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Everything posted by notin
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One thing is it puts the position near the top of Dombrowski’s offseason “To Do” list...
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My hope is Martinez decides free agency was such a collassal disappointment last time, he decides to postpone it for as long as possible...
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Kyrie Irving, too. One might think Kyrie Irving could grasp the concept of rotation. But apparently he can explain where night comes from another way (sarcasm)...
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You let Sale and Porcello walk. Nunez, too. Extend Bogaerts. Give raises to Betts and Benintendi. And hope Martinez doesn’t opt out. But be ready in case he does...
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And that may not be a skill the Sox should be dropping $30mill per season on from, say, ages 31 through 36...
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I’d rather spend free agent dollars on a closer than an elite starting pitcher. Closers typically accept shorter deals..
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Most big money free agents are cautionary tales...
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Well then rescind that. If that’s the case, Lindor is the man. He’s easily a top 5 MVP candidate...
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Let Kimbrel and Sale (after 2019) walk. It starts there. Both of them likely have their most expensive and least effective days left...
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And that something is that he is going to want to get paid for until well after it’s gone, limiting the Sox ability to retain the Killer B’s...
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Let him get it elsewhere
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Pushing the strawman argument? It's not like Kelly and Kimbrel are the only two options available. What about Brasier? He has been worth 0.7 fWAR in only 28IP, which is essentially the same pace as Kimbrel, who has been worth 1.4 fWAR in 58IP. In Brasier's very limited career, he has a 1.69ERA and 0.94 WHIP...
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Again, there are cases for Seager and Correia. It's a pretty loaded position.
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Even the setup guys were pulling down $7-8mill this past offseason. Imagine, you could only get 3 set up guys for the cost of JD Martinez...
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Ever met a professional football player? Not to get too removed from this anecdote, but I had a friend who knew a Falcons' backup QB who told him "Michael Vick is the dumbest human being I have ever met."
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Did Canseco name him? Not that that constitutes proof, but...
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Magic Number over Houston for home field is 9. Also an important number...
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Don't forget about Corey Seager. His defensive metrics are not as good as Lindor's, but they are still very good. And his offensive numbers are better...
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Convert him to closer?
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Especially since he is a potentially declining Kimbrel. His walks and home runs are up over last year and his strikeouts are down. It might be a one season blip, but if this trens continues, he has the potential to be another Sandoval/Hanley type contract at some point. And if he turns into a $100mill mop up guy, that will have severe negative impact on the ability of this team going forward...
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But don't get too worked up with the variety of offerings a pitcher has. It's not like Aroldis Chapman or Mariano Rivera mixed up their pitches to be successful. There is no magic formula for success. But keeping it in the strike zone, not giving free passes, and allowing hitters to get themselves out, which they all do the majority of the time, is about as close as it gets. And if a pitcher cna do that with one pitch or if he needs three, it doesn't matter. What matters is that he does it...
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Except not win another one...
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And the pitchers who can do so successfully do become better late game relievers. Bard and Kelly both lacked that skill and try/tried to rely on pure power to blow hitters away. But there are plenty of MLB hitters who have the patience to wait them out and take what is being handed to them. A few months ago, I had some high hopes for Kelly and wanted the Sox to bring him back. I'm not as pro-Kelly as I once was because I think the Sox can get better relief pitching to replace him...
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LOL Really? I know it bugs some people when we bring up other boards, but at BDC we had a poster named bigfoot14b or something like that who would post about how badly Epstein had destroyed in game threads this team during the 2007 playoffs. The malcontents will remain as such. And people who don't post on game threads are probably not likely to start.
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My big issue with both was their inability to find the strike zone. Throwing 99mph outside the zone just means you walk players faster. And the absolute worst thing a reliever can do in late innings of close games is give free passes to the other team. That was a very big reason why Dennis Eckersley was such an incredible reliever. From 1988 through 1998, he never walked more than 13 batters in a season. If you wanted to beat Eckersley, you had to do it yourself because you got no help from him...
