moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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What stat geek ever uses the words "always represent the true value...?"
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Exactly! None of this sign a 5th starter crap.
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Yes, the $27M will keep a lot of teams out of the running, but it's still a lower price than a FA of his stature.
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Eye witness convictions are overthrown on DNA evidence every day.
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Teams have given up multiple prospects for 2 month rentals of worse ability than Betts. You may not think we get back what one year of Betts is worth, but we will get very good value back- maybe 2-3 very good prospects or 1-2 excellent ones and a throw in.
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I doubt his base running added much to the 8 WAR baseline, and although his defense is certainly helped by his speed, it's not everything, and besides, it's not like we should expect Betts's speed to diminish all that much over the next 8-10 years. His offense has been boosted by his quick reaction times, power and getting on base skills. His BB totals have risen steadily: 46, 49, 77, 81, 97 He's hit 29 or more HRs in 3 of his last 4 seasons. He just turned 27. Many of his next contract years will be in prime or near prime. This is why I like the idea of re-signing him (maybe after we trade him).
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1) We don't know if Betts doesn't want to be in Boston. 2) Betts did not want to sign a contract. It was more him who forced the arbs not the team. 3) His defense is helped by his speed, but his offense not so much. He has extremely quick twitch reflexes. Do we have any evidence how well or poorly that ages?
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That's just not true, except maybe back in the days of Perry Mason. Finger prints, video/audio recordings, GPS, phone records and DNA evidence is more reliable than eye witnesses.
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I try my hardest to always keep an open mind and be unbiased. I try not to pre-judge people or discriminate, yet I know I am biased- maybe even more than many are. With objectivity and truth under assault, these days, it's hard to know anything is real anymore. It seemed like a .300 BA was something one could grasp and hold onto.
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How many new threads are there on the Yankees losing? I can't keep up!
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Puig ?Castellanos ? Trade Benny and Mookie
moonslav59 replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It's all good. A couple of teammates liked him. "Send in the clowns!" -
Me, too. People said I was crazy for wanting the Yanks to sign both Harper and Machado. I wonder how many wish they did, now.
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You must know that often when multiple witnesses to a crime are present, they all give different accounts- sometimes wildly different.
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The opening odds given are largely based on correlations and trends from the regular season along with who people are betting on or are likely to bet on. I just can't believe the Brewers, A's and Ray's had close to the same chance as the Astros or even the Yankees or Dodgers. Maybe your idea of close is different than mine.
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It might not "need to be either or," but I'm not sure I wished we tried to have it both ways. Could we have won without Manny? Without Dice-K? Without Lackey? Without Kimbrel or Sale? We probably could have without Crawford, Thornburg and others, but we won by making sure we had a better than just good enough team. I'm okay with second-guessing, and I do it myself enough, but I'm not going to be over-critical on anything that brought us 4 rings in 2 decades. In hindsight, we could take back some trades or signings, here or there, but I think we need to "go for it" from time to time. Yes, I wish we didn't go as far as we did, but who am I to say we didn't need to. We got the rings, and it was worth it. We've had some great farms and some great teams, and sometimes both at the same time. It won't ever be as easy as it was before, but I think we can get back to the top in a few short years.
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I like that line of thinking.
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I disagree. We built better teams than the Dodgers, and we sacrificed the farm to do it- not just DD, either. the 2013 team was somewhat lucky, but we still had a top 3 winning % every year we won.
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Not true. The odds given before the playoffs starters were: 30:1 TB 25:1 MIL 20:1 OAK 18:1 WAS 17:1 STL 16:1 MN 9:1 ATL 5:1 NYY 11:4 LAD (2.75:1) 2:1 HOU That's about as far from a crap shoot as can be. Yes, the Nats beat the odds, but Houston is going to win it all. No way they had a 1 in 10 chance- same as everyone else. Not even close. 2:1 vs 30:1 best vs worst.
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That may be part of it, and nobody can argue the Dodgers have not tried to do more than one would think is needed to be a top contender, but the Braves are another matter. Quick answer wanted: Would you rather the Sox did what the Dodgers & Braves have done- all the good and all the bad- over the last 2 decades or what the Sox have done?
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Stunning list. You guys can hold your heads up high this winter, but Cashman has some work to do with that rotation.
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This is the second of your posts I've agreed with in one day. One more, and we have a record!
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Winning the division was huge. Sale was a major reason we cruised into the playoffs without needing to play-in or have our best pitchers tired or on short rest to start the playoffs. Having two aces allows you to win, if one falters in the playoffs. Besides, Sale did pretty well vs the Yanks in the first round. Yes, Price and Eovaldi picked him up in the next rounds. I do not think it was a fluke that the Sox have only won when we acquired a second ace to go with the one we already had, despite the two maybe not pitching like aces every game and through the playoffs.
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Puig ?Castellanos ? Trade Benny and Mookie
moonslav59 replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I seriously doubt his teammates had no issues with his antics & attitude. -
I can't disagree on this, despite how much I enjoy disagreeing with you.
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Look, I love winning every year and being competitive almost every year, but I lived that history for decades after decades. I'll take the 4 rings, a few last place finishes, and some very good farms here and there over what the Braves and Dodgers have done over the last 2 decades.
