moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I'm fine with several minor league deals, just not broken Clay pigeons.
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Allen may even take a 1 year deal to try and reset his value. I'm not so hung up on most recent year numbers. They do matter, but he was pretty good for a while. Here are some numbers: 6 straight seasons with 10.7K/9 or better. His 4.4 BB/9 was a full walk over his next worst season (and better than Kimbrel's in 2018.) His 1.36 WHIP was horrible, but it was under 1.17 in the previous 4 seasons. His ERA has been under 2.99 in 5 of his last 6 seasons. He looks like a good bounce back gamble. Also, I only want Allen, if we also sign another solid RP'er. It's my get 2 instead of 1 option/plan B.
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I'd do it. How about subbing Lakins for Shawaryn?
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I think he has value. Gotta give to get. He's out of options, as is Swihart. He might do better with a change of scenery. I thought of giving Velazquez or Johnson instead of Shawaryn.
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Sign Ottavino Trade: Hembree, Swihart & Shawaryn For: Kirby Yates
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I mentioned Allen, because he'll be much cheaper than Kimbrel. I never meant to imply he's nearly as good. I also said Allen and Kelly as compared to just one like Familia or Ottavino.
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There was a doubt? Even if we didn't sign NA, we'd be division faves.
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Last winter, many felt we need more starter depth, and as it turned out, we did, when we went out and got Eovaldi. Now, we don't have Pom but have Eovaldi. I think we give Wright, Johnson and Velazquez a look (maybe Shawaryn, if he's doing well in AAA), and if they don'y work, DD goes looking again. Maybe he finds the next Eovaldi for peanuts. Right now, we need to focus attention on the pen. The rest can wait to mid season.
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If you add Pearce and Moreland, our 1B= 1.7. Having 8 positions over 1.7 shows nice balance.
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Steamer WAR Projections: BOS 7.2 Betts 4.3 Bogey 3.8 JD Martinez 3.6 Beni 2.7 JBJ 2.5 Devers 2.1 Pedey 1.1 Pearce 1.1 Vazquez 0.6 Moreland 0.6 Holt 0.4 Nunez 0.3 leon 0.1 Swihart HOU 5.3 Bregman 4.8 Correa 4.6 Altuve 4.3 Springer 1.6 Reddick 1.4 Chirinos 1.2 T White 0.8 Gurriel 0.8 Stassi 0.7 Tucker 0.6 T Kemp NYY 4.8 Judge 3.7 Stanton 3.5 Sanchez 3.4 Hicks 2.5 Andujar 2.3 Torres 1.6 Gardner 1.5 Gregorius 1.5 Voit CLE 6.7 Lindor 5.5 Ramirez 2.3 Diaz 1.6 Martin 1.4 Encarnacion 1.1 Kipnis 1.0 Alonso CLE: Only team with 2 over 5.0 HOU: Only team with 4 over 4.0 BOS, HOU & NYY all have 4 guys over 3.0 BOS: Only team with 7 over 2.0 Steamer SP'ers BOS 6.6 Sale 3.1 Price 2.7 Eovaldi 2.6 Porcello 1.9 ERod HOU 5.1 Verlander 4.5 G Cole 2.2 J James 1.1 Peacock NYY 4.5 Severino 4.0 Paxton (3.3 Happ? 2.6 Tanaka) 1.4 CC Sab 0.6 Gray CLE 4.8 Kluber 4.5 Carrasco 4.0 Bauer 2.6 Clevinger 2.2 Bieber Cleveland will likely trade a pitcher, but they are the only team with 3 guys over 4.0 and 5 guys over 2.0. (We have 5 over 1.9 and are the only other AL team with 4 guys over 2.0.)
