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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Nobody is saying out pitching will continue doing this well, all year, but we are on pace for a 23.1 fWAR in pitching. In JH's era, here is how that would rank: 23.2 2017 23.1 2024 projected 21.5 2003 20.7 2004 20.3 2021 18.8 2016 18.5 2018 & 2009 18.4 2007 & 2008 16.5 2019 15.8 2013 15.7 2010 Our 10.7 current fWAR is already higher than 10.6 2024 10.2 2022 6.4 2012 0.1 2020 (short season)
  2. moonslav59
    Sox fWAR and Ranking by Positions: 2nd Pitching at 10.7 (4th as SP/3rd as RP) 2nd LF 2.7 (Duran Da Man) 4th RF 2.6 6th Catcher 2.1 8th CF 1.6 14th 3B 1.2 17th SS 1.2 (Surprisingly not bottom 5-10) 19th 1B 0.2 (Casas should help, when he returns.) 23rd DH -0.4 30th 2B (How much longer can we be the worst, here?)
  3. moonslav59
    We once had a guy who wanted 36 out of the 40 gone.
  4. moonslav59
    I'm not for DFA'ing Yoshida, just yet. I'd like to see us try to trade him and offer a chunk of money with it. If Brez puts anyone on the 26, Cora will play them, and sometimes maybe, too much. It's weird how some who seemed so anti-Yoshi now want him starting over players doing much better than him.
  5. moonslav59
    OPS Last 4 weeks 1.156 Valdez (1.066 last 14 days) .940 O'Neill (1.120) .889 Devers (.728) .880 Rafaela (1.086) .841 DHam (.844) .837 Duran (.986) .792 D Smith (.710) .784 Wong (.917) .780 Refsnyder (.725) .765 Abreu (N/A)
  6. moonslav59
    Sox RP'ers OPS Against .464 Uwasawa (only 16 PAs) .470 Z Kelly (almost as many PAs as Jansen)/.250 as SP in 8 PAs .499 Jansen .556 Bernardino/.384 as SP in 11 PAs .575 Slaten (most PAs Against at 151) .623 Anderson (2nd most PAs) .634 Keller .654 Booser .714 Martin As SP'ers .528 Houck .616 Whitlock (75 PAs) .620 Wink (41) .656 Crawford .708 Criswell .719 Pivetta .766 Bello
  7. moonslav59
    1.75 Ranger Suarez 1.89 Shota Imanaga 2.14 Corbin Burnes 2.14 Tanner Houck 2.42 Seth Lugo (also leads in IP by 5) 2.43 Ronel Blanco 2.48 T Anderson 2.50 T Skubal 2.75 J Assad 2.82 J Hicks 2.84 Z Wheeler 2.93 L Gilbert 2.95 S Gray 2.98 C Sale 2.99 L Webb 3.00 T Glasnow 3.01 J Flaherty 3.04 G Stone 3.08 M Stroman
  8. moonslav59
    Fangraphs Playoff Chances: % 99.8 NYY 98.4 BAL 86.5 SEA 85.8 CLE 71.7 MIN 43.6 KCR 36.3 BOS 34.0 HOU 16.3 TBR 10.5 TEX 9.8 TOR 8 teams over 33% 8 teams over 17% 11 teams basically over 10% The NL is wide open, despite the top 4 being over 85% 99.6 PHI 98.9 LAD 93.6 ATL 85.9 MIL 38.7 SDP 36.2 AZ 29.6 SFG 29.6 STL 28.8 NYM 25.5 CHC 16.4 CIN 14.4 PIT 10 teams over 25% 12 over 14% 23 out of 30 teams have a 10% or better chance at making the playoffs! Baseball teams are stronger than ever!!! (LOL) 20 teams have over a 14% chance 18 teams over 25% 16 teams over 30% (actually 29.6%)
  9. moonslav59
    Gil got lit up, tonight v BAL: 1.1 IP 7 ER ERA is now 2.77
  10. moonslav59
    So, you prefer Rafaela at SS just to get Yoshida to DH over one of these guys (assuming Duran in CF, O'Neill in LF and Abreu (v R)/Ref (v L) in RF: (I'm also assuming 2B is Valdez v R and DHam/Romy v R) Ref (.856) and DHam (.822) v RHP (Vs LHPs we have a bunch of s***** choices, of which Yoshida seems no worse or maybe even better.)
