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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. 1. Eaton LF 2. Rafaela CF 3. Abreu RF 4. Contreras C 5. Duran DH 6. Durbin 3B 7. Monasterio SS 8. Wong C 9. Seigler 2B Bench: Yoshida, Mayer, Gasper, Narvaez
  2. Someone might pay more than min wage for Yoshida, but not by much, so yes, assume we pay 99% of his contract, if someone takes him. Duran might need some money added, too, but only if we want something of value back. I think someone will want him and give up a promising single A player or two- not much more, at this point. One plus is he is still just arb eligible, so any team can just walk away. If IKF gets healthy, he may bring something back of minimal value- same with Wong, Coulombe and T Guerrero. Gray is the one guy that may bring back a useful piece or two. My guess is, we will want someone who will be part of the 2017 and beyond plans. Chapman's 2027 control makes it hard for me to suggest we trade him, but I'd listen to offers. Contreras has 2 years remaining, so I'd listen but not settle on lower return values.
  3. Coulda/Shoulda/Mighta just had Roman go under the knife weeks ago.
  4. I think Brez gets another year. On good decisions vs bad, it's hard to grade non moves, and I think we both agree he gets a big "F" for not making another big bat addition (or two.) On his actual moves made, it doesn't look as bad to me, as it might to you and others, but yes, "too few" good ones. My subjective view on the major moves (note almost all are still TBD for the most part) Not counting draft and IFA: In approximate order of importance/cost... 10 biggest B Crochet trade C+ Devers dump A- Suarez signing B- Bregman signing (and not re-signing) A- Contreras trade A Chapman signing & extension B+ Gray trade B- Crochet extension D+ Giolito signing F Buehler signing _________________ 10 Moderate choices made: B- Verdugo trade B+ O'Neil signing D+/TBD Harrison-Durbin D+/TBD Priester trade C Anthony extension A- Rafaela extension A- Romy waiver claim B- Slaten trade F Hendriks signing B Bennett for Perales trade __________________ Please feel free to call me out for missing some equally or more important choices made that should be listed. Some might be moderate or the next tier of 10: Bello extension, KC extension, Justin Wilson, Narvaez, IKF, Oviedo, Moran, Coulombe, Hicks & Sandler, May & Matz, Danny Jansen, L Garcia & L Sims, Bernardino, Booser (get & trade)Watson, Criswell, NLowe, Gasper, Toro, Paxton, T Guerrero, I Campbell Again, "TBD" should probably be the current grades, but so far... Looking at the 2026 results and the unbalanced roster, the final grade is worse than the sum of all these parts combined.
  5. I said I agree with your position. I'm hoping we can do better with a higher pick that we've done with the last few times. Anyway, we are talking draft 2027 and then a few more years to see results. The MLB draft is not as certain as other drafts. I don't view it with much excitement. I thought we did pretty well the last few drafts, but it hasn't gotten us anywhere special... so far.
  6. I believe this, but this is a statement that the facts prove your point. It's not actually the data/facts that are given.
  7. Just curious why you have hope they will in this area and not other areas. I'm not disagreeing- just curious. Our best picks seem to be comp picks, picks after rounds one and two and even very late picks.
  8. 12th out of 15 in everyday players seems about right. 6th in pitching seems a little low, especially SP'ing, but Bello & Crochet really drove the numbers down.
  9. Jack Winnay promoted to AA. He leads the farm in BBs with 53. He has 11 HRs and an .891 OPS.
  10. Sonny Gray says he's open to conversations about his no trade clause.
  11. American League Team fWAR Rankings by Position Sox are ranked... 3rd at 1B (2.3) 3rd in CF (2.0) 3rd in RF (1.9) 8th at C at 0.8 9th at 3B (1.1) 9th in LF (0.7) 13th at DH (-0.8) 15th at SS (-0.1) 15th at 2B (-0.1) (12th overall at 7.9) __________________ 2nd RP (2.7) 9th SP (5.8) (6th overall at 8.5- just 0.1 from a tie for 4th)
  12. Anybody who saw the Devers incident, when the Giants sent in a PR'er for him at 1B has to be thankful he's gone. Very sad.
