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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    That's what I was thinking, but I was curious how you and others view it. To me, this whole stretch of good play is too little- too late and doesn't erase the fact that we blew it when we got swept twice.
  2. moonslav59
    Yup. Is it proven "true," if we don't make the playoffs, and even if we win 80% of our remaining games, does that erase those two sweeps that put us out of it?
  3. moonslav59
    So, if anybody who "signs him" pays just the minimum, it's kind of up to him where he goes, among those who want him.
  4. moonslav59
    We won't sign him to enough to put us over the max line.
  5. moonslav59
    No doubt.
  6. moonslav59
    Yup, and we know how often Chavis K's in the bigs. It's about the same as you projected Dalbec would get. (It wasn't me who projected Dalbec's ML K rate.)
  7. moonslav59
    They quit during those two sweeps. Now that the pressure is off and the games don't count, they look good.
  8. moonslav59
    How about Price, JBJ and Johnson for Heywood and Chatwood (owed $13M next year) and get the Cubs to pitch in some cash?
  9. moonslav59
    Pedey wasn't on DD, but your point is well taken.
  10. moonslav59
    It's not all about run support. ERod seems to let up just enough runs to keep us in the game, but you are right: we score for him. Run support per IP: 7.4 DHern 7.2 Porcello 7.2 ERod 5.9 Johnson 5.3 Cashner 4.5 Weber 4.3 Price 4.3 Eovaldi 3.7 Sale 2.9 Velazquez 1.1 Josh Smith Here's a look at IP per GS: 6.0 ERod 5.9 Sale 5.5 Porcello 5.1 Cashner 5.0 Price 4.3 Eovaldi 3.8 Weber 3.7 Smith 3.3 Johnson 3.0 DHern 2.8 Velaz.
  11. moonslav59
    Okay, but Chavis already has 144 Ks in just 448 PAs this year in MLB + AAA, so what's the difference?
  12. moonslav59
    7 in the loss column with the A's playing just 31 more games is a very long shot by itself. Then, we need TB, CLE or MN to totally meltdown while playing pretty easy schedules. It's over.
  13. moonslav59
    Exactly. It DID count, but we are done with it counting after this season. FINALLY!
  14. moonslav59
    I knew 20 game winners have been in decline, but this was still surprising to me.
  15. moonslav59
    Where are the bail-outs, like the ones given to farmers?
  16. moonslav59
    Josh Taylor has been making quite an impression, this year. If we could get Hembree and Barnes to turn things around next year, we might have 4 solid arms in the pen.
  17. moonslav59
    That's one way to look at it, but the same is true for the second pick. After they select, they are last in the queue. I look at it this way: I'd rather have the 10th pick in every round than the 30th pick every round, if I am looking to rebuild my farm. (Of course, having the 30th pick means you had the best record, so of course, I'd rather have that, but we are talking about farm building, here.) We may end up with the 18th pick next year and maybe the 12th the year after. That does improve our odds of improving the farm than if we had the 28th and 29th picks both years. Plus, we'll get more international pool money to spend for 2 years. I'm not saying we'll go from the 30th farm to number 10 in 2 years, but any improvement is welcome.
  18. moonslav59
    It might depend on what your definition of "elite" means, but he is still pretty damn good, if not great on D. Using metrics for OF'ers involves smaller sample sizes than IF'ers, and who plays next to you factors into the metrics as well. Here are some sample sizes of the larger variety: JBJ: UZR/150, DRS, Inning in CF First 4 seasons: 9.5 (8th in MLB), 27, 2695 Last 4 seasons: 5.8 (10th in MLB), 20, 4725 2015-2016: 7.0 (9th), 14, 1600 2017-2019: 4.8 (9th), 16, 3370 2018-2019: 4.5 (10th) which ranks him higher than DeShields, Trout, Hicks and Pillar. As you can see, while his UZR/150 and DRS per innings declined, he has stayed ranked 8th to 9th in most 3-4 season sample sizes, which are the sample sizes suggested to be used by the creators of these metrics.
  19. moonslav59
    By the time they "determine he still can't hit," the rest of the league will have as well. We waited too long to trade Middy. I'm not saying Chavis will be the next Middy, but I wanted to float the possibility out there. Chavis is now a more known commodity than Dalbec, so I'm not sure which one, if any, we might or should try to trade.
  20. moonslav59
    I thought they might be pretty close.
  21. moonslav59
    Saying we can find another great defensive CF'er in no way lessens the greatness of JBJ. He's not the only fantastic defender in MLB. He is also not likely to get any better going forward, at his age, although some have stayed very good long into their 30's.
  22. moonslav59
    Take comfort in the fact that we are 20-7 in his starts, this year. Last year, we were 19-4. The guy is a winner! 39-11 in his last 50 starts. 78%!!!! (And, people wanted to trade him.)
  23. moonslav59
    No. Houston has 5 .973 Bregman .944 Brantley .937 Springer .922 Altuve .914 Correa (only 310 PAs) and Gurriel is close at .898. MN has 3 1.027 Cruz .933 Garver (286 PAs) .923 Sano ATL has 3 .957 Freeman .910 Donaldson .900 Acuna
  24. moonslav59
    I'm not sure there is an official MLB name for that money. I do know this is how I view our remaining dead money: $14.3M Castillo (2020) Does not count against luxury tax $5M Sandoval (2020) Does not count against luxury tax $25.3M Pedroia (2020+2021) $13.75M x 2 on luxury tax budget Pending... $145M Sale ($29M x 5) $25.6M luxury tax due to defered money $96M Price ($32M x 3) $31M luxury tax $51M Eovaldi ($17M x 3 years) $17M Luxury tax
  25. moonslav59
    My plan would include finding a younger, very low cost CF'er who can filed as good or better than JBJ and is on the up age curve.
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