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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    You know what still blows my mind? All but 3 players on the 40 man roster were added to it after the start of the 2021 season. (Houck Sept '20) Wong (Nov '20) and Whitlock (Dec '20) Nobody on the 40 was on the 40 to start 2020. What a massive turnover for a team that continually and emphatically denied they were ever in a rebuild mode. It may have been drawn out, but it was a complete overhaul and teardown reconstruction. The 10th most senior 40 man roster player is Zack Kelly- added late AUG '22. #20 is Slaten, who was added DEC '23!
  2. moonslav59
    I feel like I'm higher on Romy than most, but I'm not even sure I feel comfy with him in a platoon role at 2B or 1B, next year, let alone FT. I do think he has a significant chance at doing "well enough," but we need to greatly improve at minimum 2 of these 3 positions: 1B, 2B, 3B, and I think the plan is Mayer takes care of 2B or 3B, so that leaves Romy out in the cold or as a platoon DH with Masa. I guess the actual plan should be to significantly improve at 3 of 4 everyday positions: 1B, 2B, 3B and DH plus a SP2, but we know hoping for just 2 position players and a pitcher is asking for too much. Hey, you know how "Hank" is the nickname for Henry? We should call John Henry "Mr. Hanky." They guy is a big turd, afterall.
  3. moonslav59
    Okay. I thought you might have meant it that way, but it was right after talking about FA signings.
  4. moonslav59
    Did you mean Bregman as the "last guy standing?"
  5. moonslav59
    They aren't upgrades, but they aren't much worse, either. I'm not advocating them over Yoshida, but saving a few Million dollars and using the savings to upgrade elsewhere may more than make up for any drop off. I'd like to see Alonso (Casas to DH, eventuallY) or Schwarber (Casas/Romy at 1B) than Masa at DH and Hoskins at 1B. I think Suarez is a realistic alternative due to the likelihood of a shorter length contract and maybe $10M less AAV. Suarez could play 3B for a year and then maybe move to 1B, if Casas never comes back strongly. The "savings" on Suarez vs Bregman, Alonso or Schwarber might allow us to also sign Polanco, Hoskins, W Castro, Torres or lesser guys like Rengifo, Josh Bell, Brandon Lowe or a pitcher like Merrill Kelly. Alonso and Schwarber may cost as much AAV as 2 of the guys I mentioned- maybe 3 if it's Rengifo, Lowe and Kelly, but they won't squeeze Mayer out of a slot.
  6. moonslav59
    Thinking we need at the very least one major addition to just stay even is not only truthful, it might be necessary to keep enough fans in one of these two categories: 1. Fans thinking management is really making a strong effort at building a highly competitive team capable of winning a ring between 2026 and 2028. 2. Fans falling for the sham that the management team is doing enough to improve the chance of winning a ring. They don't care what category most fans fall in, as long as it's one of these and not one where discontent affects fan viewership and spending on tickets or any other money-making venture related to the team's revenue accumulation. Sadly, this is the one area that gives me hope we spend enough, this winter.
  7. moonslav59
    I think they also look for 650 PAs vs 303 from Anthony and maybe 600 from Mayer vs 136. That's like adding a FT All Star to them. That could be what they view as the "Devers replacement." Now, how to "replace" Bregman, Gio and to a lesser extent Wilson Matz and Refsnyder? Maybe, they see more IP from Dobbins, Crawford, Fitts, Early and Tolle as enough to replace Gio. Mayer may replace Breggie at 3B, but I already used more from him and Anthony to replace Devers' bat. We'd need at least one major bat add just to stay even, and that assumes no injuries, at all.
  8. moonslav59
    IMO, most likely in the form of a big trade or a high AAV deal with an opt out (like Bregman) and not a multi year deal.
  9. moonslav59
    No, we don't know on any of this. I'd guess Schwarber can get 4 years, but he may choose 3 at a higher AAV or 5 at a lower one. Alonso might get 4-5 years- maybe 6 with a lower AAV. I don't think JH wants anything 4 or more, and even 3 has not been seen since Story's 6 year deal with opt out.
