With a young team like we have, someone is bound to disappoint us, but overall, I think "the rest" should do better.
The big "if" will be at 3B, but it doesn't take much to improve on the worst in baseball in 2016.
A whole year of Beni, Pom, and hopefully Wright, ERod, Kelly, Young, Leon and others should give us an uptick. Plus, I'm hoping Moreland gives us more than replacement level performance. His 1B defense alone should maybe give back one win we lose from Papi's retirement. I could see us end up with pretty close to the same run total as 2016, but with improved defense and wire-to-wire better SP'ing. Our second half starter numbers were the best in the AL, and that was without Sale and Wright!
Not m uch talk has been dedicated to our improved defense, so here's how I see it:
C: I'll call it even. Replace 264 innings from Hanigan and 85 from Holaday with Leon & Vaz getting more. (Swihart's 52 innings could be replaced or added to.)
1B: Big improvement. 1145 innings by HanRam , 290 by Shaw & 5 by Papi replaced by maybe 1,000 by Moreland (GG quality) and 440 by Hanram down over 700 innings.
2B: Call it even
3B: Tough call, but I'll say we get worse by a little. We used 9 players at 3B this year, including 4 over 90 innings: Shaw 851, Hill 275, Rutledge 97 and Holt 93.
SS: I'm hopeful for a slight bump up here, but Bogey took a step back this year. I'm not happy with Holt as his primary back-up (Hernandez is better), but there's not a big difference there.
LF: Big gain here: Beni should be a huge improvement over this:
479 Holt
446 Young
232 Beni
143 Brentz
114 Swihart
13 LaMarre
10 Castillo
3 T Shaw
CF & RF should be the same but with Beni as the CF back-up not Holt, maybe a very slight uptick.
In summary, big plus at 1B and LF and little minus (maybe) at 3B. Some swing could occur at C and SS.