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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Updated after Smith, Haley & Renda are demoted or cut loose.
  2. If Smith gets $1.1M, we don't save $1.1M by seeing him go. We save the difference between $1.1M and mim wage, at best. I doubt we non tender Leon. His value as Sale's caddy alone is worth $1-2M. My guess is Workman and Hembree return. Thornburg might have high upside, but that $2.3M is about as much as Hembree & Smith combined (or Hembree and Workman). If, and I know it's a big if, Pedey could return and be reliable, trading Nunez would save $5M. I'm not sure we need to cut much, if any salary. Henry might decide to go over the $40M mark for 2019 or hover just under it. Either way, we can afford to spend on Eovaldi, Kelly and Pearce and be close to the max line. Then, we'd have to see how much Kimbrel really means to this team.
  3. Being a platoon player on the short end of PAs (vs LHPs only) is usually not worth what Moreland got (a player on the right side of the platoon), but maybe some team will sign him to play FT. He did pretty well vs RHPs while with us, and not just in the playoffs. I think he'll get $14M/2 or $20M/3. I'm not sure that's with us.
  4. So, who besides Kimbrel? The word "some" is confusing. It can only be one.
  5. We are not re-setting this winter. The real question is the $40M over threshold.
  6. "Some?" as in 1? Kimbrel. No way Pearce or Eovaldi gets one, right? 1 year deals are nice, so maybe Eovaldi?????
  7. 2-3 years from now... 1. Betts RF 2. Beni LF 3. Devers 3B 4. JD DH 5. JBJ CF 6. Chavis/Ockimey/Dalbec 1B 7. Hernandez/Quiroz 2B 8. Lin/Chatham SS 9. Vaz C (Of course, we'll add somebody, but this is the base we'd have to work with.) SP: Sale, Price, ERod, Wright, Johnson, Velazquez/Shawaryn/Groome RP: Feltman, Kelly, Barnes, Brasier, Hembree, Workman/Scott/Poyner/Walden/Lakins
  8. I agree with pretty much everything here. The decision on Sale may be very hard, too (not mentioned here). To me, if we keep Betts & JD, and we have to choose between these two choices, I go with... Sale > Porcello (assuming Sale passes the physical) JBJ > Bogey Kelly > Kimbrel (money differential) Without any major additions, what are this team's chances without Bogey, Porcello and Kimbrel- assuming everything else stays and remains pretty consistent in performance output?
  9. Damon also did well in the playoffs in that playoff year.
  10. I'm willing to wait, but as of now, he's the best. He's had no meltdown.
  11. Don't even count Ellsbury, and one can DH. You are probably right; they didn't sign Gardner to essentially $9.5M to be a 4th OF'er.
  12. Okay, I see now how you did it. 1B 2013 Napoli> 2007 Youk 2004 Millar> 2007 Youk Jacoby's 2013 OPS of .781 was 7th best on the team- just ahead of Stephen Drew and Gomes. Damon had an .857 OPS in 2004 and was much more influential in the playoffs.
  13. Depending on when (notice I didn't say if) Henry decides to reset, I've been guessing all along it will be after 2020 for the major decision point of our GM and owner.
  14. The Rays ranked 9th. Otherwise, "meh."
  15. Fake news! There were millions waiting outside the gaits to get into MLB games all year long! Damn media! They are the enemy of the fans.
  16. I know this thread is about 2019, but here's a look at the team control years of our top players. These numbers might play into who we sign and for how long we sign them for. After... 2018: Eovaldi Kimbrel Pearce Kelly Kinsler Phillips 2019: Sale Porcello Bogaerts Moreland Nunez Holt Thornburg JD (opt out option) 2020: Betts JBJ Wright Leon Workman Smith JD (opt out option) 2021: ERod Pedroia Barnes Hembree Option: Vaz 2022: JD (if no opt outs) Beni Swihart
  17. No, because Maris had a larger body of work that proved he was not. If and until Cora loses control of his team, 2, 3 or 7 years from now, IMO, he's the best.
  18. It's not just about winning a ring: I called him the greatest before the ring. The players are focused. They believe in him and themselves. The players radically changed the amount of blunders and mental mistakes from last year to this. We broke the team wins record and then went 11-3 in the playoffs, which included an 18 inning loss. Tito was great for a long time, but he lost control. I know Cora's sample size small, and I'm sounding hypocritical with this proclamation, but I really think Cora is the best. Could that change? Yes. Do I think it will? Most likely not. I'm not going to criticize anyone who still thinks Tito is, but my opinion differs.
  19. He's a rule 5, so he should be on our 40 man roster (or elsewhere). To me, the chances for any meaningful input from anyone on the farm, pitchers or otherwise, for 2019 is very minimal. Chavis or Ockimey (slight chance for Dalbec) Quiroz Shawaryn or Shepherd (Haley/Cuevas) Lakins of Feltman
  20. Cora is the greatest Sox manager of all time. Am I still alone on this?
  21. You have VTek & Pedey twice and no Lester or Kimbrel. Damon & JBJ >>> Ellsbury
  22. I believe Yelich's deal was signed during his arb years. It was not an open market deal. One major reason free agent salaries seemed lower last year was that a few teams were busy re-setting their luxury tax, My guess is salaries will look high again this winter. While baseball viewership may be dropping, owners are still making a killing, and some teams need to win to make more money.
  23. Keeping Leon, only if just to be Sale's personal caddy, is worth it. Vaz has already shown he can hit pretty well (for a catcher). Swihart will be traded, IMO.
  24. I'm not saying it can't happen, but signing those 4 would blow us by the max tax line. I'd want to know more on Miller's health before going large and long there.
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