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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    It’s misapplied. None of Jordan Montgomery, Luis Gil, Andrew Heaney or Jordan Lyles qualifies an an “outside force”…
  2. notin
    As an engineer/physicist, no. Momentum describes motion that can continue to move forward. After all, momentum is mass times velocity, and Newton told us objects in motion tend to stay in motion. That’s the Misapplied Physics Lesson for today…
  3. notin
    This isn’t the NFL with non-guaranteed contracts and this isn’t the NBA with contract buyouts. Spending in MLB has no such escapes. What is showing up in the field is the byproduct of spending heavily in the recent past…
  4. notin
    Exactly…
  5. notin
    No on momentum, especially as it gets described on here. But yes on hot streaks..
  6. notin
    MLB set a record $10.7 billion in revenue in 2019. I think a lot more teams have the revenue to spend like Boston, but simply choose not to…
  7. notin
    Do people really think they will be a bidding war for a 28yo pitcher who threw 238 innings total across the previous 4 seasons, and in them had an ERA+ of 97? I suppose that makes him Eovaldi 2.0…
  8. notin
    No. His OPS vs RHP is worse than Dalbec’s…
  9. notin
    It’s not the defense!!! I read it on here..
  10. notin
    And I was ripping the Sandoval deal before it was even finalized. I did like the Hanley deal, and didn’t know what to think about Castillo…
  11. notin
    Yes, assuming they find a good deal. But going over for a couple months is not in the same league as guaranteeing 6 or 7 years and $250 million to some 30+ vet just because the owner let you…
  12. notin
    Yes, because it was a prime inevitability. If you like, Cherington also showed the issues with spending. He got a short term victory, but then the team fell apart due to spending especially spending that prohibited other spending. But at least most of the deals he signed were short...
  13. notin
    So now you're side-stepping? I also mentioned the (pre-2021) Giants and Phillies by name. The Giants have never had anything to do with Dombrowski and the Phillies association is a little too recent to blame him for their high payroll flops of recent years...
  14. notin
    The premise of the post was "payroll = parades", basically. That teams only win because they spend so much money. And this does run counter to any notion of the randomness of the postseason, or at least it has to if you define success as World Series Champion and nothing else. Here's the issue 1. Plenty of small market and low payroll teams do extremely well, and plenty of high payroll teams do not. 2. Your definition of the "big picture" was exactly the opposite - a rather small one where we focus on the Sox teams that won. Well, the Sox teams that won in 2016 through 2018 were steps on an inevitable path to the teams in 2019 and 2020. THAT is the problem with spending heavy; it leads to short term success (occasionally) and long term failure (always). Especially when it's the only thing the GM can do.
  15. notin
    Stop. You cannot argue there is any randomness at all in the postseason and then follow up here like this. The disparity between Dodgers and the Rays in 2020 alone shows this. The 2016 Guardians - the back end of the time frame you chose - were 24th in MLB in payroll and took the World Series to extra innings in game seven. You don't get to ignore that one off simply because they didn't win. It's not like the difference was whether or not they spent a few more dollars. Meanwhile the Giants (pre-2021) and Phillies have been hanging out near the top of the MLB payroll for years and shown no hint of even making the postseason...
  16. notin
    So the big picture is still just Red Sox teams? Since 2014, the average place in their division for the top 5 payrolls in MLB is 2.5. The average finish of the bottom 5 is 3.4. So it’s “better”, but the correlation between heavy spending and winning isn’t as strong as the post implied…
  17. notin
    AGon was a pleasant surprise as an outfielder…
  18. notin
    Like the 2019 Red Sox? Or the 2020 Red Sox?
  19. notin
    I agree. I think he needs at least 85 plate appearances before we label him a success or bust…
  20. notin
    He must have attended the same hitting school as Chavis…
  21. notin
    I could see it not happening. But the odds of it happening do go up significantly if the NL adopts the DH. And maybe that’s a factor. If the NL decides to adopt the DH in 2023, if I was his agent, I’d advise him to take his last option in Boston. If they adopt it for 2022, no way would I tell him to accept now that up to 15 more teams just got interested…
  22. notin
    The guy pitching tonight?
  23. notin
    Schoop’s extension was reported on August 7, after the deadline. Now it’s pretty likely negotiations started prior to the deadline, but so far it’s not definitive…
  24. notin
    I still think it’s possible…
  25. notin
    I think that depends why it’s underwhelming. If for some reason he isn’t allowed to spend, do we blame Bloom? If he is allowed to spend, and sinks all his cash into Jake Arrieta and Ryan Zimmerman, yeah, we can blame Bloom…
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