski are glaring. I liked Cherington, but I also doubt the Sox would have Sale or Kimbrel right now were he still here. Possibly not Price, either. On the bright side, FWIW, the Sox would undoubtedly still have Shaw and Moncada and a slew of other prospects. But Cherington really needed to learn to part with a few, and Dombrowski might need to learn how to hold on to a prospect or two. I do think you're being a bit unfair to all managers. Sure, very few of them are capable of handling med school. But all of them do understand baseball better than any casual fan. That includes me and you and anyone else on this board. The only executive ever who I felt made stupid decisions that I could have done better with was Jim Hendry, and really, even he made a few very smart moves that I never really thought of.
  4. Im ok with enthusiasm, but does this team really need more youth?
  5. Actually how hard he is throwing might be the exact problem, and for the exact reasons I noted. He needs hu s two seamer to break to be effective. It's his best pitch. But right now he is throwing it too hard, meaning it doesn't have to me to break. So it's effectively nothing more than a weak, straight fastball. It's easier to take a couple mph off a fastball than it is to add a couple on, but that doesn't mean it's easy. But Porcello and the Sox staff all know this and should be trying to help him dial it in. I would say it's not necessarily a lost season for Porcello. ..
  6. I think he's just throwing too hard....
  7. And get a grievance from Hanley's agent. Of course that really means the Sox likely settle with Hanley for cash only. But the long term effects are the potential willingness of other players being more reluctant to sign deals with options on the Red Sox. I'd hate to see Betts or Benintendi refuse to sign such an extension because Dombrowski wanted to prevent Hanley's option from being vested...
  8. There is a difference between being fungible and having a low IQ. I would agree certain managers are equal and interchangeable, but not all. And DO types are definitely not fungible on a basis of their moves. Do you think Cherington and Dombrowski are interchangeable?
  9. And I look at guys like LaRissa and Maddon specifically and think these two are classic over-managers. While plenty of the moves from both that I've questioned over the years were probably more sensible than I realized, they both seem to cater to either their own legacy or managing the way fans want - with lots of calls and moves and doing nearly everything possible to minimize the impact of the actual players. This works better maybe if you have a bad team or an average team, but having veritable all star teams never seemed to change the approach of either. ..
  10. You and millions of other fans. With very, very few exceptions, it's not hard to find a webpage petition calling for every manager in MLB to be fired. But managing IMO is far, far more involved than any of us realize, and the exact decisions we all question often have more superior logic supporting them than any of us ever realize. Sure even the best logic can lead to moves that simply don't pan out. But that's the nature of the sport. Sometimes you can do everything right and things still go wrong...
  11. Barring a trade where the Sox give up basically nothing, this is probably true. Devers would make sense because if things don't work out, it can easily be undone by demoting him. Trading for a stopgap doesn't have this advantage even if you keep the receipt....
  12. No. The Sox do need another starter right now.
  13. Mind if I ask for some specifics on why you think all MLB managers have a low IQ?
  14. Excellent points. And when you consider the difference between a 3.50ERA and a 4.00ERA over 180IP is 10 earned run, or m.aybe just 2 bad innings, the differences get tougher to differentiate. Porcello is throwing harder this year than last year. That's a good sign. But when your best pitch is a 2 seam fastball, that could be an issue. Throwing the 2 weaker harder means the pitch starts to break late r and ten simply doesn't break as much, which is a bad thing. Basically, it flattens out and becomes more hittable. This might well be Porcello's primary issue. Throwing a little softer is easier to fix than needing to throw harder...
  15. Lost among all the complaints about the Sox' inability to hit home runs is that the tram is 1 game out of first with the third best record in the AL..
  16. So have you felt this way about every Sox manager and front office personnel since you started watching the Sox? Do you feel this way about front office types and managers on other teams?
  17. If best of Rutledge is about the same as the worst of Sandoval, then they aren't really equal. ..
  18. Ko o I think of looking at UZR like looking at home runs (or any counting stat). If Bogaerts hit 25 one year and 30 the next, that's measurable improvement. Using DRS is like comparing home run ranking. If Bogaerts was 5th in the AL one year seventh in the AL the next, did he get worse or better?
  19. In correct. If the Sox had better options than Rutledge or Marrero, Sandoval would be gone or benched. Like last year with Shaw. Unless you really think he was injured. So until the Sox have a better option - and Devers is no guarantee to be better, especially this season - Sandoval is the likely starter starter..
  20. f***ing auto correct. Although I should give it some credit for the self-irony, in that when I type "f***ing", the predictive text suggests my next words will be "auto correct. "
  21. I'm not so sure. Moustakas is one of the best all around 3b in MLB. If not for the occasional health issues, his track record might be more impressive. Moustakas is probably a good guess for the ceiling of Devers.
  22. UZR is better if you want to judge Bogaerts year to year. It's not necessarily accurate, but at least it's inclusive to his play alone. DRS is ranked against average play at his position, so if Bogaerts drops it might have nothing to do with him and largely be a function of the other shortstops in the league. ..
  23. Agreed, especially since it's not like Smith has an extensive track record as a successful MLB reliever. ..
  24. The only Sox players I am not big fans of are Sandoval and Pomeranz. And I probably wouldn't mind either if they had come for lesser asking prices...
  25. The price for Mistakes will depend heavily on how many other teams want a 3b. But at a minimum you have to give up more than the sandwich pick he will inevitably be worth to KC. I suspect the Sox won't be able to meet that price and will have to look for alternatives. Trevor Plouffe is one name I have bandied about. And Jhonny Peralta, whom Dombrowski has acquired before, is currently a free agent.
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