moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Spot on. -
You see no chance he can be an acceptable LF'er, or decent enough that his bat may overcome those short-comings? (I'm not sure, at all.) I think we part ways with him. It's interesting to note, he still leads all Sox players with PAs at 2B and has an .882 OPS since June 1st. Top Sox Jun1>>> (100+ PAs) .936 Duran .930 O'Neill .899 Devers .882 Valdez .830 Abreu .790 Ref .789 Yoshi & Romy .730 Rafaela .727 Wong .668 DHam
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If Ref does not retire, what are the chance Garver outhits him vs LHPs?
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While I think E Valdez might end up being a good MLB hitter, and possibly a very good platoon hitter, his horrific defense makes him a 40 man roster bubble player, for us, this winter>spring. He may end up being a DH only type, and not many DH-only, platoon guys stick around for very long. I can't see him ever improving at 2B, enough to stick, there. Maybe his best shot is LF, but we are loaded there. We also have a FT DH, who bats LH'd, too. I'm thinking we trade him, if anyone gives something for him, or he gets DFA'd to make room for Rule 5's, or makes it to near opening day as the last guy to be DFA'd.
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Lot's of maybes and moving parts on the farm, especially with what position many end up being best at.
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I included Abreu, because I thought SEA needed offense and more value. I also think Anthony can replace Abreu in RF and is also a LHB. I have Campbell as our #2 not #4. I'd rather trade LHB Mayer than RHB Campbell, but not just because of which side they bat from. I did think about dropping Robbles and simplifying the deal.
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Thinking Yoshida could play LF was a big mistake, and besides, the Sox are usually loaded with LF- first players.
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I'll do one, later today/tonight.
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I included him as an offset for Yoshida's contract and realized there was hope he might hit for us. I'd rather go with a Ref & Abreu platoon, maybe even Ref-DHam or Ref-EValdez DH.
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Key word is "might." He's not getting any younger.
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The Sox need to get ahead of DET and SEA, who we are tied with, now, but MIN looks like the team we need to pass. Here is who they play to end the season: 2 more vs LAA then 3 v CIN 4@CLE and 3 @ BOS 3 v MIA and 3 v BAL The KCR are 2.5 ahead of MIN and play: 2@NYY, 3 @ PIT, 3 v DET, 3 v SFG and end with 3@WSH and 3@ATL.
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I think we'd need to eat $6-8M PER YEAR, of his deal to just get a single A prospect for him. More likely, we might trade him for someone like Robbie Ray, who fits the Sox pitcher profile, perfectly.
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If Romero ends up at 2B, it would be fine, as maybe Campbell ends up in the OF, anyway.
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March-April: We won 5 in a row, very early in the season and lost 4 straight, not too long afterwards. We won 7 out of 10 to end April. May: We lost 6 of 7 and went 4-11 in early May, then won 4 in a row, before losing 5 of 7 near the end of May. June: We won 4 in a row, once (and 6 of 7.) and lost 4 in a row, later. July: We won 5 straight from June 30-July 5 (and 7 of 8.) Later, we lost 3 in a row and 2 in a row, only once each, that month. August: We won 5 of 6 to end July and start AUG, and then the wheels came off. We lost 4 in a row, twice in AUG. The best we did after the start of AUG was a 4 of 6 stretch. We lost 5 in a row to end Aug and start Sept. We have just won 3 of 4, since. All-in-all, not many real long winning or losing stretches: Maybe these are the best and worst longer stretches... 12-19 since Aug 6th. 17-11 Mar 31 to May 1. 15-7 from May 31 to June 24.
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I was just thinking a RHB, like you were with bringing O'Neill back, and I don't have any faith in Garver. He was just a money and roster spot part of the trade for SEA.
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Devers back up to .900. O'Neill may pass him (.894) and passed him in HRs, tonight with his 28th and 29th. Ref jumped up to .836 with 2 dingers, a double and single. We now have 5 players in the top 30 in OPS (300+ PAs) .900 Devers .894 O'Neill .860 Duran .836 Refsnyder .831 Abreu
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Just like that, we've won 3 of 4, and just about everyone we want to lose, lost. 79-66 KCR 76-68 MIN (13-19 since 8/5 and 1-5 in last 6) 73-71 BOS -3.0 GB (-5.5 from KCR) 73-71 DET & SEA We play a 3 game series vs MIN, soon.
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That was fun to watch from start to finish!
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How's this one: Trade: Marcelo Mayer (SS prospect,) Wilyer Abreu (Pre-Arb,) Yoshida DH ($18M x 3 plus $6M per 3 years) & David Sandlin (RHP prospect) For: Bryce Miller RHP (Pre-Arb,) Victor Robles OF (RHB at $3.5M '25, $4.5M '26 w $9M option & $500K buyout '27,) & Mitch Garver (RHB DH at $11.5M '25 w option at $12M w $1M buyout '26) _______________________________ Sign: Jack Flaherty, Danny Jansen & Paul Sewald _______________________________
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Now, if the sample size is 300 PAs, it is 260 batters (almost 9 per team or a line-up x 30 teams.) 4 in top 1/9th: 14. Devers, 18. O'Neill, 20. Duran, 29. Abreu 1 in the second 9th: 56. Refsnyder 2 in the 3rd- 9th: 70. Yoshida, 71. Wong 164. DHam 187. Rafaela
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If we bring the sample size down to 170 PAs, so we can include Casas and Romy, we get just over 370 MLB players, which is about 12 per team. Here is where out batters rank in OPS: 17. Devers .897 22. O'Neill .871 24. Duran .866 35. Abreu .830 66. Ref .791 84. Yoshida .776 85. Wong .774 88. Casas .772 90. Romy .770 That's 9 batters in the top third tier of 270 batters (9 per team) and top 25% of all batters with 170+ PAs (372.) Others: .706 D Smith #183 (top 50%) .697 DHam #195 (top 55%) .684 Rafaela #225 (top 60%) .669 E Valdez #245 (top 65%)
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While I'm at it... Out until... TBD: Mata (any day, now) Mid Sept: Booser , Garica Late Sept: Sims (possibly DHam) 2025: Gio, Mayer, Whitlock, Fulmer, Murphy, I Campbell
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This is why I hate signings like Hendriks (and Paxton a few years back.) His ETA was supposed to be around Aug 1-15, then Sept 1, now this... RHP Liam Hendriks on hold after 'speed hump' Hendriks, the former All-Star closer who's coming off Tommy John surgery, made six Minor League rehab appearances from Aug. 18-Sept. 5, but the Red Sox aren't sure when he will pitch again. Hendriks felt some tightness and didn't bounce back as well after that last Minors outing.
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How about SIERA? (Takes the fielding away) 3.92 BOS & TBR 3.99 NYY & BAL 4.21 TOR ERA- has NYY 94, BOS 97, BAL 98, TBR 100, TOR 108 (park factor, defnse and strength of opp)
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I think many felt it was a coin toss between Stroman and Gio, with some not liking both. At least Stroman ate some innings with mediocrity.
