At some point, if all of these prospects do as well as we think the will (or might,) we will be so bottle-necked, we will have to trade at least 2-3 from our core of vets and near MLB ready prospects. We could keep some on the farm, as depth and to lengthen their control time, but look at the "13" in 2026 or 2027:
Wong & Teel
Casas
DHam, Campbell & Grissom
Story (2B?) & Mayer (Romero)
Devers (Meidroth)
Duran (Jh. Garcia/Lugo/Yorke/Castro)
Rafaela & Anthony
Abreu, Bleis
Yoshida (Valdez/Lugo/Yorke/Kavadas)
Okay, let's say we somehow shed Yoshida and part of his contract by 2026 or 2017 (his last year) and Grissom, too. Let's say someone fizzles out. I still count 14-15 players that look like they deserve a slot on the MLB team by 2026. I did not even mention Jo Garcia, Cespedes, Zanetello and Arias, who may be ready by 2027.
Odds are, we don't trade Yoshida or Grissom, so we'd be at 16-18 players for a 13 man roster slot on the big team.
We will trade someone, eventually, of wait until someone fizzles and get nothing for him. Or, wait until this winter, or next, make a better determination of who to keep, and make a big deal then. Either way, it will happen. My point is this: trust our talent evaluators to determine who is the best to keep, and who looks most blocked. Trade 2-3 for a controllable pitcher. Even if it is trading guys like Yorke, Lugo, Meidroth, Valdez or a farther away top prospect, we can do it now and not wait.
(O'Neill is gone after 2024/ Ref and McGuire after 2025. Nobody else loses team control before 2026.)
When you look at our pitching outlook for 2026 and 2027, it looks much worse. We need to eventually trade from our everyday strength and get some pitchers for the future, and why not, now, too?
We lose Pivetta, Jansen and Martin after 2024.
We lose Gio and Hendriks after 2025.
We lose Whitlock after 2026 and Houck after 2027.
That's losing more than the everyday player losses between now and 2026 or 2027, and it's already our weakest area!