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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Where did I disagree? I said this... "...I do think he will be a good to even better ML hitter..." I was responding to a poster who said Travis "has shown he can handle ML pitching". Any statement like that, after just 12 PAs, makes me wince. It doesn't mean I don't think he'll be a very good hitter.
  2. moonslav59
    2016 (listed by order of most PAs) .835 overall .868 batting 6th (236 PAs) .986 batting 9th (147 PAs) .626 batting 5th (96 PAs) .805 batting 7th (82 PAs) .900 batting 8th (55 PAs) 2017: .730 overall .724 batting 7th (68 PAs) .622 batting 6th (34 PAs) .810 batting 8th (24 PAs) .000 batting 9th (5) 2.417 batting 2nd (4)
  3. moonslav59
    Travis has 12 PAs. When Pedey's 10 days are up, we may know slightly more about Sam, but we could also say the same about the red hot Marrero (.939 OPS and 3 HRs in 22 PAs).
  4. moonslav59
    You must mean T Shaw.
  5. moonslav59
    Decision time is when Pedroia returns. They could send Travis down and still keep the three 3Bmen.
  6. moonslav59
    Actually, we could avoid paying the tax by DFA'ing Pablo (like Craig and Castillo) and parking him at AAA for the remainder of his contract. His salary would not count against the luxury tax, if he is not on the 40 man roster. I'm not advocating this choice at this point, but it could be an option at some point. I see 2018 like this, with a little optimism sprinkled in... Moreland departs HRam and Travis share 1B duty HRam and Pablo share DH duty with Pablo maybe playing only vs some/most RHPs. Devers and Pablo share 3B duty with Devers playing near FT. 4 players for corner IF/DH. Marco, Marrero and Rutledge (Holt, if he ever returns) fight it out for the utility IF position.
  7. moonslav59
    Yes, the small sample size should not be used to judge a player's defense, but it is curious to see JBJ somewhat low so far this year, when my eye test has seen greatness.
  8. moonslav59
    Yes. 1.182 last 14 days 1.115 last 7 days He was hot before Sam's call-up. I stand corrected.
  9. moonslav59
    I agree, and nobody is arguing any of these metrics are perfect. The UZR/150 people even point out that a full season of an OF'er's data may not be a significant sample size. The low UZR/150 for JBJ this year is concerning, but my guess is by year end, he will be near the top in every defensive metric. He'a already gone up from +0.1 to +0.7 in just a few days (currently 9th). DRS has 3 guys with +9, and JBj is one. One guy is at 5 and two at 4. The rest are 3 or worse. Inside Edge ranks plays by difficulty. In the most difficult category (1-10%) the rankings are: 66.7 JBJ 50% Cain 50% Herrera 37.5% Kiermaier 28.6% Buxton 20% M Margot In the next 4 categories, JBJ is at 100%. He also has the most 0% plays in MLB (22). The reason is ranked 10th on this metric is due to much less innings played than those in front of him (except for Jacoby E).
  10. moonslav59
    DRS has JBJ as the best. He's 6 runs saved ahead of the 4th place guy.
  11. moonslav59
    UZR/150 uses the "eye test" from trained observers that try to be objective, are rotated, and are probably more consistent and unbiased than the average fan.
  12. moonslav59
    UZR/150 is based on humans evaluating a player's chance of getting to a ball and either getting to it or an out of not. Other metrics rank the difficulty of a play. Maybe JBJ makes a play look easy and they rank it as a routine out- not a tough one. That was my point.
  13. moonslav59
    Nice to see the bats pick up Sale on an off night. It makes up for some of those low-scoring no decisions and losses earlier..
  14. moonslav59
    Wow, 12 PAs is enough to know this? I love Travis, and I do think he will be a good to even better ML hitter, but it is very early. Also, it looks like Moreland has begun to hit better once Travis was called up.
  15. moonslav59
    We won't be tied for last in HRs anymore this year.
  16. moonslav59
    MLBTR... While there was initially a fair bit of concern for veteran Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia, the prognosis now seems to be good. President of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski says that he thinks Pedroia may be back after the minimum ten-day absence, as Tim Britton of the Providence Journal reports on Twitter. “It’s really the best-case scenario in many ways,” said Dombrowski.
  17. moonslav59
    It was supposed to be a Moreland-Young platoon that "replaced" Papi, but now that HRam is the permanent DH, we lose Young's great splits vs lefties. While nobody thought Moreland-Young would do as well as Papi, an .800 combined OPS was reasonable to expect. The "rest" was supposed to be made up for by a full year by Beni and a much improved rotation. So far, it hasn't worked out as planned, but my guess is we'll finish top 5 in runs scored.
  18. moonslav59
    Well, in all fairness, UZR/150 is not supposed to be used in small sample sizes. For OF'ers, even a full season may not be a large enough sample size to make a definitive judgment, so I take the low UZR/150 number for JBJ this year with a grain of salt. I think JBJ is deceptively good. He makes tough plays look easy, so maybe that has affected the ratings of some of his plays.
  19. moonslav59
    I still think out pen will prove to be our greatest weakness this year, but 3B is giving a good run at it.
  20. moonslav59
    I agree, BJ would take any ML roster slot given him, but I wonder if we want to jeopardize messing with our 6th starter by converting him to a long relief guy. I might be best to keep him on a regular rotation schedule in AAA, in case he's needed as a starter. Our pen seems to be hanging in there, despite some recent troubles by Barnes and Hembree, so I'm not sure we're at an urgent point in need of a pen arm like BJ.
  21. moonslav59
    I expected Porcello to be somewhere between his career norm, which ranks as a decent 2 slot starter or a top 3 slot starter. The chance remained he could pitch like a top 2 or a decent 1 this year. Price should still have some ace years left in him, assuming he stays healthy. I see a good chance that... Sale wins the Cy Young and is the best ace in the AL this year. Price could pitch like the best #2 in MLB. Porcello could be the best #3 in MLB. ERod could be the best #4. Pom could be a top tier 5th starter.
  22. moonslav59
    True. Even if Colorado said we could keep him, he's still out of options.
  23. moonslav59
    Close race for the 2 wild card slots: BOS 27-23 BAL 26-23 CLE 26-23 TBR 27-26
  24. moonslav59
    Nobody is going to convince me JBJ isn't one of baseballs best fielding CF'ers. He's great! Defense matters to me, especially up the middle. What baffles me is that fangraphs has JBJ ranked 9th in UZR/150 at just +0.7, yet they have his DRS at +10. This ranks him first a full 6 runs ahead of the 4th place player. I know the sample sizes are small, but something seems out of whack here. I will say one thing: JBJ is one heck of a defender, and I also think he's got a good bat that will be shown to us as the season progresses.
  25. moonslav59
    Your point is a strong one. Every ring we've won was with at least one big time bat in the middle of the order. HanRam doesn't seem to measure up to the level of Papi or Manny. I could end up being wrong with my belief that a full year of Beni, an improved 3B mix and a Moreland-Young platoon would be enough to make up for a sizeable chunk of the loss of Papi. I never expected Papi to be fully replaced, but our offense was so damn good with Papi, that I thought we'd still be "good enough" with what we have now and a much improved rotation and slightly improved defense. So far, our offense has not done nearly as well as I expected, but the season is still young. I hope you are wrong, but you make a strong argument. Papi's influence on the rest of the line-up is hard to quantify. Many felt he'd decline or suffer after Manny's departure, but that never happened. I'd like to think we can win in other ways that with a super bat in the heart of our line-up.
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