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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Not really. He "wasn't hitting" in 2016 or 2017 either, and then.... His hot streaks are usually Herculean. Just last year, he was at .637 on May 23rd and got to .800 by June 11th and .850 on June 25th. Yes, he's got more PAs now than last May, but respectabilty is maybe .750 not .850.
  2. I view depth as the bench, but yes, our 6-9 hitters have done much worse than last year. 2018 slot 6 .718 7 .612 8 .571 9 .639 2017 slot 6 .750 (mostly Bogey, JBJ, Moreland, Devers, Young, HRam) 7 .693 (JBJ, Devers, Moreland, Vaz, Young, Rutledge, Pablo, leon) 8 .741 (Leon, Vaz, JBJ, Pablo, Young) 9 .640 (JBJ, Marrero, Vaz, Leon, Marco, Holt, Lin) Wouldn't you think adding JD over Young (and HRam) would lengthen the line-up and improve the 6-9 slots? Well, Bogey and Betts losing time didn't help,but this is the bigger culprit: JBJ .726> .584 Vaz .735> .528 Leon .644> .639 Devers .819> .686 Nunez> .892> .632
  3. trading Elias was the priceless part!
  4. I disagree. We have slumping players and players on the DL or being brought back slowly. We have a nice bench. We've been winning when Betts is out. Bogey was our hottest hitter, when he went on the DL. We kept winning. Have patience: Devers will adjust. JBJ will have a hot streak. Leon and Vaz have already been returning to .650-.750 hitting. Nunez can do better, but I'm not sure if he's been affected by his injury too much. Holt has done well off the bench, so far. Our starting pitcher and pen depth has been fantastic.
  5. I've been teaching ESL for 11 years, so I know all about homework and the effects of not doing it.
  6. We're 11-1 in ERod starts. KEEP ON NIBBLING!
  7. I think we got Nunez, so we wouldn't have to do this.
  8. I searched 2009-2017 OF'ers with 250+ PAs (about half of the PAs needed to qualify. There were these many players having seasons with these OPS or lower: 40 below .600 100 below .640 140 below .640 .200 below .675 How about 350+ PAs? 25 below .620 60 below .655 104 below .675 I'd say yes, teams have given many OF'ers longer chances than JBJ, and my guess is many aren't GG caliber. Then again, JBJ has had several long bad stretches over his career.
  9. Did Betts leavet's last night's game due to injury? Is he just being eased ack in slowly? We need his bat in the line-up everyday, especially with such a weak offense we have been showing lately.
  10. I'm not defending Cora's choice of Nunez over Holt, but here are a few reasons I can think of... 1) Holt's career splits are close to equal vs LHPs and RHPs, so choosing based on this might be misplaced. Holt has hit lefties better than righties over his career (.717 to .693). Nunez has hit RHPs better over his career .743 to ,688. That's a significant reverse split differential. 2) For the many that love to use the "what have you done for me lately" argument, Holt has actually hit lefties way better than righties, so far this season (1.084 v L/ .768 v R). Nunez has been way better vs RHPs this year (.710) than vs LHPs (.413). 3) Last 14 day OPS: Nunez .701 & Holt .603. 4) Neither are plus defenders. Again, I'm not defending Cora, but I don't see this choice as being a no-brainer. Sometimes the lefty-righty split thing is not as clear as it looks. In this case, both players have career and seasonal reverse splits.
  11. Is Marco Hernandez due back this year?
  12. I expected great tings from Kelly and hoped Craig would fill our 1B need. ERod looked like a great ML ready prospect. His knee issues held him back, but hopefully the surgery put a final end to that chapter in his career.
  13. He looks more "athletic" than this Swihart phenom!
  14. Wright and JBJ used to be my two favorite Sox players. Now, with JBJ's massive slump and Wight's off season issue, I'm kind of looking for a third player-- Maybe ERod or Kelly? Betts , Bogey, Sale or JD would be too easy!
  15. I, for one, fully expect Price to do well this October, assuming he's healthy.
  16. I'm not projecting anything, but I do still think the odds favor JBj having a hot streak at some point. It looked like he was about to a little while ago, but then he went back to horrific. If it wasn't for all the HBPs, he'd be on the bench already. It's not like I enjoy watching him struggle. I hope everyday he begins a hot streak. I'm not sure how long the leash should be. Maybe another 2-4 weeks? We also need Pedey to return to free up Nunez or Holt for the OF, because I don't want JD being a FT OF'er due to benching JBJ.
  17. That's right. This is the last year of the contract he signed with Boston. The last 2 of the 7 year deal were bad. The others were good but still no where near what he did the 4 years before the contact kicked in.
  18. LOL. Trading him to a contender might be an option. Free up some cap space and then make another trade to fill a hole elsewhere. This is assuming all our starters are healthy, doing well, and Velazquez looks ready to be our 6th starter again.
  19. A streaky .240 hitter often goes 2+ months at .180. That's been JBJ's M.O. During every cold stretch of his career, I've heard the same thing, and yet for the last 3-4 years, he's come through with a hot streak that brings his overall numbers to respectability or even better for 2 years (over .830). I'm not sure why so many people seem to feel there is zero chance he has a hot snap this season. He had a .384 OPS on August 5th, 2015. he was over 1.000 by September 7th before settling in at .832. In 2016, his hot streak came earlier, but he was at .599 on 4/18 before going over .900 from May 9th to August 5th before falling back to .835. in 2017, he had 3 moths under .600. They were spread out. He had 3 OPS months over .770. he was at .537 on May 14th (basically a month earlier than now). He got his OPS up to .860 on July 4th, then leveled out between .750 and .770 before ending at an acceptable .726 season OPS. I'm not going to predict .800 or .725 this year, but I'm feeling like not expecting a hot streak at some point is probably the wrong outlook.
  20. Exactly. He went from being on pace to perhaps become the best post season starter in MLB history to being a chump and a playoff disappointment. Some guys never get it. Past performance, even on large sample sizes are not always good indicators of what is to come. For short and scattered sample size, it's a joke. We're often talking about a sample size of 5-10 starts spread out over years and years. Plus, if we did go out and sign or trade for all the most successful playoff players in recent history, we'd probably not even make the playoffs (see Pablito, Craig & Co.).
  21. I'm a huge Wright fan, but I expect Pom to come back healthy at some point. Maybe he goes to the pen- maybe not. When the season began, I had hoped we could have offered Pom a QO and got a draft pick out of losing his contract. That doesn't look like a possibility anymore.
  22. Exactly. Without us having AGon, we'd have never dumped CC and Beckett, well maybe Beckett could have been traded on his own, but we'd have probably had to pay part of his deal. AGon did well after the trade, but he had three straight years over .900 and 4 over .870 before going to LA. (.957 first year with Sox and before the contract kicked in) His contract year OPS numbers were... .806 .803 .817 .830 .784 .642 .672 Pardon me, if I think these numbers were disappointing or below expectations.
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