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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I think JBJ is savvy enough to be given the green light and not mess it up.
  2. It is a bit worrisome to be almost $40M over the luxury tax budget and not be a top 2 or 3 MLB contender. I can see someone having issues with the "plan", but to say DD has no plan is wildly inaccurate.
  3. Last 4 years... RBI per AB .139 L Duda (252/1813) .137 Hosmer (349/2552) OPS with RISP .888 Duda .865 Hosmer RBI/AB with RISP .442 Hosmer 261/590 .434 L Duda154/355
  4. First of all, RBIs depend a lot on how often men are in base or in scoring position when you come up to bat. Second, Hosmer is worse than Duda.... Duda is a .796 career OPS guy. He has 405 RBI in 2665 ABs (.152 per AB) He's .805 with RISP, which is higher than otherwise. (257 RBI in 642 ABs 0r .40 per AB). He's .869 with 2 outs & RISP. He's .789 with runners on base, which is just below his career OPS. Hosmer is a career .781 OPS guy. He has 566 RBIs in 4393 ABs, which is .128 RBI per AB- significantly worse than Duda. Hosmer is .814 with RISP, which is also better than otherwise and slightly better than Duda. He's .818 with men on base, which is also better than Duda, but with less HRs, he gets about the same RBIs per AB... RISP RBI/AB .415 Hosmer .401 Duda Men on base RBI/AB .278 Hosmer .277 Duda
  5. He sucks by DRS, too. +3 in 2013 +3 in 2014 +1 in 2015 -6 in 2016 -7 in 2017 He looks okay according to the Fielding Bible vote totals, but he's still getting worse... 41 in 2013 (7th) 16 in 2014 (13th) 31 in 2015 (8th) 12 in 2016 (11th) 17 in 2017 (10th)
  6. He's saving them for April.
  7. Here is a look at our 40 man roster by age: My top 25 in RED 34 Pedey HRam 33 Wright 32 Price Moreland 30 Nunez Martinez 29 Kimbrel Kelly Holt Elias Workman Thornburg Pomeranz Velazquez Porcello Hembree Leon (3/13) Sale (3/30) 28 Scott Smith 27 JBJ Barnes Vazquez Marrero Johnson 26 Maddox 25 Swihart Jerez Shepherd Hernandez Bogaerts Betts 24 Buttrey ERod Beeks Travis Lin 23 Benintendi 21 Devers
  8. What a shame. He has so much promise.
  9. I set myself up for that one.
  10. East Notes: JDM, Red Sox By Connor Byrne | March 3, 2018 at 11:04pm CDT Newly signed Red Sox slugger J.D. Martinez figures to spend most of his time at designated hitter, though the team is planning how to set up its outfield when he does factor in as a defender. “At home he’ll play left field and if somehow he plays somewhere on the road here, he’ll play right field,” manager Alex Cora told Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald and other reporters Saturday. Cora went on to reveal that right fielder Mookie Betts could move to center during road games in which Martinez plays the field. Of course, it’s unclear how often this will come up for Boston, which already has an excellent outfield trio of Betts, Jackie Bradley Jr. (center) and Andrew Benintendi (left). Unlike those three, Martinez has struggled of late in the field, where he has posted minus-27 Defensive Runs Saved and a minus-24.9 Ultimate Zone Rating since 2016.
  11. 2014-2017 Base Running Numbers from fangraph's value page: (Note: games played has a lot of impact on these numbers.) 29.9 Betts 18.8 Bogey 11.0 Bradley 10.3 Holt (If you counted this number per PA, Holt wouldprobably be number 1.) 2.3 Beni (low PAs) 1.9 Swihart 1.2 Marrero 0.1 Devers -2.4 MOreland -5.3 Vazquez -6.1 Leon -9.2 HRam -11.5 Pedey (Can we stop with the Pedey batting 1st and 2nd slot talk?) -22.1 Papi
  12. DD has added Price, Pom (with Ben's prospects), Sale (with Ben's prospects), Elias and Velazquez. In the pen: Kimbrel, Smith, Thornburg Ben: Porcello, ERod, Wright, Johnson, Beeks, Shephers, Kelly, Hembree, Maddox and Buttrey Theo: Workman, Barnes and R Scott (I may have gotten 1 or two guys wrong or missed somebody here.)
  13. It's not really the financial penalties for going $40M over the limit that are worrisome, it's the draft and international signing pools that would be most hurtful, especially to a team looking at a cliff and many claiming we will rebuild the farm somehow- some way. This is not a step that would help us rebuild farm.
  14. The AL East is back to being the toughest division in MLB... IMO.
  15. There's got to be a few unsigned vets (not named Buch) waiting for a minor league deal and an outside chance at the bigs.
  16. Is this a word jumble game?
  17. That was minor. LOL My bad. LOL. Price the year before and Pom mid season.
  18. 2 years in a row without adding a significant starter to the rotation. We have a lot of promise but a lot of worry as well. Is Price really healthy, and will he stay healthy all year? Will Sale get over his late season swoons? Will Porcello come back or repeat 2017? Is Pom's arm trouble just a minor issue or a hint of something bad down the road? Can Wright return to pre-injury form? How long will it take ERod to return? Will ERod's surgery finally end all his knee issues that have affected his play for years? Can Johnson, Velazquez, Elias or some other guy step up bigtime?
  19. Sure, with a side bet on Hosmer vs Morrison on OPS and 400+ PAs each. Last 3 years, which includes 2 good years from Hosmer as he is up-down-up-down... (I'm not hedging my bet, as I do think Duda and Morrison will do better this year, but if they just come close, it's an obvious win for Duda and Morrison, who were both signed for a small fraction of Hosmer's cost.) OPS Hosmer .822 (.169 ISO) LDuda .812 (.248 ISO) Last 4 years (2 good and 2 bad for Hosmer) L Duda .818 (.242 ISO) Hosmer .799 (.160 ISO) Horrible numbers for a 1Bman
  20. He wouldn't have Manny like numbers being on the DL half the time.
  21. I was Buch's biggest supporter on that other site. I don't want him back. I suppose a minor league deal can't hurt, but I'd rather we find someone else.
  22. If they are within 50 PAs, okay, though I'd prefer a bet on OPS. I'll take Morrison and give you 3:2 odds.
  23. We'll see. He sucks on defense now. He's a roller coaster on offense. He's always played in a low pressure city. He's not worth much more than what Morrison got. He's really not good at all, except every other year. On waht basis do you think he will suddenly become consistent? Even then, he's not great during his good years, and one can easily argue he won't repeat his outlier year that just happened to be a contract year on a team with no playoff hopes. Hosmer at $40M/4 is worse than signing Morrison.
  24. I think you value just last year's numbers too highly. Go back 2, 3 or 4 years in sample size and Duda blows Hosmer away in offense, especially power, something we sorely needed.
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