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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Oh I am not completely a stats guy. If I were, I would not have added the addendum about performance within a season. I love Bradley as a CF, and I don't like him less just because Lewis Brinson posts better dWAR numbers. However, when making a statement like "Bradley is the best" or "top 3" or whatever - anything comparative - I don't think watching Bradley and Bradley alone is a good basis for any comparative judgement. My data is far, far too biased in his direction. And for comparisons, using data like dWAR or UZR or whatever stat you like that does look at all players equally is really the best way to go...
  2. notin
    Als bear in kind dWAR and stats like that aren't definitive statements about ability. As a standalone year, they tell you who is having the better season, and players do have good and bad defensive seasons. So while Bradley's dWAR may be closer to the middle of the pack than normal, it doesn't necessarily mean he is average among his peers. Just like Matt Carpenter's batting average this year doesn't mean he is the worst hitter in MLB. (But it does mean Carpenter is having the worst season to date.)
  3. notin
    This is exactly the point. You're disregarding an evaluation technique that DOES take into account every one of these players in every game they play, and eschewing it in favor of watching Jackie Bradley play everyday and the others sporadically, and probably mostly on television.
  4. notin
    WE certainly are seeing a lot of extremely skilled defensive players and athletes in CF in the AL. Buxton, Kiermeier, Hicks, Pillar, Zimmer, Trout and Leonys Martin for starters. I haven't seen Dee Gordon out there yet. And the NL has Cain, Pollock, Inciarte, Hamilton, and Brinson (who Fangraphs loves defensively, but I've never seen play). I named about a dozen extremely talented defensive center fielders, the existence of whom doesn't negate Jackie's ability to play the position. Not sure why it is so improbable...
  5. notin
    I missed that argument. Got a link or tell me what thread/page it's on? Because as a blanket statement, I would not agree. But I'm open to proof/theories about it...
  6. notin
    Why? How many of the players ranked ahead of him have you seen do worse over the course of 35 games?
  7. notin
    Not really arguing against hindsight, as the original supposition was Bradley would have struck out. Maybe he would have, but since he actually didn't bat, we don't know what he would have done. Bradley (31.0%) has hit the ball hard as often as Swihart (31.8%) this year
  8. notin
    I'm pretty sure his offense is dragging his WAR down. Defensively, he is the Sox best option in CF.
  9. notin
    So his improvement could have been attributed to getting healthier, right?
  10. notin
    None of which answers the question. What do you prefer in that t-bat? K or GIDP? Whether or not anyone wants a batter to strike out doesn't mean it is always the worst outcome. In fact, if there is one outcome that is potentially worse than a strikeout, isn't it a GIDP?
  11. notin
    Then why was his OPS only .717 the year before?
  12. notin
    Bradley has an OPS of .520. It would be a slap in the face if he had an OPS of .720, but right now he is showing the world he has some bugs to work out at the plate. He's been there before. Sending him to AAA allows the Sox to keep everyone...
  13. notin
    Mesoraco is also a major leaguer. That isn't nothing. Getting a 27yo AA player is nothing...
  14. notin
    In that at-bat, which wuld you prefer - K or GIDP? Swihart is rusty at this point. He made the team based on a terrific ST and he has been left alone since. Not sure what defense there is for him. He probably should have been traded in March when teams wanted him...
  15. notin
    They can trade him after they DFA him, too...
  16. notin
    After a 17-2 start, if the Sox went 76-67 the rest of the way, they would still win 93 games and make the post-season....
  17. notin
    If he hits, he is an asset. If he doesn't, he gets benched and his option doesn't kick in. Win-win...
  18. notin
    Unfortunately it isn't. Teams still have LOOGY specialists. But it should be a thing of the past. They are a stupid solution, especially coupled with the rampant league-wide deployment of the shift...
  19. notin
    I do agree that is a better usage. In the bullpen, I would prefer them in a long relief role that allowed them to pitch multiple innings in games where the starter was ineffective. In this capacity, they reduce the workload on the rest of the bullpen and prevent using 4 or 5 pitchers chasing a potentially unwinnable game, and therefore resulting in 1 or 2 additional losses from chasing that game. A lot of times, long relievers don't start with a clean inning, but I wouldn't let that impact the decision on their usage...
  20. notin
    This isn't about the better pticher as much as it is the situational wildness, right? Ryan also pitched 27 seasons and had 277 wild pitches. 10.3 per season. Niekro pitched for 24 seasons and had 226 wild pitches. 9.4 per season. Not sure on passed balls, but those are not solely attributable to the pitcher. Mark Baldwin was a turn of the century fastball pitcher who had 221 wild pitches pitches, which is an amazing achievement for someone who only pitched for 7 years...
  21. notin
    The wOBA for the American League is .316. Only Devers, Nunez, Bradley and the catchers are below that. If the Sox start Moreland and Holt over Bradley and Nunez, that leaves 2 hitters at or below league average. And Devers (.310) is barely below...
  22. notin
    I think the solution might be Nunez to the bench, Moreland to first, Hanley to DH, Martinez to LF, Benintendi to CF and Bradley to Pawtucket. Swihart will be unaffected. But they could also DFA Swihart. It doesn't look like they will miss him...
  23. notin
    I get why most are on fastballs, but I think for most catchers, the knuckler might be more a matter of reputation. We all watched Wakefield pitche for years in every role, including closer. Do you recall a stretch where passed balls or wild pitches were ever a problem? Who do you think averaged more wild pitches per seasons - Nolan Ryan or Phil Niekro?
  24. notin
    It's actually not a concern. They're not going to win more than 60% of their games this year, so winning 50% (or lower) for a large stretch is expected at some point. If they were 13-9 instead would you be worried? If a team plays at a 13-9 clip for an entire season, they would win about 98 games...
  25. notin
    While a lot of people feel that way, the Sox do have a good catching staff that can handle it. The overwhelming majority of wild pitches and passed balls we all see are on fastballs, but no one would ever say that about a fastball pitcher. The biggest issue with a knuckleballer is that if he doesn't have it, it is simple batting practice for any major league hitter. But then that can be said about any breaking ball as well...
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