moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Betts too.
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No, the first line is RISP The second line titled "---" is all his combined PAs with no men on base. The third line , "men on base" is all the combined opportunities with any man on any base with any amount of outs. Betts has 110 PAs with RISP 190 with men on base 311 with no men on base (one big downfall with putting a very good hitter up first) He hits .404 with RISP. He's hit .223 with no men on base (.296 OBP- another reason not to have him lead off) He's hit .348 with men on base.
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I doubt he got a memo saying bat Holt 2nd then first. It must be okay with the top brass batting Betts first, but there are some good reasons for him being there. There's no reason to bat Holt one or two when we have other better hitters.
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I'll certainly understand, if the price is too high. I'd hate to lose these two. Same with Sale, but locking up SP'ers long term after a certain age is riskier.
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Debunking the 3 year window myth -- the Red Sox in 2020
moonslav59 replied to Fan_since_Boggs's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I doubt we can even get him at 10 years. I seriously doubt we'd have any chance with 8, unless the numbers just blew him away. If we sign him to 10, he'll be just 34 for almost his full last season under contract. I'd go out of my way to try to make it happen this winter. -
I've never seen the Sox play west of Texas. Some day....
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I was dead-set on us not re-signing Ellsbury. After the signing, I said, "I wouldn't have paid him half that much." Damon could no longer play CF with that noodle arm. We had a LF'er and a DH. (Side note: Manny caught a lot of grief and laughs for cutting off Damon's throw from about 20 feet away, but only Damon could possibly throw a ball that could physically be cut off from that short of a distance away.)
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I meant the top brass more than the manager. Obviously, JF is not cutting edge on anything I can see.
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I'll never argue JBJ is better than Betts on deffense, but with a park like Fenway, having JBJ and Betts id CF and RF puts us at a huge advantage on defense. Even on the road, I'm not sure any team has a better one-two defensive punch at those key positions. Yes, we can replace JBJ with some other FA, but most FAs will be about the same age as JBJ, and if they are close to him in skill level, they will be just as costly. I'd like to lock up Betts and JBJ as long as the numbers aren't way way over board. Bogey is my "one man out", if I had to choose, and I think we will, if we want to keep Chris Sale around.
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Debunking the 3 year window myth -- the Red Sox in 2020
moonslav59 replied to Fan_since_Boggs's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
We're talking 10 years for a 24 year old. He'll be just 34 when the 10 year deal runs out. You know me KImmi, I'm big on discouraging large and long contracts, I've posted the lists of largest and longest contracts and showed how most failed to come close to expectations- often during the first years even, but those deals were all for free agents who were mostly over age 29 or 30.. If we wait 3 years, we'll probably have to offer 10 years anyways but to a 28 year old not a 25 year old to keep him here in Boston. IMO, Mookie is worth the risk. -
Debunking the 3 year window myth -- the Red Sox in 2020
moonslav59 replied to Fan_since_Boggs's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The 6 years include 3 arb years which might pay him up to $50M total. You'd really sign him to $150M/3 for the following 3 years? Plus, the $33.3M luxury tax hit would be worse than my 10 year offer of $275M/10. I'd even prefer $300M/10 over $200M/6. Here's why: 1) Betts is young enough that his last 4 years are still close enough to prime to not worry too much. 2) The luxury tax hit would be lower by including the arb years in the extension (same with the $200M/6). 3) Contract costs in 6 years will likely be way higher than now, and Betts would likely get $350M/10 if he was a FA right now and 27 years old (not 24). Bottom line: try like hell to lock him up before he hits the open market. He's worth the risk. I don't see flame-out potential with Mookie. I hear 700's argument about "speed" guys and how they do not tend to hold top value pretty well, but Mookie has power, OB skills and is a tremendous defensive player beyond his speed. -
I don't think anyone actually believes the ball rises. If they do, then maybe there's room for them in the Trump Administration. It's just a term for a ball that doesn't drop or appear to drop as much as expected or as it's supposed to drop.
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Very true, but I think very few teams have developed less home-grown(good+) SP'ers than us over the last 10 years.
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Fister & Young. It's nice to see Just about everyone getting some limelight recently.
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No doubt. Developing top pitchers has been one of our biggest weakness, if not the biggest, for at least 9-10 years.
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When you don't play much like Young, one's numbers can be skewed by one bad streak (or one good one). One game can make a big difference. Young's OPS just went from .706 to .760 after today's monster game. Sox updated OPS leaders: 1.034 Devers .807 Nunez (2 teams) 1.225 with the Sox .805 Betts .791 Pedey .775 Beni .766 JBJ .760 Young .756 Moreland .740 Bogey .701 Vaz .692 Leon .508 Holt Young was never the problem, even at .706.
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Maybe he just needs "protection"...LOL (I couldn't resist.) I don't think it's lack of confidence. Maybe there's something with is mechanics. Maybe he's pressing too hard. I have confidence he will make the necessary adjustment(s) and get red hot soon.
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Maybe he's got just that little bit extra movement on his pitches that is hard to pick-up. It does seem like his location is that good, and he's not blowing it by people, so something has to be deceptive to hitters.
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I never understood the negativity either. It's not like Young was hitting under .650 like some of our players have been for long stretches. I tried to see the positive: he was hitting righties very well. I hoped that would continue while his skill ve LHPs would manifest itself shortly. It took a while longer than any of us wished, but maybe this is what we've been waiting for and then some.
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I firmly believe Mookie is going to get red hot at some point. Maybe he's saving it for the playoffs-- like "clutch" players do.
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I get that Bard crashed and burned, but he gave us 3 years of good to very good pitching at the ML level. Owens gave us squat with the bigs. I think some might have forgotten just how long Bard was good for us. 2009 3.65 ERA/1.277 WHIP (11.5 K/9) in 49 IP 2010 1.93/1.004 (9.2) in 75 IP 2011 3.33/0.959 (9.1) in 73 IP
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I couldn't resist going back and finding a post like this. (Sorry it ended up being yours FSB. I'm sure there are plenty of others out there.)
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Young has been one of MLB's best hitters vs LHPs over the significant sample size of 2014 to 2016. A half a season of poor hitting vs lefties is not enough to give up on him, especially while he has been hitting righties better than he has in the last 3 years. I've always thought Young was a perfect fit for this team both as support for Beni in LF vs LHPs and Moreland at 1B (DH as HRam slides to 1B) vs LHPs. I hope today stops the nonsense about cutting him. (Note: Seattle just picked up Alonso.)
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We were one of the first teams to use sabermetrics, but we have seemed slow to move on some other "innovations" like high usage of defensive shifts.
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Nobody has an accustomed spot on this team, except maybe Betts in the wrong slot at #1. Holt up first today is a joke.
