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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    We're on pace to score about 90 runs less than 2016 and let up 45 less runs. Unless we lose 5 out of our next 8, we'll have a better record than last year. This one case shows that allowing less runs is more important than a better run differential.
  2. moonslav59
    So, we're on pace to score about 90 less runs than last year while allowing 45 less runs than last year. We have the exact same record as last year, and last year's team lost 5 of their last 8. If this doesn't show how much more good pitching matters, I don't know what does. We're on pace to have a differential of 45 runs worse than 2016, but because we have better pitching, it doesn't' matter.
  3. moonslav59
    Runs allowed 2016 and 2017 (projected): 573 CLE '17 651 BOS '17 665 NYY '17 666 TOR '16 676 CLE '16 694 BOS '16 701 HOU '16 702 NYY '16 707 SEA '16 707 HOU '17 707 LAA '17 708 TBR '17 712 KCR '16 713 TBR '16 715 CWS '16 715 BAL '16 721 DET '16 727 LAA '16 757 TEX '16 761 OAK '16 777 SEA '17 What's interesting here is that not only the Sox are allowing less runs than anyone less last year, despite the run scoring increase league-wide.
  4. moonslav59
    You're right. I swear, when I checked yesterday we were at 754 on fangraphs, and I added 5 after yesterday's win. Even at 129. my point is still valid, if we still led the league in runs scored as our number is on pace to have done against 2016's totals, we'd have to have a run differential of over 200. That very well might have had us up by 15 right by season's end. The issue is two fold: 1) We scored about a hundred less runs this year (but also will let up much less). 2) The rest of the league has scored way more runs than last year (mostly as a result of much more HRs). Here's a look at the top scoring teams (700 or more runs scored or projected to score) from 2016 and (projected) 2017 teams: (I added 5% to all 2017 teams.) 878 BOS '16 871 HOU '17 857 NYY '17 824 CLE '17 819 MIN '17 814 TEX '17 787 BOS '17 777 CLE '16 768 SEA '16 765 TEX '16 763 BAL '17 759 TOR '16 753 SEA '17 751 DET '17 750 DET '16 744 BAL '16 740 OAK '17 724 HOU '16 722 MIN '16 717 LAA '16 714 KCR '17 710 CWS '17 701 LAA '17
  5. moonslav59
    We obviously rely on our pitching and defense, but what is concerning is that the other top 3 teams in our league appear to have just as many top starting pitchers as we do. All of the top 4 teams have 4 starters in the top 20. Our pen might be better than others, but Cleveland has a strong and deep pen. Our lack of hitting could certainly be our downfall.
  6. moonslav59
    Pythagorean Standings 102-53 CLE 95-59 HOU 95-59 NYY 90-64 BOS
  7. moonslav59
    Yes, he'd be a big boost to the team.
  8. moonslav59
    American League Pitchers with 120+ IP ERA Leaders 1 Kluber 2.35 2 Sale 2.75 3 Keuchel 2.96 4 Peacock 2.98 6 Severino 3.01 8 Pomeranz 3.15 10 Verlander 3.38 11 S Gray 3.38 13 Carrasco 3.48 17 Morton 3.75 19 CC Sab 3.81 21 ERod 3.91 Houston has 4 under 4.00 NYY and Boston have 3. CLE has 2. How about by WAR? 1 Sale 8.2 2 Kluber 6.9 3 Severino 5.5 4 Carrasco 4.8 7 Verlander 4.0 10 Peacock 3.4 12 Pomeranz 3.1 13 S Gray 3.1 14 T Bauer 3.0 15 Morton 3.0 23 Keuchel 2.4 24 Montgomery 2.3 26 Tanaka 2.2 28 ERod 2.1 29 Porcello 2.0 30 Tomlin 2.0 Sox have 4 over 2.0 WAR. CLE has 4. NYY has 4. HOU has 4. 16 out of the top 30 are on 4 out of the 15 AL teams. Not surprising that these are the teams that are in the playoffs. (The Twins have 2.)
