moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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He's not a guy you sign for 4-5, despite the fact that he's 28 (today is his birthday). We need a bat, and Hosmer's glove is not something that changes any decision. 2014-2017 thirty -one 1Bmen with 1500+ PAs; SLG .480 Duda (8th) .449 Hosmer (18th) ISO .242 Duda (4th) .160 Hosmer (29th) Yes, Hosmer is better in BA and OBP, but we need power. OBP .350 Hosmer (12th) still not worth a 4 year deal being 12th in your best stat .338 Duda (14th)
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Gold Gloves are a joke. I gave up paying attention to that award when they gave one to a guy who DH'd all year. I forget who he was.
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I'd get physically sick, if we sign Hosmer to 4+ years. 1B (or DH, if HRam can play 1B) is where we have the best chance to get a big boost. You are making a lot of assumptions about Hosmer based on 2017. He's been under .765 in 2 of the last 4 seasons. While his defense is better than Duda, he's been a negative UZR/150 guy the last 2 years and is -4.1 career at 1B. This isn't the guy you sign to such a key offensive position for 4 or more years. Don'y guarantee anything about what I say about a player based on 1 year. My MO has been pretty consistently about a player's last 3-4 year numbers, unless they are 23-25 years old. Both Hosmer and Duda are risky signings. I'll go with the 1 year guy and then go all out for Machado next year and move Devers to 1B, where he likely belongs anyways. BTW, Hosmer might end up at DH, if Devers fails on defense at 3B.
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In short, we have 26 "keepers", unless they get traded and 8 bubble players- 4 without options. 4 bubble players with options remaining M Hernandez Tzu-Wei Lin Brock Holt Ben Taylor 4 bubble players with no options remaining (DFA, trade or non-tender): Marrero Hembree Johnson Swihart Gone: Owens Rutledge Elias That leaves 6 slots for rule 5 players and newly added players via trade or free agency. Are the 6 players we add to the 40 man roster to protect? Jalen Beeks Danny Mars Jeremy Barfield Jake Cosart Justin Haley Kyle Martin Assuming all this comes true, who goes, if we sign 1, 2 or 3 free agents? 1) We could trade some guys with no options remaining. 2) We could make a 2 or 3 for 1 type deal. 3) We could DFA... 1 from Holt, Marrero or Lin 1 from Hembree or Taylor Swihart a rule 5 guy (Barfiled or Martin?)
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Yes, more likely we sign JD, Duda and some retread starters. I doubt we address 2B depth, until we see how Pedey and Hernandez look. We ended up getting Nunez pretty cheap mid season, so I think we wait it out there.
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Getting Stanton does not "close our off season". His luxury tax hit is $25M, and we apparently have $40M to spend and not reach the second penalty phase. That's $15M, which might get us Cozart or Cobb or maybe two guys like Duda and Kendrick/Nunez. Heck, Santana might go for $15M. Henry might even allow us to go over $40M in additional spending. The extra penalty is just dropping 10 picks in the draft for round one.
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"Everything written?" This article seems to hint that the Cincy media was complaining about the lack of leadership in the Reds clubhouse: https://www.cincinnati.com/story/redsblog/2015/02/24/joey-votto-says-reds-full-of-leaders/23959477/ I'm not going to pretend to know anything about Votto's leadership skills, and I'm not doubting the fact that we have a void in that area after Papi's departure, but I was just curious about why you felt he is the very best. I never heard anything about it, but then a again, I wasn't looking at the Cincy clubhouse or media outlets.
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Sox to hire Alex Cora as manager
moonslav59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Henry's bank is bigger. -
Votto has said over and over that he does not want to leave Cincy. He has a no trade clause. I think he's a pipe dream. Just curious, what makes you think Votto is the best clubhouse guy in all of MLB?
