moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Nice article. I think Bailey is helping us get turned into a better direction. I hope the farm development changes do the same. Many argue it was a mistake putting Whitlock into the rotation, and I'm not sure how much Bailey had to do with that. Whit's injury after 4 GS confirmed the reason to be worried, but one could also look and say, Whit did a fine job in those 4 starts. Bello did worse than expected. Houck & Crawford: better. I still like the addition of Bailey, despite our recent woes. Gio was supposed to be our IP leader. Houck and Crawford are already at career IP highs. Pivetta was a bit of a disappointment. The pen pick-up, except for Slaten, almost all bombed: I Campbell, Weissert, Garcia, Sims, Anderson, Keller, Wingenter, Y Ramirez. Criswell did better than expected. -
They usually go conservative, esp on IP. What was Gio's projection, or was he already hurt when they made them?
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Soxprospects.com did their Sept update on the rankings: 1. Anthony 2. Mayer 3. Campbell (up) I might have put him 2nd. 4. Teel (Jumped by K. C.) 5. Montgomery 6. Perales (Went up while on IL) 7. Arias (up and up) 8. Bleis (down) 9. Meidroth (up) 10. Cespedes (down) 11. Sandlin 12. Fitts 13. Tolle 14. Romero (up) 15. Jh Garcia (up) 16. Castro 17. Jo Garcia 18. Dobbins (up) 19 Penrod (up- not sure why) 20. Wikelman (why are they sticking with him? 21-25: ERC, Monegro, Cason, Valera, Early 26-30: Mullins, Guerrero, Jordan, Paez, Zanetello (down, bigly) 30-40: D Refeys, Ju Gonzalez, Neely, Wehunt, Sogard, Bastardo, Reimer, Taylor, Ehhard, Clarke 41-50: Tygart, Dean, Carlson, Ingrassia, Anderson, Gasper, Gambrell, Hickey (down), Bonnin, Jackson 51-60: Brannon, Mata, Fermin, Pinto, Brito, Nunez, Hoppe, I Coffey, Turner, Rogers
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Hell, when we extended him, many said he was "an injury waiting to happen," or "already damaged goods." We heard that repeated every year afterwards, until the last few months. He did not let down that crowd, every year.
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I do think Sale had a better chance of pitching well (2.50 to 3.75) than Gio (3.25 to 4.25,) but on estimated IP, I'd have gone Gio (140-180) to Sale (30-120.) I'd have predicted a higher WAR for Gio based on his IP projection, and I was never high on Gio.
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Will Duran (.877) pass Devers (.898) in OPS, this year? Rankings among batters with 375+ PAs: 12. Devers .898 16. Duran .877 18. O'Neill .862 26. Abreu .824
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Will Trevor Story actually be back this season?
moonslav59 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
There is still a chance Grissom turns out oaky or better. (I'm not counting on it, nor should they plan on his comeback.) -
I agree with you and Bell over 90% of the time, but it's weird how you two disagree on almost everything. What's up with that?
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I don't disagree, and trading DHam depends on how confident they feel in Mayer and or Campbell. Campbell is a coveted RHB, while DHam bats lefty. I'm just thinking of guys we might trade, instead of prospects. I'm not for trading him just for the sake of a trade. I like DHam and really like Abreu.
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He's done okay in 15 IP, but 3.70 and a 1.250 WHIP since 2019 is nothing special. The 3.6 BB/9 is a worry, too.
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Woo won 13-11, as Story went 4-5 (all singles to get to .813.) Anthony 2-4 w 2BB (.971 in AAA) Campbell 1-3 w HR and 2BB (1.024 in AAA) Teel 2-5 w 2B, BB and an E (.547 in AAA) Bobby Dee hit is 18th HR (.832) Grissom 2-5 w BB (.690) Hendriks pitched a scoreless inning w 1H and 0BB/0K POR won 4-2, as Encarnacion went 4 scoreless (2H, 1BB, 2K) & Jh Garcia went 1-3 w BB (.752) GRE lost 4-3, but Rogers pitched 6 innings w no ERs (6H, 3BB, 3K) & Gonzalez his 19th dinger (.828) SAL lost 7-3, but Duffy pitched a gem: 5IP 4H, 0ER, 0BB & 10K
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Probably not, but I think people are undervaluing Abreu. The guy is having a very good year, is cheap and is under control for many more years. Some GM might really like what DHam brings. Wink is kind of a throw-in, but he's not a bad RP'er and spot starter.
