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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Sometimes recovery isn’t 100%...
  2. That’s not cherry picking at all. It’s his last two seasons, not 2 of his last 3 or 4. His return to health, on the other hand, is pure speculation. In the case of Buchholz, what exactly is fully healthy?
  3. It’s a little counterintuitive to argue that he’s not dependable on one hand but that he will also get guaranteed money on the other. Buchholz provides no guarantees with regards to availability so I doubt any team provides a guarantee for money. He’s pitched 105 IP combined in the last two seasons, both of which ended in injury. No GM is giving him guaranteed money...
  4. It wouldn’t be incredibly surprising if Clay’s lengthy injury history prevented anyone from offering him a Major League deal.. But if someone does, so be it. I’d love to see the Sox bring him back on a minor league deal, but he will probably have his choice of those...
  5. I would think Cervelli is actually a pretty good difference maker. Vazquez is a weakness on offense and Leon is a black hole. All three are good defenders. It’s definitely an upgrade, but not a long term one..
  6. But that was also four years and a few injuries ago. Is he really still even that capable?
  7. Which is usually the opposite of how contracts are structured. If you backload it, a team can afford better players around the free agent before he starts losing it...
  8. Fangraphs has it as 15.5/15.5/15.5/15.5...
  9. Melancon made $15.5mill last year, which is also his AAV. If Eovaldi became a closer, he would be the third highest paid closer in MLB despite having 0 career saves. Only Wade Davis and Chapman make more...
  10. The Sox probably need OF depth with minor league options. Per soxprospects.com, Sam Travis is slated to play LF this year, meaning he might be some depth. They also might sign a minor league deal to someone like JB Shuck or Matt Szczur or Rajai Davis or ?
  11. You don’t think the “one year” part of the QO was a factor? Also neither Chapman nor Jansen make $20mill per year. I’m fact, neither make $17.9 per year. Eovaldi’s deal is more per year than Jansen ($16mill) and just lower than Chapman and Wade Davis....
  12. Awww ... it’s no longer the competitive spending free-for-all that he can take advantage of. And to be blunt, if anyone ruined free agency for the players, it wasn’t the stat geeks; it was Boras...
  13. I like to think so, but I’m not sure how much he has. The only thing for certain is that he has to go. He won’t make the 25 man roster unless the right people get injured...
  14. And Swihart...
  15. Travis, Hernandez, Walden. All could be DFAd at some point this off-season...
  16. Plenty and I’ve named a few. But I predict Dombrowski makes an attempt to acquire Felipe Vasquez from the Pirates. Can he pull it off? That’s another matter...
  17. I hope Dombrowski didn’t just hand Eovaldi that insane contract to make him a closer. If that was the case, why not just sign a closer? If the Sox are going to use any starter as a closer, it might wind up being Sale. Depends on the condition of his arm, of course. But the White Sox used him a closer before. In fact , in 2012 around the All Star break, sSale was having arm trounles and the Whie Sox immediately announced he was closing. (He pitched one non-save relief appearance and told them he felt fine and resumed starting. But if Sale is having arm troubles, should the Sox durable him directly into free agency? Or try him in the reduced role?
  18. So... worse pitchers?
  19. Allen isn’t anyone’s first choice, but that doesn’t make him a bad choice. DD has been trading for closers and closing types (Tyler Thornburg, Carson Smith) from smaller market teams since he arrived in Boston. I wouldn’t be surprised if that trend were to continue
  20. Okthink about this. Allen is #71 overall but #7 in the San Diego system. That means the Padres have nearly 1 of every 10 of the best 70 prospects in baseball. That’s crazy...
  21. I saw an article by him from September that had Allen #7 overall, which I found surprising. Either way, if the Sox kept Allen, he would very likely be #1 in the Sox system, unless he was headed for the MLB rotation...
  22. Either way, Allen is a better prospect than every pitching prospect in the Sox farm system right now. Every. Single. One. Hard to support that he knew who to keep and who to trade when that is true. Dombrowski really isn’t known for minor league talent evaluation. He is known for emptying farm systems to acquire MLB talent. He did that in Florida, Detroit, and Boston. Interestingly, he then tried the reverse inFlorida and traded away his players to refill the farm, and it didn’t work so well. (Granted, That was 15 years ago.) He didn’t keep the right prospects and deal away the bad ones in Boston. He traded away nearly the entire top layer of the farm system, made mid-season deals only using unranked reach prospects, and made some truly bizarre moves involving keeping/releasing players on the 40man roster. You can like Dombrowski as a GM and like what he has done for this team and still acknowledge that many of the players he traded away will be good...
  23. A bunch of those guys are already in the upper minors. In fact some have MLB experience. Adams, German, Loasagia for three. Yet still not a top 5 system...
  24. A poster on MLBTR started saying this was the case long before the story broke. Apparently this is quite common in Venezuela, especially on that road...
  25. The problem with having a slew of 98mph pitchers in A ball is a fraction of them will get injured and some of them will never recover. Another fraction will never get any semblance of control and become walk machines, which doesn’t work at any level. So proximity is a big deal. Attrition happens...
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