Now the public statement by Dombrowski is he wants to trade a catcher for “starter depth” to protect against Sale and/or Porcello leaving.
The more I think about this, the more I realize this has to be a red herring. The Sox are NOT going to get protection for one of 9-10 fWAR worth of starting pitchers by trading any of their three backup catchers. Dombrowski can’t be this naive. The man has probably negotiated over 100 trades in his MLB career and must have a better notion of how other GMs value players. So this must be a negotiating ploy to add to the bullpen.
But even then, what can they get for any of them?
I figure the best matches might be:
1) Blake Swihart to Miami for Tayron Guerrero. Guerrero is a 28yo career minor leaguer who throws about 99mph but has battled some control. Sort of like Ryan Brasier. Miami has no urgent need for Swihart, but a 27yo backup catcher with experience at multiple positions can’t hurt a rebuilding franchise, who has the time to see if he can ever regain top prospect form.
2) Christian Vazquez to Atlanta for Aroldis Vizcaino. The Braves are reportedly looking for a closer , which means they don’t think the oft-injured Vizcaino is the guy. The money is roughly equal, and Vizcaino still throws about 97mph on his healthy days. The big obstacle is the Braves might not view catcher as their biggest need.
3) Vazquez to Oakland for Fernando Rodney. Oakland has only Josh Phegley and Chris Hermann on their 40-man roster as catchers, and both are older than Vazquez and probably shown the world their ceilings. The A’s are loaded at bullpen, and 42 year old Rodney, who got his start at closer under Dombrowski, is probably expendable. Money is about the same. The downside for Oakland is they do have Sean Murphy as one of their best prospects ready to step in at catcher. Personally I am no fan of Rodney and his propensity for walking hitters, but he has had a good career and still routinely tops 95mph.
4) Blake Swihart to Oakland for Frankie Montas. When not overstocking his team with 1b and CF, Beane does have a habit of acquiring versatile players. Former Sox prospect Montas is out of options and hasn’t forced his way into the rotation as many hoped he would. Swihart doesn’t create the same logjam in Oakland that Vazquez would. Montas and his 97mph fastball (a trait Dombrowski historically loves) could slide into the Sox pen this year and become a starter option in 2020. His projected 0.9 fWAR doesn’t make him look much more valuable than Swihart.
Thoughts?