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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    It's one per year, no matter how much you are yo-yo'd. He has 1 left.
  2. moonslav59
    He's a new man! BTW, who was the clown who wanted Devers moved to 1B?
  3. moonslav59
    Chavis will move to 2B, when Moreland returns. Travis will be sent down. Pearce will likely be DFA'd, or we'll send Marco down.
  4. moonslav59
    I'm assuming, yes. Plus, since most positions have negative WAR players among the bottom 5 or 6 players at each position, one could argue there are several MLB players playing below the level of replacement. We were just talking about dWAR and defense, though, and I'm assuming there are a ton of minor league players that are excellent fielders but never make it to the bigs, because they can't hit. It's hard to know what a "replacement level defender" is, because it doesn't really make sense. Are we talking about the average defensive skill level of AAAA players? The worst players are below replacement level, if their WAR is below zero, and there are many starting players below zero right now. It takes 180 PAs to get to 270 "qualifying" players (30 teams x 9 starters), and out of the 270 players on the list, 64 have a negative WAR and 70 are at 0 or below. According to fangraphs, 148 player have a negative dWAR, so maybe they set dWAR with zero as average not replacement level.
  5. moonslav59
    Who was the clown that wanted Beni traded? Oops...
  6. moonslav59
    That was just to get to the 51% win probability.
  7. moonslav59
    Assuming the bunt works.
  8. moonslav59
    With Nunez gone, there is one less out-of-options player on the 25 man roster. Future choices: Eovaldi up- Weber down Johnson up- Walden down Moreland up- Travis down These all look simple. If we trade for a pen arm, a tougher choice may need to be made, unless we include Johnson in the deal.
  9. moonslav59
    Price is doing fine. Sale & Porcello NOT.
  10. moonslav59
    HR/9 1.87 Straily 1.83 Bundy 1.76 Harvey 19th Porcdello 1.46
  11. moonslav59
    HRs 2017-2019: 88 Bundy 81 Verlander (no wonder he is complaining about juiced balls) 80 Porcello (before tonight's blast & counting...) 5. Tanaka 78 10. Lester 67 17. Happ 65
  12. moonslav59
    Maybe 12.
  13. moonslav59
    Another thing we know is that Porcello sucks.
  14. moonslav59
    Yes. If a starter goes 6 innings and then lets up 3 runs in the 7th (2 unearned), we still say, "Nice start." Our pen went 6 scoreless innings last night before Velazquez and Bogey's meltdown, but nobody thinks, "nice game, pen."
  15. moonslav59
    If we'd only have signed Cody Allen instead of Pearce!
  16. moonslav59
    Nunez and Holt's fragility is the reason we traded Buttrey for Kinsler.
  17. moonslav59
    I agree, and there has been other times in his career where his velo is 93-95, and he was still effective. Maybe it's the new balls. It seems slider pitchers are having a hard time this year as the breaks are not as much as they used to be. Sale needs to adjust. I think he will. I just don't know how long it will take. 1 game, 1 month, 1 year or longer?
  18. moonslav59
    That's a lot of knowledgeable people who think he has been top 6. It will be interesting to see where they rank him this year. BTW, while I have respect for the fielding bible, none of them see every CF play every game and play. notin pointed out some defects in the metric, most notably that Betts takes some tough plays away from JBJ, and the wall on the other side as well. I'm not trying to claim the UZR/150 numbers are completely accurate. My point is I trust their numbers more than my own eyes, because my eyes have seen just 162 games a year of other CF'ers, and that is a wildly small and unbalanced sample size. How good a replacement level player is on defense is directly related to how good the 30 players are at this moment in time. The fact is, JBJ could probably be replaced by an excellent defensive AAA player who may hit .100 in MLB and not be missed on defense.
  19. moonslav59
    I think I read somewhere that 3 year sample sizes should be used when looking at UZR/150. Of the 22 CF'ers with 1500+ innings, JBJ ranks 8th at +4.5. I see several OF'er below him that are very good fielders from what I know.
  20. moonslav59
    I'm a huge JBJ fan. I'm a huge defense fan, especially up the middle. I love JBJ's defense, but I don't think he is the best CF'er in MLB. I'm not even sure if he's top 10 anymore. I would think, based on my own observations, which is severely limited on non Sox CF'er observations, he is top 20, but I'm not sure. I see a lot of very good to great CF'ers these days. Many are making great plays against us. Perhaps JBJ has slipped to the bottom 10, which may mean he is close to "replacement" level on defense. Many AAAA OF'ers' only skill is defense. IMO, JBJ's defense is still better than "replacement," but I think it has slipped. The dWAR and UZR/150 numbers are flawed, but they are still better than my own opinion. That doesn't mean I think they are right on everything. I have always claimed they are not perfect. I stick to my point, and I don't think little leaguers are as good as JBJ, but my guess is many AAA CF'ers can field very very well.
  21. moonslav59
    Man-O-Man! 52 BBs and 21 HRs in 11 games.
  22. moonslav59
    Yet many will remember just the pen got the loss.
  23. moonslav59
    Batting Beni 5th is a mortal sin.
  24. moonslav59
    Did you see the line shot he pulled foul? Of course, he could "get around."
  25. moonslav59
    ...and a small orange Fanta!
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