  10. moonslav59
    According to The Baseball Cube, MLB payrolls have been (in Trillions) 3.825 '21 4.201 '22 +16.3% 4.451 '23 + 6.0% 4.907 '24 +10.2% 5.075 '25 +3.5% (not so hyper inflationary.) '21 to '25: +49% Sox Opening day Payroll (cots) 180 '21 207 '22 +15% 181 '23 -10.6% 171 '24 -5.5% 195 '25 +14% '21 to '25: +8.3% This say it all.
  11. moonslav59
    Every plan I suggest has us adding a big bat- mostly at 1B/DH- the slot vacated by Devers.
  12. moonslav59
    I agree, as long as the return package is not too much. He's probably less than Alonso and Schwarber on AAV and maybe more on years. That's not a JH thing.
  13. moonslav59
    JH did spend a lot with the Devers extension (largest and longest in team history by about 30%) and the Bregman signing (largest AAV in team history by more than 30%.) He also spent on Buehler, Chapman, Sandoval and a few other smaller deals, then extended Anthony and Campbell not long after the rafaela & Bello extensions. The Gio signing was the largest in a while in 2024. This is irrefutable. However, we dumped Devers, Breggie & Gio bolted and Buehler's deal is gone. In many ways, we are back at square one and wondering what JH will do next.
  14. moonslav59
    Devers got 10, but 4 were younger than Harper is now.
  15. moonslav59
    That's for certain!
  16. moonslav59
    Well said, MVP. I can understand having more pride by winning while spending less, but we are not winning, anymore.
  17. moonslav59
    Yoshida is not a plus at DH, even if he was paid just $3-4M. He's okay, but we need power and our other positions seem full and deep, other than 1B and 3B/2B. Yoshida may seem like a better hitter than Casas/Romy at 1B, Mayer/Romy at 2B and Mayer/Romy at 3B, but not by much and not with power.
  18. moonslav59
    Miguel Rojas? Isn't he retiring?
  19. moonslav59
    I'd agree on that. I wasn't aware of the $24M AAV on Harper. I thought it was closer to $30M. I don't think JH likes 4-5 year deals and 6 is out of his realm of thought.
  20. moonslav59
    Will we ever see another Large and Long Free Agent signing under John Henry? One can argue the last one was David Price 10 years ago! Since 2016, the only free agent delas longer than 4 years have been have not really been all that "large:" $140M/6 Story in '22 (I guess we could count this one.) $110M/5 JD Martinez in '18 $68M/4 Eovaldi in '19 To get great talent, JH will likely have to go "long" at some point. I'm not sure how many Bregman type deals are out there every winter, and for every Bregman signing, there seems to be a Buehler signing, as well. (Not that $21M is all that "large.") With an apparent window being open for 3-4 years or more, it seems like this winter would be the time for a strategic Large and Long signing, but expecting JH to break a decade long trend seems like wishful thinking.
  21. moonslav59
    If he wasn't 33, yes. Maybe it's 2-3 teams but not LAD or SFG. Maybe 4-5 teams, max- not the Sox.
  22. moonslav59
    The Tax hit on the Sox would be significant but not unmanageable: $18M Masa, $10.2M Hicks and $8M Duran= $36M $25.3 Harper+ $20M Castellanos= $45M The 6 years remaining on Harper's deal is what JH would nix. Castellanos has just one more year left, and Hicks and Masas have two, so for 2027, we'd actually save a little money, but I don't see getting past the large and long JH stumbling block.
  23. moonslav59
    We'd have called it click bait.
  24. moonslav59
    We are only "better off if he leaves," if JH allows the money be added to the winter budget and Brez spends it wisely. Those are two big ifs, with the JH one being the more significant one.
  25. moonslav59
    Yes, but there are only 2-3 teams in the Mix and SFG and LAD have 1Bmen.
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