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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I could see a Duran-Campbell or Duran-Romy DH position being very productive.
  2. moonslav59
    I'd be thrilled to get Schwarber or Alonso, and from what I'm now reading about Alonso's defense, the two look pretty even, now. I'd look at cost, years and age (Schwarber is about 2 years older.) I'd rather get one of these two than Hoskins and G Torres.
  3. moonslav59
    Sox players hardly ever get back when "expected." I do expect Anthony, Mayer & Narvaez to be over their current injuries by game 1 of ST'ing. Crawford is a close call. Dobbins & Casas are question marks.
  4. moonslav59
    Spotrac has Alonso getting $5M more AAV than Schwarber. It's hard to guess how many years each gets, but I'll take Alonso. We aren't going to trade Yoshida, and we have players like Duran and Campbell who profile best at DH. As much as I like Schwarber, adding a DH further harms our defense by forcing poor defenders into on field positions. I'd also look at E Suarez, since he can play 3B (barely) or be moved to 1B, if we go with Mayer or Story at 3B, next year (or if we keep Bregman.) If we do keep Bregman, even Suarez might cost too much to sign, and certainly Alonso & Schwarber would be off the wish list. It might end up like: Bregman 3B, Hoskins 1B, Mayer/Story at middle infield. Yoshida/Romy DH. Trade an OF + young pitching or Crawford for a better pitcher.
  5. moonslav59
    I'd love adding another catcher, especially one who hits well enough to DH or play a decent 1B, when not catching, but I think JH will have a limit on spending, and we just used a lot of prospect capital to get Crochet, so I'm not sure Brez has another one in the works. We have a lot of young talent log-jammed in the OF and promising pitching depth. As long as we trade for a solid #2 SP'er and or a big bat that plays 3B, 2B or 1B, I'd be okay with trading from strength. Making a big trade then takes the winter spending budget and divides it by 2 not 3, or 3 not 4, thereby allowing us to add higher quality players (in theory.) If we have $45M to spend, dividing by 2 is way better than by 3 or 4. I'd rather get one $28M and one $17M player than three at $15M or four at $11M. To me, a big trade is essential but maybe not probable.
  6. moonslav59
    Of course the idea is predicated on allowing us to get the big bat we need by spending the money needed to get him.
  7. moonslav59
    At least we have many pitchers with promise to roll the dice on. Some should do better in 2026, and that can make up for more human efforts by C & C.
  8. moonslav59
    Sox Injury Update per MLB.com: Narvaez: will have knee surgery to repair his meniscus, but "should be fine for ST'ing." Anthony oblique & Mayer: Right wrist. "Might have made it back" had the Sox advanced in the playoffs. Crawford: Right wrist subsheath tear. Had surgery July 2nd. "Expected to have normal offseason and be ready for the start ST'ing." Dobbins: Right ACL tear. Had surgery to repair ACL on AUG 13th. Injured on July 11th. "Expected return: 2026." Another site says ready for start if ST'ing. Casas: Ruptured patellar tendon in left knee. Has progressed "on schedule." He "expects to be ready for ST'ing." Houck: Torn ulnar collateral ligament in right elbow: had TJS. Expected to return very "late '26 or (early) '27"
  9. moonslav59
    One thing in Devers' favor was that apparently he wasn't asked to play 1B by his manager. I'm not big on the blame game, so I'll just call it a push. I'm happy with the new direction the team has taken from the farm to the 40 to the 26.
  10. moonslav59
    MLBTR projects the Sox arb amounts: Nathaniel Lowe (5.145): $13.5MM (I think we do not offer him an arb.) Jarren Duran (3.155): $8.4MM (Red Sox hold an $8MM club option with a $100K buyout) Tanner Houck (4.100): $3.95MM (Will miss the 2026 season.) Kutter Crawford (3.136): $2.75MM Romy Gonzalez (3.083): $1.8MM Connor Wong (3.079): $1.6MM Triston Casas (3.032): $1.7MM Brennan Bernardino (2.150): $1.1MM Josh Winckowski: (3.003): $800K No Lowe and the arb cost will be about $22M
  11. moonslav59
    Yes, year to year, but as players near 31, their contracts don't always go up, unless it's their first tatse of free agency, or they are late bloomers.
