moonslav59

Fangraphs Odds: Make Playoffs: 99.5 to 100% TOR, DET, NYY 96% BOS 90% HOU 68% SEA 19 TEX, 16 KCR, 7 TBR, 5 CLE Win World Series: 11.3 NYY 10.5 TOR 9.3 DET 5.4 SEA & HOU 3.3 BOS NL: 15.3 LAD, 12.0 PHI, 9.3 MIL, 9.1 NYM, 4.2 CHC, 3.5 SDP We are 12th in odds of winning the WS.

Chances for a ring. I do not see TOR as having a much higher chance at making the WS than the Sox, DET or NYY. Nobody looks dominating in the AL. If Anthony and Abreu come back, I think our chances become much better. hence less "Qs" about our chances. To me, we have the best 1-2-3 SP & 1-2 RP quintet in the AL and maybe even MLB. Our defense is playing better. Our baserunning is better than average. Our line-up is questionable without A & A. Even with them, it may not be strong enough, but my whole point- all year- is that all AL teams have major issues with their O or pitching (or both.)

Arizona has some real good hitters, but today's 5-9 slots in today's lineup has these OPS: 5. .648 6. .700 7. .658 8. .527 9. .568

Just win, and it will be fun. Losing both Anthony and Abreu, at the same time hurts as much as Mayer & Anthony, IMO. Every team has injuries, so I hate crying about it, but these 3 hurt. Losing Casas and Devers before made staying healthy even more important. Losing so many SP'ers has forced us to go 12-13 deep and have pen games.

Had he said 7.5 games seperate the #3-10 teams in the AL, then okay, but yes. 5 teams are within reach of the best record in the AL: TOR DET -1.5 NYY -4.0 BOS -4.5 HOU -5.5 Assuming DET wins the ALC, HOU/SEA wins the ALW and TOR, NYY or BOS wind the ALE, then 7 teams are in the WC race 78-63 NYY (TOR could end up as a WC team or DNQ) 78-64 BOS 73-68 SEA (HOU could end up as a WC team or DNQ) 73-69 TEX -0.5 (-5.0 from BOS) 72-69 KCR -1.0 71-70 TBR -2.0 70-70 CLE -2.5 CLE is 6-4 in last 10 but lost 9 of 10 before that. TBR has won 7 of 8 and 10 of 13 to get back in the race, but they were one of the AL's worst teams before that- going 14-31 from the end of June until Aug 12th. KCR seems to be doing their best to fall out of the WC race, recently. They are 6-7 in their last 13 games, but were doing well before that. TEX has gotten back into the race, despite losing Nate for the season. Maybe MVP will have the last laugh on me. Despite losing 2 of the last 3, TEX has won 10 of their last 13. SEA seemed to do all the right things at the deadline, but they are 15-16 since AUG 1st and 16-18 since July 29th. They've lost 4 in a row and 6 of 7. As bad as HOU has been doing, they are gaining ground on SEA. HOU went 24-8 from June 1st to July 6th, but are 53-57 the rest of the season, including 22-30 since July 7th. They are 5-5 in their last 10. They have had Yordan Alvarez and some pitchers come off the IL, recently. NYY looked like they were headed for a possible losing record and missed playoffs just a few short weeks ago. They were 25-34 from June 30th to August 5th, but have gone 18-9 since then and 9-3 in their last 12. They play TOR, DET & BOS in their next 8 games, before easing of their schedule, so how they do in the next 8 days might define their season. They end the season w 3 at MN, 4 at BAL, 3 v CWS and 3 v BAL. BOS has one of the best records since June 7th at 48-29. Some key injuries have throw a big Q in their chances. They've lost 2 straight and 4 of 7, but were doing very well right before these last 7 games. They've gone 10-5 and 13-9, recently. TOR has gone 9-8 in their last 17 games. They play NYY for 2 more then HOU for 3. Later, they play BOS for 3 and at KCR for 3. 7 v TBR and 3 v BAL round out their last remaining games. They are 5-11 vs those two div foes, so far. DET has lost 3 of 4 and 8 of 11, but they have a comfortable lead in their division. Their schedule is rather tough. It includes 3 at NYY and BOS plus 6 vs CLE. (3 at MIA and 3 v ATL are their other 6 games remaining.) I guess you could say anyone could miss the playoffs, but I think DET is near a lock for the DIV and TOR should win the ALE or make the WC. NYY & BOS have nice odds and HOU or SEA (or TEX) has to win the ALW.

10 guys on the 60 Day and 6 on the shorter ILs. 60 Day: Houck, Crawford, Sandoval, Dobbins, Winckowski, Hendriks, Perales, Guerrero, Casas & Mayer. (Guerrero is rehabbing: the rest are done.) 10-15 Day: Anthony, Abreu, Fitts, Criswell, Hicks & Grissom. We have just 5 healthy players, not counting Guerrero, on the 40 and in the minors: Harrison, Jh Garcia, K Campbell, Moran & I Campbell. Possible players that could be added by DFA'ing someone or moving an injured player to the 60 Day (like Grissom, Criswell or Hicks): SP: Early, Uberstine (Rule 5) RP: Sandlin (Rule 5 but doing poorly) Burdi 1B/3B Toro 2B/3B Romero DH Hickey (Rule 5 and on a hot streak)

I think the next time we need a SP'er, we should call up Harrison and see what he can do for us. (Demote Murphy- the BB King. Like that one?) These opener games have gone okay for us, this year, but we were pushing our luck and burning out the pen. I'd also call up Jh Garcia and demote Eaton.

