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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    He might get $70M/3.
  2. moonslav59
    Yes, but they don't hold a shareholders vote for any signings.
  3. moonslav59
    Thinking you can get a top FA at "rock bottom prices" shows naiveté or just plain ole stupidity. I don't think it's that. I think it's all one long con game aimed at convincing enough fans that they are making a serious effort to improve the team, and coming up just short makes them look better than not "trying" at all. In the past, I wasn't sure if they actually believed Paxton, Kluber and Richards would lead them to respectability, but that was different than going after all the top fish, publically. Even then, they did not pretend to go for the best of the best like now. Back then, it was Eflin, Nate and the like- not Soto, Fried and Burnes.
  4. moonslav59
    On a value level, yes or no? Your answer can set me straight or keep me wondering.
  5. moonslav59
    If he doesn't feel the pressure to do something, this winter, he more out of touch than cheap, IMO. There is bullying in process.
  6. moonslav59
    I'll give Mayer for Crochet. I did say that a while ago, though. You are right. We can get a pitcher not as good as Crochet without a top prospect being involved.
  7. moonslav59
    To me, Devers throwing is the major issue. At 1B, he'd be a fine goalie.
  8. moonslav59
    Everytime we suggest a trade, you claim who you have is better. That leads me to believe you think you have better players or options at every position. Who would you give us for Bello or Crawford? Would you give Miller or Woo for even both combined?
  9. moonslav59
    Can't they trade or DFA minutes before a pick?
  10. moonslav59
    That's how I see it. Pick the guy you really want- maybe factor in removing some you think other will most grossly overpay for (Soto.) Just get it done on one and make a trade for a second guy.
  11. moonslav59
    I wasn't talking about just an ace. Trade 3 everyday players for a good pitcher, even if the total value exchange is an overpay. I've mentioned I'd give up Mayer for 2 years of Crochet, despite the fact that he never pitched over 65 innings until 2024- even in college. (I'd even add secondary prospects.) I think I have suggested fairly nice packages for Crochet, Lopez and Castillo. If you look at the BTV numbers, many would not be accepted due to gross overpays by me as the Sox GM. For example, I do not think Miller and Woo are as good as their SEA numbers indicate, but I do think they are better than Crawford, Bello and Gio. Neither is an ace or ever will be, yet I'd offer Casas and Abreu plus Fitts or Sandlin, if needed. You think this is undervaluing pitching?
  12. moonslav59
    True. The guys has put in 4 full seasons- two really good, one pretty good, and 2023 not bad, at all. 2019: 32 GS, 197 IP (110 ERA+) age 23 2021: 33 GS, 206 IP (132 ERA+) age 25 2022: 32 GS, 229 IP (180 ERA+ WOW!) age 26 2023: 28 GS, 185 IP (113 ERA+) age 27 He will turn 30, next September. ERA+ since 2020: 114 in 719 IP Pablo Lopez (turns 29 in March and has 3 years of control) 120 in 780 IP Castillo (Turns 32, tomorrow with 3 years of control) 128 in 219 IP Crochet (turns 26 in June- 2 years of control) 138 in 661 IP Alcantara 142 in 817 IP Burnes (1 year older than Sandy.) 151 in 659 IP Fried (almost 2 yrs older than Sandy) less IP since 2020
  13. moonslav59
    We do have some "bargain basement" players, but I did not include them in the 16, except maybe a DHam-Grissom platoon at 2B, which I think would be decent, if we strengthened the rest of the team. Wong Teel Casas DHam Grissom Campbell Story Mayer Devers Meidroth Duran Rafaela Abreu Anthony Yoshida Refsnyder That's 16. Okay, Meidroth is a stretch, as would be Romy. Call it 15, or even 13-14. Either way, we have everyday players/prospects to spare and a great need with our staff and minor league pitching values. We can afford a 3 for 1 trade and still have the everyday depth we need. I think we all agree, we are unbalanced. Some may think we suck with pitching and are mediocre with everyday players, but even that is unbalanced.
