moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Yes, I think the last two additions will be waiver pick-ups. Do we have a time limit on when we need to fill 40 man slots?
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I get that. Don't add him, unless and until you know you will call him up, almost immediately. I do think Kavadas might be a better hitter than Dalbec and could be on the 26 (1B), right now, and he bats LH'd. I don't think meidroth plays over Romy (at SS or 3B back-up) but maybe DHam (at SS). If he's not seen as an upgrade on the 26, then it's not worth adding him- agreed.
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4/30 SF Giants vs Red Hots @ Fenway 7:10 EDT
moonslav59 replied to vegasbob's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Of course not, but the FIP you brought up is also a SSS. -
Ok, so he may get some more hits, despite his weaker exit velo, because he makes more contact, but he gets less hits, because they are no hit hard. Maybe that makes him break even on BA, but will be low on SLG%. Perhaps his walk rate is what might save him, if he can transfer that skill to the bigs. (That might not be likely, since pitchers will not be afraid of throwing strikes, know he cannot burn them with a homer or rocket 2B/3B. Got it.
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Ok, thanks for the clarification. I think I had a wrong understanding of "90%."
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Okay, thanks. Here is my point in further detail. Let's say the 90% exit percentile is used. That means when a player hits the ball, he hits is X% hard, but does that account for how often he makes contact and puts the ball in play? Here is a comp: Player A hits the ball 40% of the time and has a high max velocity and 90% velocity. Player B hits the ball in play 50% of the time, has a lower max velocity and hits many of the balls at 80-89%. Which one will have better overall numbers? Am I missing something? (Admittedly, I'm not well versed on these things.)
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Or demote him. Romy can play SS or 3B, so we don't need Dalbec for back-up 3B. Now that Reyes is gone, we are light at 3B depth. Maybe we add Romy to the 26, demote Dalbec and add Kavadas and or Meidroth to the 40. I know you do not want more IF'ers on the 40, but with all the injuries and uncertainties, I think we add one.
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I think this could happen, but I'll believe it when I see it. Here is our recent scorecard: Drafts (top 5 rounds): 2023: C, SS, SS, RHP, SS, SS, LHP, RHP 2022: SS, SS, OF, LHP, SS LHP (+3 pitchers round 6-8) 2021: SS, OF (did not sign), 2B, RHP, C 2020: 2B, 3B, LHP. LHP Nobody drafted higher than 3rd round. IFA highest Bonuses given: 2024: T3 8th 9th 2023: 4th 5th 7th 2022: 8th 2021 4th 6th 7th 2020: 2nd 8th 9th
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Is there any rula about how long a team can go with a full 40 man roster? We are at 38, and have been under 40, for a while.
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Makes sense. My point is about whether "exit velocity" tells the whole story about making solid contact often. Maybe he does not hit the ball as hard as others, but he hits it kinda hard more often than others. Which is more important as a predictor?
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4/30 SF Giants vs Red Hots @ Fenway 7:10 EDT
moonslav59 replied to vegasbob's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
The .270 BAbip is much lower than his career .329 BAbip, but it's hard to know, if this has all been luck. (I think some has been, if not most.) His .625 OPS Against looks real good. Other numbers: LD%: (a pretty big improvement) 27% in '23 18% in '24 Hard Hit %: 28.4% in '13 26.3% in '24 Here is a big swing- soft hit% 16.5% in '23 28.9% in '24 Is the BAbip and FIP numbers really telling the whole story on the "luck factor?" -
I was thinking he might be a better fit than Dalbec, since both Dalbec and Copper bat RH'd. Dalbec being able to back-up 3B has been of value, recently, and we just cut reyes- the ther back-up 3Bman, but once Romy returns, maybe we DFA Dalbec, promote Romy and add Kavadas to the 40.
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Where do you find exit velocities for minor leaguers? Also, can someone make solid contact, a lot, as in hardly ever hitting the ball weakly and making solid contact more than the norm, but not hit the ball as hard as everyone else? I've often wondered about this. Another semi-related issue is when people use BAbip to determine if a batter has been "lucky" or "unlucky." Sometimes, I look at their hard hit % of Line drive% and see that it is higher than previous years, so I wonder how much of it is luck, or if they are just hitting the ball harder, so more are falling for hits.
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I'd add Benitez, Meidroth, Kavadas and maybe a non prospect like Luetge.
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Well said, and I will take it one step further: since 2020, we've complained about our pitching, and for maybe a decade we have complained about how bad our farm system is at producing quality pitchers, especially SP'ers. While guys like Pivetta, Slaten, Whitlock and Winckowski saw all or much of their minor league development in other farm systems, we got 3 (Slaten, Whit & Wink) as prospects and Pivetta, who was still pre-arb. I think Bernardino was still technically a prospect, when we got him, too. These came from our system: Bello Houck Crawford Kelly Murphy Walter Wikelman Perales Acquired as prospects: Whitlock Slaten Wink Bernardino I said this, a while ago, this may not be great in house production, but it's better than we've seen in a decade.
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We've added players to the 40, already and all played in the bigs or will soon. Uwasawa Gutierrez Booser Cooper The "40th" guy will play more than guys like Wikelman, Perales and probably Mata.
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Agreed, DHam does fit our immediate needs more than Valdez. (If Valdez was hitting .775, we might think otherwise. When Romy gets back, a choice will be made, again.
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I think we are already at #44 or #45, with more sure to come.
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I've come to learn that OBP does not always translate well into MLB. I hope you are right.
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I think the topic has been mauled to death, but IMO, Duran might have been thrown out at home with a nice throw, had the ball been caught and he tagged up. Probably not, but who knows.
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Well, AZ, TEX, LAD, LAA, SFG and OAK all would fit the criteria, too.
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Texas and Colorado were once Mexico. The USA ripped them off and took it from them.
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Baseball is part of my OCD.
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Another good point, and even Bolt does not start out at 28mph instantly.
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Is Duran running at 29 mph from the instant he leaves 3B? The whole way home?