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Will Trevor Story actually be back this season?
moonslav59 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He played SS, too. A good sign. (He's up to .813, now.) -
I don't think we'll trade Yoshida, but it's hard to know what Brez is thinking. If he's given a $35M winter budget, and he can turn that into $45M by trading Yoshida + $8M a year, he may try to do it. He might figure Anthony in RF and a Abreu- Ref platoon at DH is an upgrade, anyway. Call-up Mayer or Campbell and trade DHam + Wink for a better RP'er. Us the "new" $45M to sign a better SP, closer and other pitcher.
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I think trading a top prospect may be "noise," but not these other types of deals. Last winter, Brez trade Sale, Verdugo and lessers like Urias & Schreiber. The first two were kinds "major." We also traded for O'Neill. One could say trading Abreu, DHam and Wink is not major, but all in one package might get us a "major" pitcher (as in a solid #3 SP or two nice set-up men.)
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I think maybe we'd have to eat $3-6M of the $18M, $7-8 tops. Taking back salary makes sense, but only if the guy we get back is considered "overpaid," which Castillo is not.
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Well said. It's hard to guess what his ceiling is. If he can keep near that OBP, his D is good enough to be a starter- maybe not with the Sox, but somewhere. The low hard hit ball rate makes me think it won't happen, but sometimes there are surprises. Some hitters do better vs pitchers that are closer to the K zone with most of their pitches.
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Just horrible. What makes it worse, if we went 22-23, instead of 17-28, we'd be here: -4.5 BAL (32-35 in last 67) -4.0 NYY (19-25 in their last 44) Tied MIN (13-16 & 5-11, recently) +0.5 KCR (41-43 in their last 84 & 4-9 in last 13)
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To have any hope for the 2024, we need to start by sweeping the CWS, perhaps the worst team in MLB history. Here is what lies ahead of us: 3 v CWS 3 v BAL 4 @ NYY OFF DAY 3 @ TBR 3 v MIN (might need a sweep to catch these guys.) 3 @ TOR (might determine who finishes last) OFF DAY 3 v TBR It's not an easy schedule. 22 games to play and 5.5 GB a WC slot. Not much room to spare. No room for handing any wins away. Gotta pull it all together. Not sure we can, but I'm still watching every minute of every game and hoping like hell we can get back to winning.
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Sometimes, I get the delete option: other times I don't.
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I don't disagree, but sometimes prospects will surprise you, even some with worse AAA numbers than Meidroth. I don't lump Meidroth in with out top 4-5 or even 7-9, and I can see why making him #9 or 10 could make our farm system look shallow, but he's not a bad fielder, and he can maybe play all IF positions, someday.
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Yes, the big step forward on D at 2-3 positions depends solely on Story playing FT SS, near 150 games. I suppose Mayer and Story combining for 150-160 might come close. Like you, I think it can happen. I also agree on the need for a real leader, and not these one year guys like Turner. I will add that people said this same thing starting in 2019 to 2020'ish, when we still had Bogey, JD and other vets, like Nate. I'm not sure we have anyone on the roster or in the system, either, that can be "that guy." It usually is an everyday player. Sometimes, a team can have several leaders, at once. I think 2004 was like that. Good post, jung.
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I think they would want him, but not at $18M, and I doubt they think Castillo is overpaid. Yoshida, Abreu, DHam and Wink might get it done, but that is 4 players needing to be on the 40, and SEA likely has a winter roster crunch coming up. I'm not sure they want all 4.
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Notin will be bummed... The Giants made a major splash overnight, announcing that they’ve extended the contract of third baseman Matt Chapman. The deal guarantees Chapman $151MM over six years and runs from 2025 to 2030, with a $25MM annual salary and a $1MM signing bonus paid out in 2025. According to ESPN’s Jeff Passan, Chapman’s deal contains a no-trade clause.
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Yes, I saw that and added to it. To me, closer to 7th worst vs 14 best is even worse, since we are in a tough division with no horrific teams.