  9. moonslav59
    I'd love to see the Twins bomb the Yanks out of it. I'd also love to see us face the scumbags, but anytime the Yanks lose, it's a good day.
  10. moonslav59
    We have the exact same record as last year, without having scored a hundred more runs than any other MLB team. Last year's team went 3 and 5 in their last 8-- 3 and 8, if you count the CLE playoff series.
  11. moonslav59
    We've been winning a lot, and we have a lot of players who have just returned from injuries or will be returning soon. Price Smith Barnes Pedey HRam Nunez I feel we will be stronger than we've looked this year.
  12. moonslav59
    It's hard to know the reason for all the slumps our hitters have been in this year. Certainly blaming that manager and hitting coach can become a popular response. I've done some myself. Some blame much of it on the loss of Papi. I kept thinking this team's offense was going to get in stride at some point. It hasn't really happened. I'm not sure there's any one reason, but I'm hoping we can hit just enough to cover our staff.
  13. moonslav59
    I'm impressed. With all these top prospects and a team contending right now, you gotta like your outlook.
  14. moonslav59
    Duda has 27+ Hrs in 3 of his last 4 years and the one without, he was hurt. I'd say at age 32, he's a better gamble than HRam, but he's not high on my list of wants. He's a bum vs lefties (.661 career).
  15. moonslav59
    What's the most anyone can offer this guy under the current rules?
  16. moonslav59
    A good one? Better than a FA signee? What could we get by trading Barnes, Hembree and Travis?
  17. moonslav59
    Best records AL 97-58 CLE 95-59 HOU 90-64 BOS 86-68 NYY 81-74 MN NL 98-56 LAD (not counting Sat night gm) 92-61 WSH 89-65 AZ (WC) 86-68 Cubs 83-71 COL 82-73 MIL 82-73 STL (Can you believe these guys?)
  18. moonslav59
    Did you write all this yourself?
  19. moonslav59
    Anybody know if he needs surgery? Maybe he can be "cured" over this winter and have a great season in 2018. You'd think he'd want to do everything possible to make sure he's in top shape at the end of 2018, without risking losing too many PAs in 2018.
  20. moonslav59
    Yup. And, if Thornburg starts out on the DL, we'll have Hembree, Wright, Maddox and Scott fighting for his slot.
  21. moonslav59
    No, I realize how good a hitter Stanton is. I know that carries a higher OPS than any of our starters. I still think that some people have fallen overly in love with his home runs. And he's having what may be a career year. Or, he could be hitting his prime. We really don't know. This is not an outlier season. This will be the thrid year he's led the league in slugging. His career SLG is .553. His career OBP is .360 His .913 career OPS is about 120 points better than any current Sox player's 2017 OPS. As for his HR power. HRs per 162 Games: 2017: 60 2016: 37 2015: 59 2014: 41 2013: 33 2012: 48 His power is real. His power is proven, Only his health and contract cost are serious issues. My point is that I don't think Stanton worth the contract PLUS the players that we will have to give up. I'll stick with Beni, who is a darn good player in his own right. I thought we could get him for nothing- just pay all his contract. (BTW, we can afford him next year and still stay below the second luxury tax penalty line.)
  22. moonslav59
    I hated the Kimbrel deal, even though I thought he'd be a top 3 closer for us. It looks better now due to the sharp rise in top closer costs and the cliff drop by Guerra. I disliked the Pom trade, even though I liked Pom, but he's done great this year, and Espi had surgery. All the other trades I liked or was okay with.
  23. moonslav59
    I went from seeing our pen as our weakest (not weak) link in March to not needing to touch it this coming winter. 2018's pen looks strong AND deep: Kimbrel Smith Thornburg Kelly Barnes Ross Workman Wright Hembree (out of options) Scott Maddox Taylor Martin Johnson, Velazquez, Beeks, Elias, Haley, Cosart, Poyner, Buttrey
  24. moonslav59
    They didn't want him this year, because they wanted to reset the tax. That's not true for next year.
  25. moonslav59
    We were in first place despite nt playing these 19 easy games earlier in the year. We have a very good team. The Yanks do too, but we are better.
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