  14. moonslav59
    I only trade for Arenado, if it means moving Devers to 1B ot DH/1B. Otherwise, they can keep him. Now, if they take Yoshida, I might be okay with trading for him to play 1B, until we move devers there, and then trading Casas for a good pitcher.
  15. moonslav59
    Show me where you ever said a Sox player's value went up, or where you liked a Sox player more than BTV valued them at. I'm only addressing your views on Sox players as almost always less than the more or less objective BTV site. You seem to only use fWAR and WAR projections, when it makes a Sox player look worse than we appear to think they are, but never when it comes out making them look valuable. That is my point. I think you do okay valuing your own players objectively, and you recognize hos park factors make your pitchers look better, in some stats, than they really are, and how batters might look worse. I totally understand how you are often just trying to show Sox fans how they are thinking their players are better than they might really be.
  16. moonslav59
    It's a big gamble on Alcantara, but I think I'd do this. Swapping the LHB for the RHB makes sense, too.
  17. moonslav59
    Of course, there is homerism taking place. We know that, but why do Sox players values stay stagnant in your eyes, while every big signing raises Mariner player values? BTW, on almost every trade I ever suggested on BTV, I tried to counter my bias by making the return value higher than what we got back- never even. When people gave thumbs up, more often than not there were more thumbs up for the other team. Most disliked the Sox returns. (I do think I try not to be biased.)
  18. moonslav59
    Did the signing of Soto raise the value of Duran, Abreu and Anthony? LOL
  19. moonslav59
    We set our price and won't overpay. Do these guys really think our low offers have a chance? If they do, they are dumber than dumb. If they don't, they are con men that are not getting away with it, anymore.
  20. moonslav59
    I don't disagree, but we don't have to give top everyday prospects for 1-2 years of a pitcher or 3+ years of an aging starter. We could give several everyday prospects for a young SP'er, even if it is an "overpay." We need to balance our strengths and weakness, somehow, someway and SOMETIME- like how about now? We've heard Mayer's name. Casas and Abreu. Farther away guys like Cespedes, Bleis, Arias or JH Garcia. Others like Meidroth, Arias and Romero could be additions. In short, we can make a trade that helps fill a need for 2025 AND beyond, at the same time. SEA traded for Castillo and extended him. MN traded for Pablo Lopez and extended him. Word is Cease is on the market. Crochet is out there. Just do it! We can't play 16 vets and ML-ready prospects, at the same time.
  21. moonslav59
    He was not in my top 5 hopefuls. I'd prefer him to Bregman, but Bregman was not in my top 10 to start the winter.
  22. moonslav59
    I'm not sure trade value jumps up and down, all that much, based on the most recent signing or two. I do think pitcher value has risen, this winter, so it does matter, but I doubt the fact that Nate just signed for 3 years, not two, changes anyone's views on the value of Castillo.
  23. moonslav59
    Yup. HRam & Anibal Sanchez did well for the Marlins, but getting Beckett & Lowell worked for us, too. (MIA later traded HRam for Eovaldi, who was later traded for Phelps, who was part od a deal for Pablo Lopez, who was...)
  24. moonslav59
    Whos is most likely to be taken from our farm has been the bigger question than who we might grab. The Whitlock steal was memorable. Possible losses: Monegro or Sikes? Less likely... Bastardo, Gambrell, Liu Castro, Hickey, Jordan Did I miss anyone?
  25. moonslav59
    They have had "moments" of moderate spending since the Bloom hire, and gave that massive Devers extension, recently, but we are being passed by more and more teams with more "willing" ownership groups. I don't think the "lied" when they said they felt we could remain competitive as they scaled back spending. We did have some payrolls that were top 5 to 10 for most of the last 6 seasons, but we did not spend very wisely, as we kept losing key player after key player, with the Betts loss as the major kick in the balls, way back in 2020. Yes, they have been lying to us, and more than just the "full throttle" obvious lie. I feel like all these reports of being interested in the top FAs is all lies, too. If it's not a lie, it's almost worse, since it shows they have no clue about what the market is.
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