  11. moonslav59
    It just stormed, followed by 75 degrees High of 67 for Saturday
  12. moonslav59
    I do think he can still improve at bat. Many get better after 28. I just don't view him as inexperienced.
  13. moonslav59
    We know Cora is going to play Yoshida, if Brez puts him on the 26, but I don't see how he earned even a platoon DH role, yet. I think he should not start over many of the guys listed below: Rafaela is playing FT, either at SS or CF, and Duran is playing FT LF/CF. That leaves RF and DH for these guys: v RHPs: .895 Abreu (when he returns) .856 Refsnyder (does not have a long sample size of success v RHPs) .822 DHam (at SS w Rafaela in CF) .795 Valdez .745 O"Neill (.763 career vs RHPs in 1400+ PAs) .716 Yoshida (.782 career) vs LHPs (Abreu & Valdez should sit, but so should Yoshida) 1.242 O'Neill 1.008 DSmith .958 Westbrook (in AAA, now) .871 Refsnyder .853 McGuire (reverse split) .602 Duran .549 DHam .461 Yoshida (.703 career) .450 Abreu .091 Valdez
  14. moonslav59
    Duran turns 28, soon. He's been in MLB since 2021 and has over 1,000 PAs. He is still kinda "learning," but only because he's tweaked his batting approach so many times, my head is spinning. Wong is already 28, which many view as the start of prime. He's also been in MLB, since 2021, but did not play much in MLB is '21 and '22. He's got 683 career PAs, so I agree he is still learning, but I think he is close to being all leanded-did-did-did out on batting (not fielding, of course.) Reese has been around since 2018, but I can understand not calling him a "batter." Same with Dalbec.
  15. moonslav59
    and Bench Ref or Valdez? When Abreu comes back, absolutely no dice for Yosh.
  16. moonslav59
    It's not even about Yoshida vs DHam, although I did mention wanting DHam at SS and Rafaela in CF as part of the set-up that creates the situation where one of O'Neill or Ref should DH over Yoshida, even vs RHPs. When Abreu comes back, there is no way Yoshida should start at DH. Even with Rafaela at SS and DHam on the bench. SS: Rafaela LF: Refsnyder/ONeill CF: Duran RF: Abreu DH: O'Neill/Ref or Valdez, if DHam plays 2B What has Yoshida done, even vs RHPs that makes him the choice over O'Neill, Ref or Valdez? Valdez kills RHPs, and the other two are doing fine vs RHPs. If there is an injury or a slump, then maybe Yoshi should get a chance. He has not earned a chance like others have.
  17. moonslav59
    No. I think someone would take him, if we pay a big chunk of his salary. I'd prefer we do that. Maybe he can stay on the 26 for a while- maybe to PH, but I don't think he deserves to start or even platoon. IMO, as of right now, he's a better batter than Dalbec, but he can't play 1B. He's better than McGuire but can't catch. I'm not sure he's better than DHam, right now. He might be, but I'd stay with the hot hand, and I'd prefer Rafaela stay in CF. He's is likely better than Romy, but Romy is not competition with him to DH: Valdez, Ref and O'Neill are, and Abreu will be soon.
  18. moonslav59
    Better to just leave those to you: the MVP of Wankster.
  19. moonslav59
    LOL. My fat fingers!
  20. moonslav59
    Only the last 7 days count, because that's a "week."
  21. moonslav59
    I was kind of surprised how badly our O was doing over the first 2 months. I knew the loss of Turner, and to some extent Dugo & Duvall would hurt, but I felt upticks from some younger players might keep us top 8-10ish.
  22. moonslav59
    Personally, I think the pitching was overperforming, the batting was underperforming and the defense has done as expected, but just not in a balanced way. (The first month was worse than they are, and maybe now they are around 20th.
  23. moonslav59
    So a week has more significance than 4 days or 8 or 9 days, because it's named a "week?" Baseball has nothing to do with a "week" vs other time frames. Have a shot of whiskey.
  24. moonslav59
    I would not predict that, unless we sell, but it certainly is possible, when you figure we have a lot games left vs NYY, BAL and other good teams. I wonder if HOU catches on fire, just as we start to play them. Our last 22 games of '24: 3 v BAL 4 @ NYY 3 @TBR 3 v MIN 3 @ TOR (last year, we won the first 7 and lost the last 8 w TOR) 3 v TBR
  25. moonslav59
    The P theory also supports your skepticism on Cora being "amazing."
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