If we are better off because other teams got worse, that is still a good thing.
I get the same record argument, and for all we know, we may end up with a worse record than 2022 and 2023, but I feel way better about our future than I did after 2022 and before this season began, and that is not based just on the promise our top prospects bring to our future: it's based on who is returning from the 2024 team and several questions that were answered, positively, over this season.
I hate relying on players returning from injuries as a significant factor in evaluating next year's team, but we do seem to have a lot of potential in those players:
Giolito, Whitlock, Fulmer and a full season from Slaten.
Full seasons from Story, Casas & Grissom.
Of course, some of these players may not do well, or get re-injured, and other players might take their places on the IL, but I think going into 2025, we look way better than we did going into 2023 and 2024.
Houck looks better now than in March. Gio returns. Crawford showed some promise. Bello has done better, recently. The depth from Criswell, priester and Fitts looks better.
Our pen looks worse, with the loss of Jansen & Martin, although the 2024 Martin does not need a great replacement pitcher to do as well. Slaten is a year older. Fulmer and Henriks might impress, and guys like I Campbell, Weissert, Kelly and others have room to improve.
Our offense looks way better than we thought it did, over the winter, where we lost Turner, Dugo & Duvall.
Our defensive outlook looks brighter, if and only if Story can stay healthy. I guess Rafaela winning a FT job improves the outlook, too.
I get the point about not wanting JH to think our optimism is justification for his "plan," but I'm not going to deny it, just to keep him on his toes. (I doubt he reads what we say, anyway.)