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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I'm not sure why full season matters more than last 2-3 seasons, especially when PAs may vary wildly from one player to another. I mean, I get why, but full season is cherry-picked, too.
  2. Agreed, but it's funny you trust the Sox to break their tradition on doing better with lower picks. "Historical data" shows the Sox suck with higher picks: 2020 to 2025 (Post DD era) All Top 10: 4 Mayer (2021) 12 Montgomery (traded) 14 Teel (traded) 15 Witherspoon 17 Yorke All Top 11-30: 24 Romero All 31-60 33 Phillips 41 C Coffey (traded) 50 Tolle 50 Zanetello Selected 61+ (2025>2024>2023...) 75 Godbout, 87 Eyanson 86 Neeley, 148 Clarke 83 A Anderson, 132 KC, 151 Early 79 Anthony, 129 Meidroth, 189 Hoppe (traded) 279 Brannon, 369 Mullins 40 Fabian (did not sign) 556 Uberstine 89 Jordan (traded) 118 Wu-Yelland, 148 Drohan (traded) Ben & DD notables: 7 Benintendi (2015) 7 Trey Bell (2013) 12 Groome & 118 Dalbec(2016) 24 Houck & 491 K Crawford (2017) 26 Casas & 220 Duran (2018) 26 Chavis & 33 Kopech 2014
  3. The jury is still out on "getting it right" or not on many of Brez's draft picks and IFAs. 2024: 12 Montgomery (part of Crochet trade) 50 Tolle (looks great, so far) 86 Neely (meh) 115 Ehrhard (traded) 237 Cason (TBD) 267 Hudson White (TBD) 297 Futrell (TBD) 2025 15 Witherspoon (TBD) 33 Phillips (TBD) 75 Godbout (TBD) 87 Eyanson (Could be the major steal of the draft) 118 Mason White (TBD) 178 Finley, 238 Brown, 328 B Morgan & 388 Winnay TBD IFAs $10K for Primera could be the steal of the decade. $40K Azocar (looking real good) $500K Delzine & Ramos(TBD) $950K Rivas (TBD) $1.2M Brito (TBD) $1.4M Soto & Silverio (TBD)
  4. I wish we knew what teams offered for Duran. (Maybe we'd all have said no.)
  5. 3B is no longer the slugging position it once was. If Durbin can play near GG defense at 3B and hit over .750, he'll be okay, as long as we add two big bats somewhere else (DH? SS/2B? C?) 3B still slugs more than 2B & SS but not by a lot. SLG in MLB by position '24>'25>'26 .393>.397>.386 3B .411>.404>.390 SS .374>.371>.386 2B (same as 3B, this year!)
  6. Mayer is already a plus defender. He's missed a lot of development time due to injuries, so a longer leash on the bat makes sense. I hope he can get to .750+ on a consistent basis, and maybe even near .800. I suppose he could do even better, and that would be gravy.
  7. Maybe having a set rotation for the next 5 years. Of course, having and needing SP'er depth should always be a concern and priority. For 2027, our SP'er depth might not need any additions, but that is relying on returning IL pitchers. The plan? Crochet replaces Gray Houck, Crawford & Oviedo Bello to pen? Eyanson, Holobetz, Uberstine, Wehunt, Paez, Rivera, Anderson (AA in 2027? Witherspoon, Phillips, Brown, Futrell, Ingrassia) Is that enough? On the everyday side of the ledger, some serious work and re-working needs to be done, and the interesting thing is that only IKF is not under team control for 2027. Some major decisions need to be made that include moving on from some players, either by trading them or demoting them to the bench or AAA depth. DFA'ing Yoshida may also be an option. Dumping Story could be another. Trading Duran will be the hot issue, once again, if he's not dealt at this deadline. C: _____________ Narvaez & Gasper (Trade Wong?) 1B: Contreras & Romy 2B/3B: _____________, Durbin & Mayer (platoon?) Romy SS: ______________, Mayer (or Arias?) LF: Anthony (Duran?) CF: Rafaela RF: Abreu DH: ____________, (Yoshida/Duran/Anthony?) I am certain Brez & Co. will not be adding 4 major pieces, this summer/winter, and probably adding 3 is a stretch. Adding two might be barely enough, if both are big bats. We'll still need others to do better than 2026 to win.