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Steamer SP'ers BOS 6.6 Sale 3.1 Price 2.7 Eovaldi 2.6 Porcello 1.9 ERod HOU 5.1 Verlander 4.5 G Cole 2.2 J James 1.1 Peacock NYY 4.5 Severino 4.0 Paxton (3.3 Happ? 2.6 Tanaka) 1.4 CC Sab 0.6 Gray CLE 4.8 Kluber 4.5 Carrasco 4.0 Bauer 2.6 Clevinger 2.2 Bieber Cleveland will likely trade a pitcher, but they are the only team with 3 guys over 4.0 and 5 guys over 2.0. (We have 5 over 1.9 and are the only other AL team with 4 guys over 2.0.)
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I think these are better than our 2018 pre-season projections.
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So, we are about $5M away from the $40M penatly tax line. We need at least one more solid RP'er and maybe some cash for summer acquisitions. Looks like we are going over the max line in 2019. No biggie.
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Johnson yes, he could probably put up somewhere between a 4.2 and 4.7 ERA over 170+ innings right now, and that's good enough to be on a lot of teams' rotations. Yes, he "could" put up numbers like these, and if he did, yes, he would be good enough to make some teams' rotations, but you have to remember, those teams have pitchers similar to Johnson (and Velazquez) who they feel "could" give them a 4.70 ERA over 170 IP. Johnson has the potential to do even better than 4.20, but so do many SP'ers who won't put up 4.70 or better next year. BTW, I like Wright as our 6th starter, until he proves otherwise.
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We will likely experience some injuries. Hopefully, none will be major or to key players, but we do have an opportunity to get more out of these players who were not with us all last year, either due to injury, trade or being in the minors: Pedroia (played 3 games) Devers (played 121 games) Pearce (played just 50 games with the Sox) Vazquez (played 80 games) Moreland (played 124 games) Betts, JD, Beni, JBJ and Bogey all played less than 150 games Eovaldi (Only with us for 2 months and 11 starts) Sale (Only started 5 games after July 28th) ERod (missed significant time- had just 23 starts) Braiser (didn't join us until after 3 months of the season went by) Wright (only started 4 games) Poyner (just 22 IP) Thornburg (just 24 IP) Walden, Scott, Workman and others missed some time. There's a lot of reasons we could be better next year, assuming we replace Kimbrel & Kelly in kind. Here's what we stand to lose: PA- Player - OPS 195 HRam .708 143 Kinsler .604 27 Phillips .520 IP- Player -ERA 74 Pomeranz 6.08 66 Joe Kelly 4.39 62 Kimbrel 2.74 14 CSmith 3.77
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LOL! Thanks for being an eagle eye.
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Here's an updated look at our 2019 budget in Tax dollars and arb estimates: 31M Price 22M JD 20.6 Porcello 19.5 M Betts 17.0 Eovaldi 15.0 Sale 13.8 Pedey 11.3 Bogey 8.9 JBJ 6.5 Moreland 6.3 Pearce 5.0 Nunez 4.5 Vaz 4.3 ERod 3.5 Holt 3.3 Barnes 3.0 Leon 3.0 Wright 1.8 Thornburg 1.3 Hembree 1.0 Workman 1.0 Swihart $203.6 Sub Total +$18.5 Pablo +$4.4M Others on 40 man roster +$14.5M Player benefits $241M Total That's $35M over the limit. Cots has us at $240M.
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So sad.
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You weren't against the contract day one, were you? I did not like the deal, but I thought it was necessary and sided on the side of being for it. I thought Price was the best choice due to being the most likely to be very good for a longer time than other choices that year or the previous year.
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I fixed the tense, TY.
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I hope so!
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To all the posters who bashed Price or the Price signing, I have two questions: Do you think it was worth it to sign him? Are you happy with the rest of his deal or did you hope he had opted out this winter?
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I'm thinking Ottavino or Familia. I could see us going Kelly & Cody Allen.
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I don't think the decline after 32 is all that steep. Anyways, half the years are uo to 32,
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I'm sure they thought long and hard about Eovaldi's contractual effect on 2020, 2021 and 2022. I'm not being critical. I trust they know what they are doing, but I also think there is a re-set plan somewhere in the next 3 years. (They could end up trading Eovaldi at the point we re-set, if they so choose.)
