moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I have little faith in Brentz, but he should get a chance.
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I'm not sure his defense is that good. If it was, I doubt he'd be in this situation, but let's assume it is very good. By adding him to the 40 man roster, his actual added cost to Henry would only be the tax. 20% on $11M is a pretty good deal for a good 4th OF'er. If we go over the second level, it's 32%. That's not bad either. The issue arises, if we go over the luxury tax 2 or 3 years in a row. The tax goes up and up, and if Castillo struggles, the cost becomes steep.
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I was thinking more of his frame of mind for signing an extension.
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Adding the tax paid for adding Rusney to the 40 man roster is irrevocable. As we stay over the limit in future years, the tax just goes up and up. While Rusney may be better than Brentz or Barfield, if possibly only just slightly, the cost is probably too prohibitive.
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Yeah, instead of sending Myers to the OF, just sign JD over Hosmer. I've not heard their named linked to JD, though.
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If the Sox had put their number at $8.5M, they'd almost surely win the arb ruling. I kinda hope Mookie wins, so he won't be as upset at the Sox.
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We'll see. Nobody thought EE would sign for $60M/3. My guess is JD will sign closer to $100M/5 than $210M/7.
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I'm not sure any other team would go much higher than $100M/5. Maybe Boras leaked that number (accurate or not) as a way to draw some more teams into the bidding. Maybe some teams stayed away, because they felt they needed to go higher than $125M/5 to compete. I still think we have or will have the highest bid, and I doubt he ends up getting more than $125M/5.
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If there is a higher offer, and I agree that there may not be, I think DD will go above $100M/5. That's EE money with 2 more years.
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If he ends up getting $125-130M/5, the Sox "low ball" offer of $100M will end up being much closer to the actual amount given that the Boras starting point.
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I can't see AZ offering more than $100M/5. There was talk the Jays were interested, but I haven't heard anything concrete. If the Sox are prepared to go as high as $125M/5 (Maybe $130M/5 as part of the option 6th year to lower the AVV), I doubt anyone will bid higher. If they do, let's move on.
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2 more "killer bees?"
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I'm wondering what Sox prospects might make the top 100 this spring. Groome might be top 50 or 60. Chavis might squeak in the top 90. Mata and Houck might be long shots.
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They traded away the other top 20's.
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Yes, but if the field was larger, it's been a very well kept secret. Usually, teams don't hide the fact that they are interested or involved in negotiations. There could be 5 teams; there could be two teams; there could just be one with an offer much higher than anyone else, even if much higher is just $100M/5.
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Maybe not "pointless", if $100M ends up being close to the top offer.
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There might not even be a "field".
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However, if nobody bids more, we might make out like bandits. I was thinking $125M/5 might be the top offer, but if $100M/5 is the top offer right now, but someone else comes along with a better offer, we could offer $125M/6 or something like $105M/5 with an option for year 6 at $20M with a $5M buyout- making it $110M/5 or $125M/6 (club choice).
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I think we are used to seeing major signings by now, so the frustration level is getting high. For some reason, this off season is going very slow. I'm starting to lose my strong desire to sign JD, but until the big shows begin to drop, I'm fine with waiting it out. I just don't want us to lose out on our plan B and C before getting shut out of plan A.
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I'm not sure we will see much input from any prospects this year. If we do, it will likely be because of a major injury or struggle.
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Chavis or Brentz? Sam Travis could get a long look, if Moreland/HRam struggle or get hurt. Hernandez, Lin, Marrero, Quiroz at 2B. Velazquez, Johnson, Beeks, Shawaryn at SP'er. Is Maddox still considered a rookie?
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Health is going to be a big factor. With Pedey, ERod & Thornburg out to start the season, we can't afford much more.
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Yes. I just don't see another taker for JD. I'm worried that Darvish and Arietta sign, and then what are our options beyong JD? Cobb/Lynn and Morrison/Duda?
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I can't imagine the D-backs topping $125M/5. I'm wondering if the Sox offer is for even less than that.
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I'm a Bucks fan, so Jo Jo had a role in dashing my dreams, but the guy was a true pro. Solid player.