  8. I agree on Arias, but it's hard to know without seeing him play. I am certain an Arias-Mayer keystone combo would be better on D than one with Story. (I'm okay with Story's D at 2B, but I don't see him as an overall plus going forward.)
  9. 0.7 in his last 40 games. 0.8 in last 28 games. 1.0 last 22 games. It's interesting how using chosen sample sizes can make a difference. (We all do it. I'm not casting stones, here.)
  10. I'm glad Brez bungled the Breggie negotiations. It doesn't change the fact that he is a bungler, but I'm glad we have Suarez, Durbin and Contreras over Breggie & Alonso. They are cheaper and better.
  11. 3 runs probably score, anyway, yes, but he still botched the play. That symbolized how he plays, to be. Too many base-running and defensive botches. Inconsistent batting. Saying inappropriate things to fans. Not making the trip to Toronto during COVID. It all adds up for me. I don't hate him. IMO, we had 4 OF'ers with Yoshida as depth. We should have traded him when his value was higher. I wasn't for just handing him away. My suggested trade offers were for real talent in return, not like others who said "Trade him for prospects."
  12. I'm so done with Duran. It's a shame we didn't trade him at his peak, or shortly afterwards. That game-ending play, last night seemed to symbolize who he is.
  13. With Crochet on the IL, not to mention Houck, Crawford, Sandoval & Oviedo, our 5 starters are all under 3.71. What a waste of a pretty awesome rotation. OPS Against .607 Suarez 2.93 ERA .624 Tolle 3.08 .629 Bennett 3.71 .709 Gray 3.12 .732 Early 3.64 Assuming Crochet replaces Gray, next year, we have aal 5 locked up for 5 years or more.
  14. Something many have been suggesting for over 2 years.
  15. Is a .633 OPS good, bad or awful? That's what batters are hitting against Whitlock, this year. It was .543, last year! .615 in a limited season in '24, and he sucked in '23 (.823.) .639 in 2022 His first year, he was at .631 in 2021 is about the same as this year. He had two better seasons than his first- by this measure. That being said, I'd keep him as our #2.
  16. He hit the ball so hard, it was bound to be DPs.
  17. I saw more hope in many other prospects traded than Jordan. Matt Lugo, Yorke and Sam Travis Maybe these guys are close: Northcutt, Kavadas, Coffey
  18. Here are the numbers of prospects Brez has traded for: 1.162 Ronny Hernandez (Chris Murphy trade) .777 Luke Heyman (Hoppe) .749 I Jackson (Grissom) .744 A Guzman (Jh Garcia & Travieso) ,706 B Ward (Bernardino) .705 Nate Baez (T Gray) .786 YRod, .754 OPSA Holobetz & .822 Phillips (CB pick via trade for Priester)(Priester) .570 OPSA Bennett (Perales) .656 OPSA Jose Bello (Devers) .793 OPSA Ziehl (Sandlin & Hicks)
  19. Maybe MIL will be looking to trade William Contreras after this season. I think he has one year left. MIL loves trading with us! FA Options might be: 2B Albers DH Acuna or Tesoscar It's not a great class of FAs. It looks like trades might be the best path. Maybe we can find the next Harrison, Priester, Drohan, Jordan, DHam & Tibbs to trade for the next bum.
  20. Boston Red Sox Hall of Fame slugger Jim Rice experienced uncorrected vision and eyesight issues during the final years of his Major League Baseball career. These visual challenges, compounded by lingering elbow injuries, directly contributed to a sharp decline in his batting performance and his retirement after the 1989 season. [Society for American Baseball Research]
  21. Exactly, and to see them play this much with so few injuries to everyday players is the real eye-opener. Anthony has been out all year, but we had 4 OF'ers and Yoshida to help at DH. Romy being hurt did not help, but he was not really a lock at any FT position. IDK just got hurt, but he was the utility guy. Story's injury cleared some room for these guys to play. Gasper is playing because Narvaez has sucked, and Wong might be traded soon. The all healthy offense was never impressive: C Narvaez/Wong 1B Contreras/Romy 2B Mayer/ Romy/IKF SS Story/Mayer/IKF 3B Durbin/Mayer/IKF LF Duran/Anthony/Yoshida CF Rafaela/Duran RF Anthony/Anthony DH Anthony or Duran/ Yoshida & Romy __________________________________ 287 PAs in 2025 who were viewed as AAA depth if all were healthy 123 Monasterio 111 Gasper 41 Sogard 12 Seigler 10 Eaton
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