  12. moonslav59
    I think Vladdy was grossly overpaid- perhaps because he is the face of the TOR club seaking to capitalize on a window of opportunity to win a ring. There are so many more contracts like Teoscar, Santander, Alonso and Adams than Vladdy & Soto. fWAR is greatly influenced by more PAs, and Alson is 6th in PAs since 2023. He's 62nd in fWAR at 8.4. He's 25th in wRC+ among 103 players with 1500+ PAs. 22nd in OPS (just above Duran & Naylor)
  13. moonslav59
    I do think shedding the Hicks contract might allow us to get Alonso over Naylor or Hoskins. I'm not saying Alonso will cost $24M less (plus Duran's money) than these two, but the savings might be enough to keep us under the tax line. Sign Alonso, Torres and trade Duran, Hicks and others for a solid SP'er and we can still reset the tax line.
  14. moonslav59
    Soxprospects.com names their 2025 All Star Pitchers: Tolle, Early, Fajardo, Holobetz & 4 RP'ers... https://news.soxprospects.com/2025/10/2025-soxprospectscom-all-stars-pitchers.html
  15. moonslav59
    Teoscar was 2025 money. Santander had better recent numbers than Alonso, last winter.
  16. moonslav59
    Differed money is not worth as much, but even $40M is not really an outlier.
  17. moonslav59
    Why not compare Alonso's last winter signing to .... $26M/7 W Adams $31.7 AAV for Bregman 22 x 3 Teoscar (OPS+ 146, 131, 128, 108, 135 in previous seasons) $18.5 5 Santander (coming off 120, 121, 131 OPS+ seasons) Now, it looks closer to the "norm." Soto was an outlier. There seems to be 1-2 a year.
  18. moonslav59
    No. I do not think Soto or Vladdy set the market rate for everyone. Why are you just looking at the top two signings? Nobody else came close to Soto, even Alonso.
  19. moonslav59
    Spotrac assigns these market values (AAV) to UFAs: 40.1 Tucker OF 33.3 Framber SP 29.4 Alonso 1B 26.9 R Suarez SP 26.4 Cease SP 24.9 Schwarber (DH but can play 1B) 23.3 Bichette SS (Can TOR afford him after Vladdy?) 18.7 Gallen 16.2 Eflin 15.9 M Kelly, 15.5 Bassitt, 15.1 Naylor, 15.0 E Suarez Options/Opt Outs... 30.4 Bellinger 30.4 Imanaga 25.9 Story 25.0 Bregman 24.2 Bieber
  20. moonslav59
    His best OPS+ seasons (all 680+ PAs seasons) 147 2019 146 2022 144 2025 Yes, his 122 and 123 seasons before 2025 did not help, but he still hit 80 HRs with 206 RBI. I like the fact that he's a RHB and would be within a sea of LHBs with the Sox- much like Manny, When I speak of us trying to do more big deals than a bunch of moderate one, Alonso is near the top of my thoughts, if not #1. He turns 31, soon, but that does not bother me. I'd like Schwarber, but I think Alonso is more likely to sign with a new team, despite the Mets deep pockets. I don't think he gets anything near $300M. He might get $200M/6- maybe $210M/7, but I seriously doubt it.
  21. moonslav59
    I don't want us to trade Rafaela, and I agree the contract looks good for the team. Campbell's is in doubt, but I still think most GMs, who can afford him, would take him and his deal for something useful going to us. Duran's $8M + 2 arbs is a big plus to almost all but a handful of teams. Maybe find a big spending team and offer a Duran+ Yoshida or Duran + Hicks package. Just do better than the Betts + half Price deal's return.
  22. moonslav59
    I'm confused why we offered Soto $600M and not Alonso $100M/3.
  23. moonslav59
    Think of it as a massive overpay for Soto that does not set the "market rate." Nor might Vladdy's deal.
  24. moonslav59
    You think the Mets paid Alonso $30M/1 and next year he gets $70M a year?
  25. moonslav59
    Brez was a genius to drive up the price- never intending to sign Juan.
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