  13. Do the facts of the Sox history of drafting high-middle-low matter?
  14. When we traded Devers, I thought Harrison was the prize of the return, but they must not have liked what they saw of him while at AAA. They went and traded for May and Matz rather than call him up. Trading him may not have been more about "giving up on him" as the need and or like of getting Durbin and infield depth with Monasterio & Seigler, but clearly they didn't value him as highly as Dustin May. BTW, it's not like Kyle never got a look-see. He was called up in 2023 and started 7 games. He started 24 games in 2024 and saw less action in 2025 w SFG, too. They must have soured on something, too, even before they traded him. Maybe it was the fact that he just wasn't doing very well. He had a career 1.297 WHIP w SFG in 183 IP. BOS+SFG> MIL ERA: 4.39>2.50 ERA+: 91>167 FIP: 4.43>3.04 WHIP 1.315>1.056 BB/9: 3.1>2.3 K/9: 8.8>10.9
  15. Well, if AAA hitters are batting that much as 3Bmen, then that is a reason 3B is in decline. More of one than Durbin.
  16. The last few major SS Free Agents signings have probably done worse than any other position. $M 365/12 Betts (not signed as SS & doing poorly in 2026) 341/10 Lindor (.796 w NYM and .669 in 2026) 325/10 Seager (.854 w TEX is great, but only over 125 gms once i 4+ yrs) 300/11 T Turner (.769 w PHI & .608 in 2026) 275/11 Bogaerts (OPS+ from 117 to 102 w SDP & .695 since '24)
  17. Assuming we trade IKF and Wong. We trade Duran or cut Yoshida loose. Story does not play the rest of '26 and Anthony & Romy return. Barring new injuries, the roster might end like this: C Gasper & Narvaez 1B Contreras 2B Romy SS Mayer 3B Durbin LF Duran or Anthony/Yoshida CF Rafaela RF Abreu DH Anthony or Yoshida UT Seigler, Eaton, Monasterio/Sogard
  18. The Cubs and Sox both had their chances to lock him up at a better rate than he ended up earning afterwards. He is a perfect batter for Fenway (and everywhere else.)
  19. Durbin's career SLG is .369- not far from the league average at 3B.
  20. 2025-2026 Starting Pitchers (a53 have 110+ IP) 8 Suarez 6.3 10 Crochet 6.1 13 Sale & Ryan 5.8 24 Nate 4.7 25 Gray & Pivetta 4.6 RP'er (100 pitchers with 80+ IP) 4. Chapman 3.6 7. Whitlock 2.9 64. Weissert 0.7
  21. Agreed. Maybe several sample sizes should be given each time. Guys like Durbin have not been around long, so giving his 2025, career and most recent ___ PAs is probably enough.
  22. How about this cherry-picked sample size? 2025-2026 fWAR (354 players with 300+ PAs) 7.4 Schwarber #15 6.1 Rafaela & KMarte #30 5.9 Hoerner #33 (sucking in '26) 5.8 CJ Abrams #36 5.4 Alonso #39 5.1 Willson #49 5.0 Bregman #51 4.6 Neto & Bichette #62 4.4 Bogey #70 4.3 Duran #76 4.2 B Lowe & Mookie #80 4.1 Abreu #81 3.8 Paredes Willy Adams & Arraez #88 3.7 Devers #98 3.4 Donovan & O'Hearn #104 3.3 Josh Naylor 3.2 Durbin, E Suarez #118 3.0 Anthony #122 (just 433 PAs) 2.9 Narvaez #124 2.7 Meidroth 2.5 Story #136 (The Sox 8th player in the top 40% of players.) ..... #177 IKF and Teel 1.8 #184 Arenado & Matt Shaw 1.7 #193 Okamoto 1.6 (no 2025) #273 Mayer 0.5 #334 Yoshida -0.4
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