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I'd be very happy, if we sign JD Martinez, Alex Cobb and Lucas Duda. I'm not sure we can do so and stay under the second luxury tax penalty line. We might get just below the line, and then need to make a mid season deal or two. Maybe the second limit is not so bad anyways. 1) Bogey SS 2) Betts RF 3) Beni LF/CF 4) Martinez DH/LF 5) Duda 1B/DH vs RHPs or HRam 1B/DH vs LHPs 6) Devers 3B 7) Pedey 2B 8) JBJ CF or HRam 1B/DH 9) Vaz C Bench: HRam or Duda, Leon, 2 from: Lin, Travis, Hernandez, Holt or Marrero SP1 Sale SP2 Price SP3 Pom SP4 Cobb SP5 Porcello SP6 Wright/ERod/Johnson (out of options) RP1 Kimbrel RP2 Smith RP3 Kelly RP4 Barnes RP5 Maddox RP6 Workman RP7 Hembree (out of options)/Scott/Thornburg/R Ross/Taylor We may have to let some arb guys go (or trade them), so we can afford everyone. Maybe Holt, Ross and/or Hembree..
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lol
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Yes, and add Bogey to your list of young players dipping when many rise.
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Sox to hire Alex Cora as manager
moonslav59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I'm very hopeful with Cora. We've come a long way since the Yawkey era. I'm hopeful we can land Hickey. With JF gone, our pitching staff will need a strong influence, and I'm not sure Cora is equipped for that role. -
It seems like he's going to have to do some more wheeling and dealing to be the favorite (or near fave) next year- not that being the faves guarantees anything.
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True, but it doesn't bother you that he's only played more than 123 games once? Look, I'm all for signing JD, and that's probably a better choice than trading a big package for Stanton, but when people question Stanton's history, I felt I should bring up the fact that he compares favorably to JD on that front. The last 4 years are pretty close though, with JD doing slightly better. JD since 2014: 123, 158, 120 and 119 GS since 2014: 145, 74, 119 and 159 JD with 33 more games. Last 2 years: GS with 39 more games. BTW, JD did go on the DL with a sprained wrist in 2013 from 7/27 to 9/13, and that same year he sprained his knee and went on the DL from 4/20 to 5/7, so his pre-2014 history is not snow white.
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Hosmer is near the bottom of my list. He will want and get at least 3 years- probably 4-5. He's not the guy I want to have at 1B for that long. He's not good fielder, and he's been up and down like a yo-yo. Duda can probably be had for 1 year. He has better numbers over the last 4 years. He's no good on D either, but he has the best 1Bman ISO over the last 4 years. We need power. Hosmer looks like 2017 might have been a fluke.
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My wish list... 1) Stanton, as long as we don't have to give up JBJ and Bogey (or Beni). 2T) JD Martinez 2T) M Moustakas 4) L Duda (assuming we get 1 of the above)/ Santana (if not) 5) A Cobb 6) Z Cozart 7) L Morrison (see Duda) 8) maybe Lance Lynn? 9) E Nunez (if health is okay)/ H Kendick (if not)
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Good points. Stanton did play 159 games this year. One injury was from getting hit by a pitch, so I wouldn't count that as being "injury prone". I am a bit concerned about injury, but I am more concerned with JD Martinez's health.
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Stanton's games played blow JD Martinez away.
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I feel pretty close to how I felt with Sale. Guys like Stanton only become available once in a long, long time. We're talking about... Giancarlo Freakin' Stanton! Now, I want to know what they want in return, but I'm all ears, and I'm seeking ways to get the prospects they will want, even if it means trading JBJ or Bogey.
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Cozart is 9th and he's a guy people are drooling over for some reason. Maybe it's the better-than-Bogey defense, the .385 OBP and the .548 SLG. 24 HRs in 122 games isn't bad either.
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Thanks. I think another change is that teams that sign a QO no longer lose a 1st round pick. They lose a second rounder instead.
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Then, we say no and trade JBJ instead. I'm not for handing any of our players away for less than their value, but we should explore all avenues on obtaining Stanton.
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When is the first day a team can sign a free agent?
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Nobody wants the 4th best SS WAR guy over the last 3 years combined, and who is making arb money NOT free agent money. Are you serious?