I've been for bringing Jh Garcia since Sept 1st. It was painful seeing last night's game chances (at least at the time) come down to needing a big hit from Eaton. LF: Duran CF: Rafaela RF: Jh Garcia (if and when Abreu returns: Abreu v R and Jh Garcia v L w Ref at DH v L)

I'm not sure he gets a significant raise after being released by the Nats. Maybe he gets $10.5 to 11.5M. (I'm not sure the Sox can afford that, if we bring Bregman back and add other salary, elsewhere. Please: no "JH can afford it" argument.)

It's not an easy choice for Cora to make. I was just pointing out one major flaw in playing Lowe vs LHPs. Our line-up has take a major hit, this year: losing Casas, then Devers, then Bregman for a while, and now Abreu and Anthony. I respect defense as much as anyone here. 1B defense is important, but not as much as several other positions. I also think Romy is pretty good on D at 1B, although not as good as Lowe. With 2 outfielders out, the Rafaela to 2B options seems to be taken away from Cora, and that's not a bad thing, so I see the need for Romy at 2B vs LHPs. (DHam vs RHPs or just go with Romy FT or near FT at 2B?) I may think some things differently than Cora, but I'm 100% behind him. Same with Breslow, although the Yoshida issue has bothered me- just not enough to make it a major ding against Brez or Cora. (Now, playing Yoshida is not such an issue, as we have few other choices.)

He's got one arb year left (maybe $10-11M.)

Lowe is MLB's worst batter vs LHPs (.499.) DHam has a small sample size, but is actually worse (.423,) so I can see your choice being the right one, but we should be able to do better. Romy at 1B v L and maybe Sogard at 2B v L? (.756 career & .840 in '25.)

Gotta wonder how high LAD would have gone had a bidding war started. COVID was widely believed to have lessened the final deal he signed, so that might have played into the auction. That seems like so long ago, now, and I guess it is.

Probably not. We have very few options vs RHPs, until one comes back. DHam has been awful vs RHPs, this year, despite doing better in the past few weeks. Romy has a short sample size of recent borderline success v R. It looks like Jh Garcia is not being considered, and he's a RHB- like KC.

Maybe when the first one returns, assuming it's 2025.

I think he put me on ignore after my first response to his nonsense.

Campbell hit well for about 18 games. That is not a large enough sample size to know squat. He then went 50 games and 194 PAs at a .558 OPS. The whole time he sucked on defense. This whole "He should have played SS" position is the biggest joke ever told on this site, and we've has some whoppers! Anthony's slow start was less than half the hot start sample size by KC. He was at .388 after 8 games. He hit .692 his next 8 games, then never looked back (.930 in the next 55 games and 245 PAs.) He was at .548 after 16 games, which is what KC hit in his last 50 games. To compare the "support" each had is too funny to even respond to. Roman is also a plus defender. Mayer is a plus defender as well, and was forced to play out of position with barely any time to practice 3B in AAA. Like Anthony, he struggled over his first 9 (.507,) but he found an earlier groove by going 1.041 in his next 12 games. He was at .800 after 16 games. He hit .601 in his next 28 games (86 PAs,) and played because we needed him to. When Bregman came back, he was doing well enough to stay in the bigs by playing 2B. The injury cut his ML time short.

Here is a look at our top prospects by age group: 17-21 Valera, Witherspoon, Phillips, Eyanson, Fajardo, Paez, Delzine, Travieso, D Reyes, M Patton, Ehrlicher Jose Bello, Foutch, Finley Arias, Romero, Soto, Godbout, Godbout, Cason (P,) Bleis, Cespedes, Azocar, H Ramos, H Rivas, Y Rod, Jo Garcia, Mason White, Jo Rodriguez, Nunez, Brannon, Alcantara, B Morgan, Fermin, Encarnacion, Anderson 22-25 Tolle, Perales, Clarke, Early, Holobetz, Aita Mullins, Sandlin, Wehunt, Monegro, McShane, Ingrassia, Tygart, Neely, Rogers Jh Garcia, Taylor, Castro 26+ Uberstine, Drohan, Wu-Yelland, Hoppe

Fair enough. I like Fajardo and hope he makes a jump after he's promoted. We seem to have a lot or pitchers with varying levels of promise.

I'm not sure anyone knows. All that matters is who the Sox like better, when Arias is ready and assuming Mayer is healthy. I'm leaning towards Arias being slightly better at SS by the time he's ML ready. 3B Mayer (Romero) SS Arias (Mayer) 2B Godbout (Mayer/Romero)

He's a year older and pretty much a DH only profile. I think they will gate close to the same.

Masa for Senga when? December! 🤪

LMAO! He wants you to stop responding to his posts, but keeps responding to yours. He's demanding the last word. Too funny! We know you would never let that happen. This poster is wrong more than the "poster not to be named." I never seen a poster where I disagree on nearly every word typed. He comes close.

Well said, MVP.