moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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One year deals are easy, when the reset is obviously not going to be next year. The sweating starts after 2019 and 2020 and 2021.
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I'm still not sure we went over the $40M mark this year. It seems strange to go over by less than a million.
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I wonder what Wright, Johsnon & Velazquez's values are in trade. Add Swihart and maybe Chavis, Ockimey or even Hembree and see what kind of RP'er(s) we can get. I'm not advocating trading them just for the sake of it, I'd want a decent return.
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Well, then they might have been able to keep both, if they did not sign Eovaldi.
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Yes, but when I here someone say we got Eovaldi to cover for losing Porcello, I think maybe getting Eovaldi means we chose him over Porcello and not to cover for him, in case we lose him. Losing Porcello will likely be because of Eovaldi. I'm fine with getting Eovaldi. I'm fine with us maybe being a little worse down the line, because we have to let Porcello (or Sale) go.
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I have said re-setting after 2019 might make more sense, especially the way so many big contracts all end after next season, but it also won't take a whole lot to keep a strong enough team together for one more year... maybe no Sale, Moreland and Pearce, and we go with Wright, Johnson, Chavis and Dalbec.
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I totally agree, but the talk here is about how we may take up some slack, if we don't replace Kimbrel & Kelly in kind. Instead of trading for a better hitting catcher, we could just hope Vaz does 100-150 points better, Pearce's full year vs less this year and maybe something from Pedey or an uptick from Nunez.
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I do think Vaz could hit like 2017 again, but more likely he might hit .683, which is 150 points higher than our catcher OPS this year! Hell, .633 is a 100 point upgrade!
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I'm thrilled. I think some people seem to think I fret about our future every minute of the day. I don't. I love how DD has run the team. I love where we are for the next 2 years. We've had 3 good years and a ring with 2 more great chances for another ring. That's a tremendously long window DD built, with some help from Ben's farm, I might add. I'm perfectly okay with a year or two rebuild starting 3 years from now. I'm not down at all. Merry Christmas & a Happy TWO Years!
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He being here may mean someone else isn't.
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Other metrics show JBJ is still very strong on defense: UZR/150 0.2 in 2015 8.1 in 2016 3.5 in 2017 8.8 in 2018 DRS shows another story 8 in 2015 11 in 2016 10 in 2017 0 in 2018 (hard to imagine for a GG winner) Inside Edge Career vs 2018 Remote 16%/33% in 2018 Unlikely 41%/29% Even 68%/75% Likely 92%/91% Routine 99.7%/100%
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They could also go for depth by signing two from Happ, A Sanchez or Morton plus one or two from Britton, Ottavino or Familia, it might work out better. Trade Gray for a useful piece.
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True, but there are a few pitchers with stark differentials, especially with Swihart and his small sample sizes. Sale 2.42 w Leon (319) 3.40 w Vaz (53 IP) O IP with Swihart (very telling.) (3.02 with Flowers in 552 IP/ 2.51 w AJP in 226/ 3.53 w Avila in 112) Price 2.83 w Leon (194 IP) 4.32 w Vaz (263) 5.72 w Swihart (11) (2.85 w Molina 473/3.06 w Jaso 191) Porcello 4.14 w Leon in 483 4.15 w Vaz in 134 4.59 w Swihart in 118 (4.17 w Avila in 578/ 4.32 w Laird in 296) ERod is about even 4.00 w Leon in 99 4.08 w Swihart in 71 4.24 w Vaz in 276 Eovalid's sample sizes are small, but he did better with Vaz. If you look at just Sale and Price, one could argue keeping Leon is the right choice, and trading Vaz could work, if the new guy (like Cervelli) can work with Porcello, Eovaldi and ERod. Since ERod doesn't seem to be affected by who catches him, and Eovaldi is kind of new anyways, and Porcello might be gone after next year, maybe trading Vaz and getting a better hitting catcher makes more sense than I first thought.
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I understand. He may also think Cervelli or someone esle is as good or better than Vaz or Leon in those areas I promote so much. He certainly knows more about opposing catchers than I do (and our own, too!)
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Exactly. Now, I'm not saying Leon and Vaz are the only catchers in MLb with these skills, but any new catcher would create a learning curve of an unknown amount of time, even ones known to be great in these areas.
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...or without affecting all the intangibles Leon & Vaz give our staff.
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Maybe something like the Lackey deal?
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It just seems like they could have done better. (I'm no expert on other teams' prospects or players.)
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One of those last two was in relief.
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He actually did better with Vaz, and Vaz caught him a lot in the playoffs, when he did the best he ever has done. REG Season: 0.55 ERA with Vaz (16.1 IP) 3.86 ERA with Leon (35 IP) 6.16 ERA w Wilson Ramos (38 IP) Game 3 vs NYY with Vaz 7 IP 5 H 1 ER 0BB Game 3 vs HOU w Vaz 6 IP 6H 2ER 2 BB Game 5 vs HOU w VAZ (in relief) 1.1 IP 0H 0ER 1BB Game 1 vs LAD w Leon in relief 1 IP 0H 0ER 0BB Game 2 vs LAD w Vaz in relief 1 IP 0H 0ER 0BB Game 3 vs LAD w Leon in relief of 18 inning game 6IP 1 ER 3H 1BB ( 1 unearned run) He did very well with both catchers in the playoffs, but he pitched more with Vaz (15.1 IP 3 ER with Vaz and 7 IP 1 ER with Leon).
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I share your deep concerns, and it was actually a much smaller sample size with him playing "out of his mind." He wasn't bad, by any means, before the playoffs, but out of 12 games with us, he had 5 so-so to bad outings 2.2 IP 10H 4 ER 2 BB (4 unearned runs) 5.1 IP 10H 4 ER 1 BB 4.0 IP 8H 5 ER 0 BB 2.0 IP 3H 3 ER 0BB 3.2 IP 3H 2 ER 2 BB The hope is, he gets consistent and durable- something he's never been. That's a big risk, but it feels good having him back for 2019.
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I'm not for trading Mookie. I'd give him 12 years. However, trading him would not be about getting equal value. It would be about getting something before he walks as a free agent (assuming we plan to re-set the tax).
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MLBTR... Eovaldi hasn’t even yet turned 29 and sustained an average heater of over 97 mph last year. While he was a bit homer-prone during his time to open the season with the Rays, which hurt his outcomes even as he otherwise showed compelling stuff, the seven-year MLB vet was excellent down the stretch in 2018. He ultimately tossed 54 regular season frames of 3.33 ERA ball with 8.0 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 for the Sox. Over the course of the full campaign, Eovaldi’s swinging-strike rate surged to a career-high 10.7% while he turned in a sturdy 45.6% groundball rate that sat just under his personal mean. No doubt that late run boosted Eovaldi’s stock, but it was his postseason showing that cemented his status as a top free agent arm. Eovaldi ended up turning in 22 1/3 frames over the team’s three series. He was excellent every time he took the ball, whether as a starter, late-inning reliever, or long man. Eovaldi ended up permitting just four earned runs on 15 hits and three walks while racking up 16 strikeouts.
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Good points. I think we will try our hardest to keep him starting, but if Wright is healthy and looking good, it may be an interesting decision to make. I can't see Wright as a closer, but he might be a good long man or set-up man. (We'd still need a closer.)
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Red Sox To Re-Sign Nathan Eovaldi By Jeff Todd | December 6, 2018 at 8:53am CDT (MLBTR) The Red Sox have struck a deal to bring back righty Nathan Eovaldi, according to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic (via Twitter). Terms of the agreement, which is pending a physical, have yet to be reported. Eovaldi is a client of ACES.
